What is the probability of Tynes missing the field goal?
What is the probability of Brady being able to score a touchdown with a timeout in hand and just under a minute to play?
My numbers are under 2% for a missed kick and over 10% for a Brady-led touchdown.
If you think that the probability of a missed kick is greater than the probability of a subsequent New England touchdown, then Bradshaw scoring is the right call. You’d have to really tweak the numbers to get there though.
He is last on the depth chart when I'm looking for a Giants player to seal a game.