[Polybius]

The latest FOX NEWS comprehensive election poll was released at 6PM ET Wednesday, August 10, 2011. The previous one was released in February 2011.

Discussing Presidential election politics has become very tricky on Free Republic since, especially with the Palin supporters, the discussion tends to be emotion driven rather than data driven. When any poll other than a FOX News poll is posted, it is dismissed as being a liberal poll. When I have quoted the most recent (February) FOX News poll, it was dismissed as being “old data”.

Well, here it is, folks. The latest FOX News comprehensive Presidential election poll, conducted every six months, was released yesterday evening:

Unless your aim is simply to get your favorite candidate nominated by the GOP, regardless of the consequences to America, the ultimate goal should be to nominate the most conservative candidate possible that actually has a good chance of defeating Barack Obama in November 2012. As such, the question that asks voter if they believe that Candidate X would be a good President or not is a crucial indicator of electability. In the latest August 2011 comprehensive FOX News poll, the candidates stack up as follows, with comparisons to the previous February FOX News poll:

FOX News Poll: (August 7-9, 2011)

22. – 31. I’m going to read you a list of names -- for each one please tell me if you think that person would make a good president or not. If you have never heard of a person, please just say so.

...............................YES........NO..........DK.....Never heard of

Mitt Romney
.. 7-9 Aug 11 ...........34%.......45%.........12%.......9%
..7-9 Feb 11 ............33%........45%.........8%........13%

Michele Bachmann
.. 7-9 Aug 11 ...........22%.......50%.........11%.......16%
..7-9 Feb 11 ............10%........39%.........11%........41%

Ron Paul
.. 7-9 Aug 11 ...........22%.......48%.........14%.......16%

Sarah Palin
.. 7-9 Aug 11 ...........19%.......75%..........4%........1%
..7-9 Feb 11 ............23%........72%..........4%.........1%

Rick Perry
.. 7-9 Aug 11 ...........19%.......37%.........14%.......30%

Newt Gingrich
.. 7-9 Aug 11 ...........15%.......69%..........9%........7%
..7-9 Feb 11 ............23%........60%..........7%........10%

Tim Pawlenty
.. 7-9 Aug 11 ...........14%.......38%.........15%.......33%
..7-9 Feb 11 ............13%........30%.........12%........45%

Herman Cain
.. 7-9 Aug 11 ...........13%.......33%.........13%.......41%

Rick Santorum
.. 7-9 Aug 11 ...........10%.......35%.........15%.......39%
..7-9 Feb 11 .............9%........32%.........13%........46%

Jon Huntsman
.. 7-9 Aug 11 ...........10%.......31%.........19%.......41%
..7-9 Feb 11 .............6%........27%.........12%........55%

As can be seen, although Sarah Palin’s polling data was absolutely toxic in the February, with 72% of all voters believing she would not be a good President, it is even more toxic now, in August, with 75% of all voters believing she would not be a good President . The full comparison between the February Palin polling data and the August Palin polling data is shown below.

Some candidates, such as Rick Perry, Herman Cain, Tim Pawlenty and Rick Santorum are still unknown to a large percentage of voters and have room for potential improvement. Michele Bachmann was such a candidate in February but, since then, the percentage of voters who have never heard of her has dropped from 41% to 16% and her “Believe would not be a good President” percentage has increased from 39% to 50%.

By contrast the number of all voters that have not heard of Sarah Palin is a miniscule 1% and the percentage of voters that have no opinion of her is only 4%. Everybody that is not living under a rock has already formed an opinion of Sarah Palin. The Sarah Palin concrete has already set.

Of all the GOP actual or potential candidates, Sarah Palin combines the highest name recognition factor by far with the most negative polling data by far. If the intention is to actually get elected President, and not merely to be nominated as the sacrificial lamb for a ceremonial gutting by Obama in November of 2012, that is the worst possible combination. Only Newt Gingrich comes close to that toxic combination.

