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Mitt Romney Is Stuck Because He's Not A Pro-Growth Republican
Forbes ^ | 1/3/12 | Paul Hoffmeister

Posted on 01/05/2012 2:14:46 PM PST by SupplySider

Paul Hoffmeister is the chief economist at Bretton Woods Research, LLC.

According to the polls summarized by RealClearPolitics, Mitt Romney has been unable to win more than 25% of the Republican vote for the party’s presidential nomination for more than a year. This is because the former Massachusetts governor is not a pro-growth Republican. Instead, his economic platform reflects a man who is devoutly Keynesian, and who, as president, would not be able to reinvigorate the U.S. economy.

A pro-growth Republican is a “supply-sider” who believes that stable money, low taxes, and limited regulation produce prosperity. And as Art Laffer has said, if regulatory policy is important by a factor of 1, then tax policy is important by a factor of 10, and monetary policy by 100.

The purpose of these bedrock principles is to encourage capital formation, and thereby raise the national standard of living. The virtuous, supply-side process starts like this: 1) low taxes increase the amount of capital available to invest in businesses; and, 2) stable money, low tax rates, and limited regulation increase the after-tax returns on investment.

Stable money eliminates the risk that inflation will depreciate the real value of future cash flows and the severe boom-bust credit cycles that threaten the very survival of businesses. Low tax rates obviously increase after-tax returns. Limited regulation removes the obstacles in the way of doing business, thereby reducing costs and increasing returns.

When more capital is available for investment, and the monetary, fiscal and regulatory conditions are supportive of attractive after-tax returns, the amount of capital in the economy increases relative to the supply of labor. That is, the capital-labor ratio increases. This is important because the only way to increase real wages is to increase the amount of capital relative to labor.

(Excerpt) Read more at forbes.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: growth; reaganomics; romney; supplyside
An excellent summary of supply-side principles and policies, and how Romney falls far short of embracing them.
1 posted on 01/05/2012 2:14:59 PM PST by SupplySider
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To: SupplySider

Well, Romney appearsto be above 25 at the moment. 29 in rasmussen, 27 in Gallup. And rising in both.

He was stuck in the 20-25 range for a long time. Unfortunately, it seems like onne of the alternatives was really able to make their case and sustain it to enough people.

Cain is out. Bachmann is out. Perry may as well be out. Newt is falling fast. Santorum is the only one left. Maybe can do it, but he has his own issues. He got lucky in that no one gave him any attention all year so he ended up the last one standing in IA. We’ll see how he does.

But Romney appears to be on the upswing. A big win in NH will only help that.

SC will be the real key. If he wins there...


2 posted on 01/05/2012 2:18:29 PM PST by jeltz25
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To: SupplySider
Whichever direction you walk with Mittens record, it comes up weak and without principles. That is why 75% of base voters despise this charlatan.

"I have this many positions on every issue"

3 posted on 01/05/2012 2:20:08 PM PST by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: SupplySider
A pro-growth Republican is a “supply-sider” who believes that stable money, low taxes, and limited regulation produce prosperity.

Low spending? Low deficits? Balanced budgets?

Or don't those things matter?

4 posted on 01/05/2012 2:20:31 PM PST by x
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To: x
Low spending? Low deficits? Balanced budgets?

Sheesh. Give him a break. You can only write so much in one sentence before it becomes a run-on.

5 posted on 01/05/2012 2:31:15 PM PST by BfloGuy (The final outcome of the credit expansion is general impoverishment.)
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To: x
Low spending? Low deficits? Balanced budgets? Or don't those things matter

Interestingly a supply sider would say those are results, rather than methods. Low regulation allows for a much smaller government and hence low spending. Low deficits are a natural result of trying to keep a stable currency since high debt loads cause inflation. Balanced budgets, see low deficits. Finally in a high real growth environment it is easy to raise tax revenue, reduce social services payouts, all while dropping tax rates. That makes it a lot easier to balance the budget.

