It would be an interesting chart to map Obama’s approval index against Bush’s during his first four years.
Obama’s problem is that the foreign policy successes (Bin Laden, and possibly Libya) will do him no good if the economy is still in a shambles. Those who don’t trust him on foreign policy are not going to change their votes because of a Hollywood movie. If the economy hasn’t improved by August 2012 his only hope will be the implosion of his Republican opponent. A billion dollar personal attack campaign, coordinated with unlimited support from ABC, CBC, NBC, PBS, their cable affiliates, plus the unions, Soros, etc., is going to make it a close race no matter who wins the GOP nomination and no matter how bad the economy is doing.