Sarah Palin may be a lot of things but she is not dumb. She realizes that any entry into the Presidential race will result in a highly embarrassing failed campaign that, if it is ever seriously conducted, can leave a candidate deep in personal debt as was the case with Hillary Clinton. Most seriously, though, an actual GOP nomination of Sarah Palin would guarantee the reelection of Barack Obama and Sarah Palin is too much of a patriot to temp her supporters to blunder into such a disaster. I believe that Sarah Palin has rationally examined the polling data that has been out there all along and, for personal and patriotic reasons, will settle for the role of alleged “Kingmaker” by endorsing another candidate rather than experience the certain failure of a campaign.

===============================

FEBRUARY 2011 COMPREHENSIVE FOX NEWS POLL:

FOX News Poll (February 7-9, 2011)

Question 3: I am going to read you a list of names. Tell me if you think that person would make a good President or not.

Sarah Palin:

.................YES.........NO.......DK.....Never heard of

ALL...........23%.......72%.........4%.......1%

Dem ...........7%........87%........5%.......1%

Rep ...........40%.......56%.......3%.......1%

Ind ...........25%........69%.......3%.......1%

===============================

AUGUST 2011 COMPREHENSIVE FOX NEWS POLL:

FOX News Poll: (August 7-9, 2011)

Question 25. Sarah Palin - Do you think this person would make a good president or not?

.................YES.........NO.......DK.....Never heard of

ALL...........19%.......75%.........4%.......1%

Dem ...........7%........89%........3%.......1%

Rep ...........34%.......58%.......7%.......1%

Ind ...........20%........74%.......5%.......1%

[Polybius]

FYI

[normy]

Notice Perry has 30% DK. Once his record is out there his positives will rise.

While I don't want Sarah Palin to run, I think she would be a good President. I think most of the GOP field would be better than Obama.

[Rational Thought]

If you’re going to post polls to support your candidates cause, you might find one that supports your candidate.

From what you posted, no one is an acceptable candidate including Perry.

But, these early polls are extremely accurate.

http://articles.cnn.com/2007-03-27/politics/gop.polls_1_mccain-and-romney-fred-thompson-gallup-poll?_s=PM:POLITICS

http://www.lifenews.com/2007/07/04/nat-3224/

[Retired Greyhound]

I think Sarah Palin would make an excellent president.

I don’t think the American electorate will vote for her.

[Monterrosa-24]

“...Most seriously, though, an actual GOP nomination of Sarah Palin would guarantee the reelection of Barack Obama and Sarah Palin is too much of a patriot to temp her supporters to blunder into such a disaster...’

The poorly written sentence above is factually inaccurate. High negatives at this point mean little as the poll was not conducted among likely Republican voters. The long primary season changes perceptions. The economy if rocky enough in the Fall of 2012 may guarantee any Republican nominee victory.

[DaxtonBrown]

Well, you’ve proved it to me, Sarah Palin should get out a rope, tie it around a limb and hang herself. Why even try?

Long ago I broke my neck in a sports accident and was completely paralyzed. Although I had to struggle incredibly hard and finally came back to lead 40 years of a great life without paralysis, I sure wish I’d had you by my bedside to show me my true destiny.

Never do what’s right, always do what is easy. Words to die by.

[tatown]

While I agree with most of her positions I’ve been pretty vocal about my belief that Palin won’t even run. She knows she can’t win. The LSM has been very successful in their goal to make her candidacy completely toxic. Unfortunately her horrible poll numbers are not simply propaganda.

[comebacknewt]

I've not really seen this question asked before but I am struck by how all of them have higher negatives than positives.

Even amongst Republicans, each of them have high negative numbers. Not sure exactly what it means, but on the surface, it concerns me.

[alstewartfan]

Thank you for your “concern” about Sarah, Polybius! Bob

[Bringbackthedraft]

OMG, they are all in the red, the red color wins over all of them. That leads me to believe one thing, “It ain’t over until its over.”

[RowdyFFC]

I don’t believe the Fox News Polls anymore than I believe anybody elses polls. Fox’s fair and balanced too many times even supports Obama themselves. We won’t have a clue or even a ball park notion until real votes start coming in.

If Sarah Palin wants to throw her hat in the ring and test the waters, I suspect she will. Just like Rick Perry is about to do. We won’t know what she’s going to do until she tells us. And she certainly knows what she’s doing and what she’s willing to risk. I have every confidence she’ll make the right decision when the time comes.