But you don't start out trying to balance the budget as some sort of holy grail. Otherwise you would just take the Democrat idea of massive heavy tax burdens to pay off the debt.
6 posted on 01/05/2012 2:33:12 PM PST by GonzoGOP (There are millions of paranoid people in the world and they are all out to get me.)
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To: jeltz25
But Romney appears to be on the upswing. A big win in NH will only help that.

Mittens has had short term swings towards 30% before in select polls. Right now he is at 26% in the RCP averages which is still in his steady flat line. A win in NH will matter not for Mittens because everyone expects it.

7 posted on 01/05/2012 2:33:32 PM PST by Lazlo in PA (Now living in a newly minted Red State.)
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To: jeltz25

Romney gives me nightmares about Court Appointees ... Northeast Liberal Republicans (Bush I) give us Justices like David Suter.


8 posted on 01/05/2012 2:42:55 PM PST by bimbo
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To: SupplySider

Someone write a memo the pols that we want the 70,000 pages of taxcode burned? A do over.

Romney needs to step up on this,
or indicate willingness to listen to the incoming Conservative Controlled Congress.

This needs to be the relentless focus.


9 posted on 01/05/2012 3:08:32 PM PST by pending (TODAY)
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To: SupplySider

But why has it taken Forbes so long to figure this out? I find Forbes and the Wall Street Journal to be increasingly irrelvent. Any so-called business publication that print an analysis of stock market happenings with a straight face is no more than a gussied up Onada propaganda organ.


10 posted on 01/05/2012 3:38:47 PM PST by dools0007world
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To: GonzoGOP
Low deficits are a natural result of trying to keep a stable currency since high debt loads cause inflation.

Sounds like it's the other way around: stable currency being a natural result of less spending and debt.

Finally in a high real growth environment it is easy to raise tax revenue, reduce social services payouts, all while dropping tax rates. That makes it a lot easier to balance the budget.

You'd think so. But it hasn't happened that way in recent years. Keeping taxes low convinced politicians that they didn't have to cut spending, not that they needed to.

When somebody starts banging the "pro-growth" drum, listen carefully to make sure the tune doesn't end with "deficits don't matter."

None of this lets Romney off the hook, of course. But I'd be wary of "Club for Growth" types attempting purges when they also have things to answer for themselves.

11 posted on 01/05/2012 3:49:05 PM PST by x
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Click

12 posted on 01/05/2012 3:52:34 PM PST by RedMDer (Forward With Confidence!)
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To: jeltz25

There will always be alternatives to voting for Romney.


13 posted on 01/05/2012 4:19:39 PM PST by ansel12
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To: jeltz25

He will find SC an unpleasant experience.

LLS


14 posted on 01/05/2012 4:38:03 PM PST by LibLieSlayer (ONWARD CHRISTIAN SOLDIERS!)
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To: SupplySider
Mitt Romney has been unable to win more than 25% of the Republican vote for the party’s presidential nomination for more than a year

My recollection is that 25% is about what he achieved the last time he ventured into the public arena (2008 Republican Primary)!
15 posted on 01/05/2012 6:12:47 PM PST by leprechaun9
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To: leprechaun9

I think he’d immediately jump over 25% if he embraced Reaganomics, instead of cowering in fear of being identified as one of the “1%”.


16 posted on 01/06/2012 2:04:28 PM PST by SupplySider
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To: x

“When somebody starts banging the “pro-growth” drum, listen carefully to make sure the tune doesn’t end with ‘deficits don’t matter.’”

That’s for sure.

And Reagan never said anything remotely in favor of deficits, despite the attempts by the ‘deficits don’t matter’ crowd to claim him. In Reagan’s farewell speech he said the one regret he had from his Presidency was his failure to avoid deficit spending.


17 posted on 01/10/2012 7:26:51 PM PST by Pelham (Islam. The original Evil Empire)
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To: SupplySider
Keep hammering with your left wing attack ads, Newt, Santorum, and Perry.

You're forcing Romney toward a clear free market agenda. Thanks!

18 posted on 01/12/2012 9:36:54 AM PST by SupplySider
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