Posted on 01/07/2011 10:17:46 AM PST by speciallybland
Barack Obama would easily take Nevada if he had to stand for reelection today...unless the Republicans nominated Mitt Romney. Obama has early double digit advantages against Mike Huckabee, Newt Gingrich, and Sarah Palin in the state but has just a single point edge over Romney.
Nevada is one of the few swing states we've polled in the last couple months where more voters approve (50%) than disapprove (46%) of Obama. Like everywhere else in the country Democrats are largely happy with him and Republicans are most unhappy- what sets apart his numbers in Nevada is his popularity with independents, 55% of whom approve of him with 41% disapproving.
Independents in the state may like Obama but they like Romney even more, giving him a 58/28 favorability rating. That's quite a contrast to how they feel about other the leading Republican contenders in the state. Huckabee's favorability with them is 38/50, Palin's is 28/61, and Gingrich actually occupies the basement in this state at 26/65.
Obama's lead over Romney is 47/46. That goes up to 10 points over Huckabee at 50/40, 11 over Gingrich at 51/40, and 13 over Palin at 52/39. Independents explain most of the difference between how Romney does compared to the rest of the Republicans here as well. Obama dominates most of the Republican field with them- a 22 point lead over Palin, a 23 point one over Huckabee, and a 27 point one over Gingrich. But Romney actually has an 11 point lead over Obama with them and that's the reason he's running neck and neck overall.
Of the battleground states where we've polled 2012 so far, Nevada has the biggest disparity in the GOP's chances of winning depending on who their nominee is. The only other state where there was greater than a 5 point difference between how one Republican did and the rest of them was Michigan, where Romney came to within 4 points of Obama with Huckabee the next closest at 12 points.
Given the direction the state is headed in, it may be a long time before a Republican wins Nevada in a race that's competitive nationally- it may go red only in instances where it's a GOP landslide across the country. The Senate race this year showed that Republicans have to be very careful about who they nominate if they want to win in Nevada and recent history doesn't suggest that's something they're particularly inclined to do.
I will match my IQ against anyone calling FR a moron site.
LLS
That’s why the left is trying to push Romney in our faces.
Won’t work.
Romy’s out. Romy is 0 lite.
sorry that was supposed to be Mormon not Moron
Few states are full of more dumbasses than Nevada.
The problem with Romney is not "Mormon". It's Moron. His health care plan is a growing disaster that promises to turn Massachusetts into Michigan.
LLS
Harry is hated in Washoe Co.
Thank you for your "free" advice 22 months before the election, but....
They are over represented on boards and commissions, especially in the LasVegas area.
F Romney
yeah sure.. uh-huh.. Hey, I’ve got a great idea. Let’s listen to the MSM and f’ing democrats on who to run as a Republican.
The fix is in... they all hate Sarah. I’m going to make it easy for any Republican operatives that are reading this... It’s either Sarah or nobody and I’ll make sure that all my money goes to Republicans that are either Tea Party or brand new conservative candidates. NO MORE RINOs
There are no states west of the Rockies where being a Mormon is a major factor. Generally it is a plus.
If all of the Western states held a primary today Romney would walk away with it in every one. We have been working for months to stop him and only recently are we seeing daylight. We need other candidates in the field now. We can stop him.
This poll is absolutely bogus. Yes, Harry Reid won, but only owing to the massive Union fraud in Clark County.
As for the other elections, Dina Titus (Dina Tax us!), the commie Democrat from southern Nevada, actually lost to Republican Joe Heck -- in a district that has more registered Democrats than Republicans!
And in the governor's race, Republican Sandoval handily defeated Harry's son -- Rory Reid.
So what does this tell us?
THIS POLL IS BUNK!!!!!!
“Harry is hated in Washoe Co.”
Then why did Harry carry the county by 5 points?
Ask that of the ones who counted the votes..
Same reason he carried Clark - - SEIU, Culinary Union and Harrah's
Why would anyone not vote for Romney because he’s a Mormon when there are so many other reasons to vote against him?
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