I’m still going on the gut feeling that since she’s not attending this weekend’s event like she’s done all three years, when she knows Perry will be announcing there, and she opted out to speak at the Iowa Tea Party Sept. 3 instead, I think she’s going to come out romping and stomping with Rick Perry support. It’s just my guess as I know for fact that those two are talking.

[onyx]

WHOOP-DEE-DO! A NEW SPAMMING POLL FOR YOU, Polybius!

FYI! More than anyone, Sarah Palin is aware of her negatives, and she is above all else, a God loving Christian conservative, home grown American patiot, who knows election 2012 *must be won* by a TEA Party Republican. I'm certain she remains in serious prayer about her decision, but until she runs, she will not be able to improve on her negatives!

My prayers continue for Governor Palin to run!

God bless and keep her and her precious family and God bless all of her millions of supporters, awaiting her announcement.

We're ready with our money and we'll work out hearts out for her election, you betcha!

GAME ON!


Sarah Palin's Ping List!

GAME ON!


Sarah Palin's Ping List!

GAME ON!


Sarah Palin's Ping List!

[libbylu]

campaigns are to sort the wheat from the chaff. Betcha Hollywood helps project the real Sarah. If she runs she will be Madame President.

[Lady Lucky]

Did Romney pay for this poll?

You know, I’m finding it hard to give a tinker’s damn anymore. If 70-odd percent of ‘em think Palin is not presidential material, this country is more far-gone than I feared. They deserve what they will get.

I’m not voting for RINOs anymore. I will not vote for collaborators. This country can burn, baby, burn, before I will vote for Romney, Jeb, Rudy G, etc.

If my vote has to be a write in for SARAH PALIN and it helps split the results so that Obama gets a second term, TFB.

[Friendofgeorge]

As long as Sarah knows these polls are ALL from the pit of hell...nothing to worry about.

ALL the pollsters are either Rep Establishment or Liberal...Nobody else polls...THIS IS A FACT!!!

Fox News polls are a disgrace just like ALL the others, I have said this for years, long before I ever heard of Sarah Palin.

Fox has one of the worst records! They tried to throw the election to Kerry in their last poll before the 2004 election.

Rasmussen is just as filthy as the rest.

The Pollsters do not want Gov Palin to run. She will never lead in any of their polls, but will win regardless as long as she runs!

[9YearLurker]

Bogus poll. First of all it’s over-sampled for Democrats. The GOP primary preferences are based on just over 300 voters.

Third, how many respondents think someone would or wouldn’t be a good president is a useless question at this point. Of course the nearly half of the country that leans Democratic wouldn’t go for Palin as president. Then, on the (undersampled) GOP side, most prospective voters still back someone else and Palin is a threat to their particular candidate.

[ajsteele1]

What kind of polls are these? These polls and others have no backdrop to their origin. Are you asking persons in Illonis or Alaska? Are you polling in a highly liberal or conservative city...or town? Many polls are biased. You rightly infer that a Fox poll will be different than an MSNBC poll. These polls mean nothing about Palin’s status without a reference point. Believe me, Palin is surging contrary to the biased liberal articles. Do some real research!

[TLI]

This is beyond stupid.

Why are we looking at a poll that oversampled DEMOCRATS asking who the Republican President should be?

No DAMN wonder they like Mittwitt!

Results among subgroups have larger sampling errors, including:
Democrats (n = 392) ± 5%
Republicans (n = 320) ± 5.5%
Independents (n = 167) ± 7.5%
GOP Primary Voters (n = 319) ± 5.5%

Only 320 Republicans polled out of a total of 879?

BTW, I just flipped on the evening propaganda and there is the runt I have been waiting six months to hear from.

George Stephanopoulos.

He is over in Iowa with his little grin and the usual BS.

When asked who his pick is he responds his number two guy is...

Mittwitt.

Who is the little bastard’s number one guy that he gave a two minute glowing speech for?

You got it.

Rick the PRIC.

There is your communists officially approved “opponent” designated to lose to the One.

.

[FreeReign]

Poll Worshiper Alert!

[bert]

The primary fact that comes through is that there is no candidate deemed worthy. That of course cannot and will not be. One will prevail and be nominated.

Once the wheat is separated from the chaff, once the clutter is removed, views will change. It is so far from the decision time, most of this journalistic fodder tossing is irrelevant any way.