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Why the Bond Auction Fizzled: Fears of a 'Fiscal Train Wreck'
CNBC ^ | March 24, 2010 | Steve Liesman

Posted on 03/24/2010 3:45:26 PM PDT by CutePuppy

The results of today's Treasury auction were a shot across the bow of the government.

And, according to David Zervos, head of fixed income strategy at Jeffries, may be an indication of just how skittish some investors are feeling about the fiscal soundness of the United States, in light of big government spending for health care and other costly programs.

“It’s the health-care realization trade,” Zervos told CNBC, post-auction, from the firm’s trading floor. “We’re coming to grips with the fact that we have a Congress that’s ready to go, and spend.”

Zervos, who worked at the Federal Reserve in Washington, DC last year as a visiting advisor, also characterized the government’s recent initiatives as a “fiscal train wreck” that shows a lack of restraint. He predicted the health-care bill will yield trillions of dollars in debt (marketable).

Investors showed scant interest in the latest round of debt auctions: Depressed demand today in five-year note sales pushed Treasury yields up. The $42 billion sale drew a yield of 2.065 percent, full 10 basis points, or 0.10 percentage points—up from the where the five-year was trading when the results came out at 1 p.m.

Jefferies’ Chief Financial Economist Ward McCarthy agreed with his colleague and told CNBC, “There’s a lot of concern about what’s happening on a fiscal basis. We have enormous budget deficiencies, and Congress and the Administration really have done nothing to address that. In fact, the recent legislation on health care is going to increase our budget deficits by over a trillion dollars.

In a related discussion, McCarthy also told CNBC the economic rebound is moving forward, but his expectations were muted: He predicted a “fair to middling” recovery, and added that “it’s going to take some time before we generate strong growth.”

Reported by Steve Liesman, written by Michelle Lodge

(Excerpt) Read more at cnbc.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: billgross; bondauction; bondmarket; bonds; changehitsthefan; debt; economy; heaalthcare; hopehitsthefan; liesman; obamacare; obamafactor; pimco; treasuriesauction; zervos
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This is what's know as "Obama factor" - the reason why this recovery is not nearly as robust as would be expected to be compared with previous rebounds from deep recessions.
1 posted on 03/24/2010 3:45:26 PM PDT by CutePuppy
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To: CutePuppy; TigerLikesRooster; dennisw; FromLori; rabscuttle385

Titanic Ping


2 posted on 03/24/2010 3:46:30 PM PDT by Travis McGee (---www.EnemiesForeignAndDomestic.com---)
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To: CutePuppy

In my view, lending money to this government is not only a bad investment. It is an immoral act.


3 posted on 03/24/2010 3:48:33 PM PDT by arista
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To: CutePuppy

The United States Is Being Destroyed


4 posted on 03/24/2010 3:48:36 PM PDT by Psycho_Bunny
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To: CutePuppy
ObamaCare is good for you in the same way that Global Warming was called settled science!
5 posted on 03/24/2010 3:48:49 PM PDT by Obadiah (ObamaCare = VA hospitals for everyone!)
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To: Psycho_Bunny

We MUST get every Repub running for the House to sign a pledge that the FIRST thing they will do is vote to DEFUND Obamacare on day one.

The Senate and Obama will not be able to do anything about it. The libs starved Terri Schivo. This bill needs to be defunded.


6 posted on 03/24/2010 3:51:33 PM PDT by Frantzie (McCain = Obama's friend McCain called AMERICANS against amnesty - "racists")
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To: CutePuppy
Investors showed scant interest in the latest round of debt auctions: Depressed demand today in five-year note sales pushed Treasury yields up. The $42 billion sale drew a yield of 2.065 percent, full 10 basis points

10 basis points in a five year note is not exactly a catastrophe.

7 posted on 03/24/2010 3:51:48 PM PDT by SonOfDarkSkies (I never saw a wild thing sorry for itself... - D.H. Lawrence)
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To: CutePuppy

“- the reason why this recovery is not nearly as robust...”

:::::::

RECOVERY ??? The author must be talking about some other country....


8 posted on 03/24/2010 3:51:56 PM PDT by EagleUSA
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To: CutePuppy

This is exactly why the FED must be killed.

Without the FED, massive Gov’t spending and borrowing would have had a forced a common-sense reaction from the markets long ago. Without the FED supporting it, the Government could never pursue these crazy social engineering and big-Govt schemes.


9 posted on 03/24/2010 3:52:39 PM PDT by PGR88 (I'm so open-minded, my brains fell out.)
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To: CutePuppy

Loose cannons in the White House and on Capitol Hill.


10 posted on 03/24/2010 3:52:56 PM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (I am in America but not of America (per bible: am in the world but not of it))
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To: CutePuppy

It’s worse than that. We are sitting on a ticking time-bomb, and the threat of total economic collapse is nowhere near zero. Some smart guys put it at 50% last year, maybe a little less this year, but it’s about like predicting the next earthquake...all you can do is look for signs and precursors but you won’t know for sure until it hits.

Obama is doing everything wrong. Healthcare is tossing a lit match (or in his case, a cigarette butt) in the general direction of a puddle of gas, hoping it won’t blow...right away. But keep doing it, and the odds become pretty predictable.


11 posted on 03/24/2010 3:52:59 PM PDT by bigbob
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To: SonOfDarkSkies

Catastrophe, no. Warning, yes. And the author of the piece is a strong Democrat supporter.


12 posted on 03/24/2010 3:56:25 PM PDT by Melchior
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To: Psycho_Bunny

Yes, but th US dollar is being destroyed along with it as well.

A currency crisis approaches.


13 posted on 03/24/2010 3:56:44 PM PDT by TruthConquers (Delendae sunt publicae scholae)
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To: Travis McGee

Paddle Faster!


14 posted on 03/24/2010 3:57:21 PM PDT by LomanBill (Animals! The DemocRats blew up the windmill with an Acorn!)
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To: PGR88

LOL, The FED was probably the only one there buying today....


15 posted on 03/24/2010 3:57:23 PM PDT by Mister Muggles (.Seattle: A city full of Liberal men with vaginas.)
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To: SonOfDarkSkies

10 basis points isn’t much....but it may be the beginning of a trend. The first move toward higher interest rates is going to have a huge effect on the bond market.


16 posted on 03/24/2010 3:57:57 PM PDT by jdsteel (CONGRESS: Take it again in twenty ten.)
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To: Psycho_Bunny
The United States Is Being Destroyed

Deliberately!

17 posted on 03/24/2010 3:57:59 PM PDT by meyer (It's time...)
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To: EagleUSA

This will kill the stock market and the housing market if there is one somewhere and the economy


18 posted on 03/24/2010 3:58:16 PM PDT by Hojczyk
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To: PGR88

The FED is uconstitutonal.

And getting rid of them would be a good way to implode the ponzi scheme the marxists rely on to buy their votes.

Getting rid of the FED is probably more important than getting rid of health care. It is that foundational.


19 posted on 03/24/2010 4:00:56 PM PDT by TruthConquers (Delendae sunt publicae scholae)
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To: CutePuppy

This is gonna be a train wreck of Biblical proportions. 0 has already been adding about 1.4 trillion a year to our debt WITHOUT the health care. Add in Cap and trade, increased immigration and the massive additional drag that puts on social services, increased union clout to suck up billions in monies they don’t earn, and the incredible interest it takes to service that debt and the result is inevitable. In fact, the result is already inevitable - all we can effect now is “when” not “if”.


20 posted on 03/24/2010 4:05:34 PM PDT by circlecity
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