Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Silver fever is about to break, and break badly (Buying opportunity as mania subsides)
Marketwatch ^ | 04/29/2011 | Howard Gold, No Nonsense Investing

Posted on 04/29/2011 6:35:44 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

I was just starting to work on a column about silver mania Tuesday morning when a big, beautifully produced ad insert on silver, of all things, arrived with my Financial Times.

Proclaiming that “silver is the single greatest profit opportunity of our time,” the insert featured a huge, nearly three-dimensional replica of a one-ounce U.S. silver eagle, with Liberty herself reaching out her hand and In God We Trust right there for all to see.

The coin replica, some 3 ½ inches in diameter, shone like a harvest moon, glittering with the possibility of instant riches.

And — you just can’t make this stuff up — it came just a day after silver prices hit their highest level in three decades.

On Monday, silver closed near $50 an ounce, just below where it stood when the Hunt brothers tried to corner the market back in 1980 (although it’s way below that record when prices are adjusted for inflation). On Thursday, it briefly touched a record high at $49.52 an ounce before falling back. Gold extends record run, silver gains 3.4%.

Of course it was a coincidence — the ad, by a Minneapolis coin dealer, was three months in the making, I was told — but it perfectly captured the moment when silver moved into the full-fledged mania stage.

It’s happened with lightning speed. Last summer, before the most recent market rally began after Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke announced a new round of quantitative easing (QE2), silver was still gold’s poor cousin, trading below $20 an ounce .

Since then, it has rocketed more than 150%, and has soared 50% in 2011 alone. Gold, meanwhile, has plodded along with the stodgy old Standard & Poor’s 500 index this year, though it’s up nicely from last year’s lows, too.

(Excerpt) Read more at marketwatch.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: bubble; mania; price; silver
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-36 next last
Silver's "almost vertical ascent" is just one of many signals suggesting the metal's rally is reaching a top, says Richard Ross, chief technical strategist at Auerbach Grayson. Gold, or better yet, copper, offer better value
1 posted on 04/29/2011 6:35:49 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

http://freeserv.dukascopy.com/chart/?stock_id=333&stock_id=333&interval=60&points_number=70&view_type=candle&width=400&height=300&show_labels=true&osc_type=-1&rfi=false&height=300&p1=2&p2=3&p3=7&c=56336&detach=true&copyr=true&refcode=f7b7670f370a372053ad22dff3d277a9e7fc3821f380873917c828f376bc16ad7670757682366b722f816d


2 posted on 04/29/2011 6:41:14 AM PDT by Gadsden1st
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

I saw a few articles on Silver’s “Black Swan” moment. Most of them point to the $50 range before the break. I have a gut feeling, nothing more, that Silver will hit $60 before dipping again, fueled by new investors looking for a safe haven.


3 posted on 04/29/2011 6:41:33 AM PDT by TheWriterTX (Buy Ammo Often)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: TheWriterTX

I say hold on to your silver. You may need it in the long run to live on.


4 posted on 04/29/2011 6:43:35 AM PDT by WVNan
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Gadsden1st

Silver, the poor man’s gold.


5 posted on 04/29/2011 6:44:04 AM PDT by Gadsden1st
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Gadsden1st

Silver has its place.

In a worst-case scenario, I wouldn’t want to barter with gold coins.


6 posted on 04/29/2011 6:46:41 AM PDT by ConservativeWarrior (In last year's nests, there are no birds this year.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: TheWriterTX

200% gains over the last two years, with 10-20% dips along the way forms a healthy chart with lots of room to rise.
As I have posted on other threads this week, this uptrend is just getting started. Physical metals should be 20-40% of one’s portfolio IMO, not 5-10% as many managers suggest.


7 posted on 04/29/2011 6:47:56 AM PDT by Fireone (Liberals are just overschooled, undereducated, adult children.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind
And for an alternate view...

http://www.zerohedge.com/article/goldcore-questions-comex-silver-default-due-secret-buing-russian-billionaire-chinese-traders

Not exactly a glut of silver out there...
Comex Silver Inventory Data


8 posted on 04/29/2011 6:48:32 AM PDT by HangnJudge
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Just buy the dips and take physical delivery.


9 posted on 04/29/2011 6:51:24 AM PDT by NeoCaveman
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Whew!
The “can’t lose” purchase of $14 Silver I made in 1980, based on the Hunt brothers large buy at that price, FINALLY is in a profit position....

30 years later, YOU can make a “can’t lose” purchase at $50!


10 posted on 04/29/2011 6:51:39 AM PDT by G Larry
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Whew!
The “can’t lose” purchase of $14 Silver I made in 1980, based on the Hunt brothers large buy at that price, FINALLY is in a profit position....

30 years later, YOU can make a “can’t lose” purchase at $50!


11 posted on 04/29/2011 6:51:49 AM PDT by G Larry
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: G Larry

Almost anyone waiting to sell at 50 to get back to even (less inflation) is probably dead.

Investing is still an old man’s game and it was so much more so 30 years ago.


12 posted on 04/29/2011 6:53:24 AM PDT by NeoCaveman
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

The last time the Silver market broke, it wasn’t pretty.


13 posted on 04/29/2011 6:56:33 AM PDT by AU72
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: NeoCaveman

I’m 57....NOT “nearly dead”....

I bought at 14, but failed to sell at 50.

I’m teasing those NOW buying at 50, expecting $250.

I’m still holding, but wouldn’t buy here.


14 posted on 04/29/2011 6:58:08 AM PDT by G Larry
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: G Larry

I think the current pricing in commodities is a result not so much as being based on the underlying value, as it is based on the fact there there has been literally hundreds of trillions of “dollars” in fiat money created. (not just “dollars”, you know what I mean).

A simple couple ticks up or down on the Stock market in one day exceed the whole worlds gold and silver traded in that day.

There is vastly more “dollars” traded daily in oil and coffee than gold and silver.


15 posted on 04/29/2011 7:05:34 AM PDT by djf (Dems and liberals: Let's redefine "marriage". We already redefined "natural born citizen".)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: G Larry

Sorry. Didn’t mean you personally.

You were pretty cool buying silver at the age of 27, I recon the average buyer was probably somewhere between 50 and 55.


16 posted on 04/29/2011 7:05:51 AM PDT by NeoCaveman
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 14 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Where was this guy when silver was bucks an ounce? When I see the budget balanced and the end of quantitative easing to infinity I will believe the metals are going down. For the past year every so called correction has been very brief and shallow. Silver’s price increase is a vote against the greenback. Till real rates are above the 10 percent inflation rates the metals will continue to go near parabolic. When we get to hyperinflation all bets are off. Silver and gold will become money again. The only Money that will be trusted and accepted.


17 posted on 04/29/2011 7:06:56 AM PDT by appeal2 (Don't steal, the government hates competition.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: appeal2

RE: When we get to hyperinflation all bets are off. Silver and gold will become money again


You use the word — “When” as if this is a certainty...
Why didn’t you use the word “If” instead?


18 posted on 04/29/2011 7:12:40 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 17 | View Replies]

To: SeekAndFind

Looks like the Silver shorts are getting nervous, their propaganda team in the financial media is out in full force.


19 posted on 04/29/2011 7:30:40 AM PDT by ScottfromNJ
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Fireone

I agree absolutely. My dad bought a significant amount of gold and silver in the late 50’s and early 60’s. I inherited it when he died and other than to sell a few coins back in my college days to stay in school, I still have it. Dozens of times in my life I could have sold at a substantial profit. I chose not to, and will pass this cashe on to my nephews, who I suspect will have dozens of times in their lives when they can sell but will decide not to unless the SHTF. Gold and silver should not be viewed as get rich quick investments. They are insurance in case the world as we know it comes to an end. If you are buying for that reason, day to day fluctuation in prices are meaningless.


20 posted on 04/29/2011 7:50:33 AM PDT by burghguy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-36 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson