Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Amplification of Global Warming by Carbon-Cycle Feedback Significantly Less Than Thought
Science Daily ^ | Jan. 28, 2010 | Unattributed

Posted on 01/28/2010 11:50:43 AM PST by Ben Mugged

A new estimate of the feedback between temperature and atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration has been derived from a comprehensive comparison of temperature and CO2 records spanning the past millennium.

The result, which is based on more than 200,000 individual comparisons, implies that the amplification of current global warming by carbon-cycle feedback will be significantly less than recent work has suggested.

Climate warming causes many changes in the global carbon cycle, with the net effect generally considered to be an increase in atmospheric CO2 with increasing temperature -- in other words, a positive feedback between temperature and CO2. Uncertainty in the magnitude of this feedback has led to a wide range in projections of current global warming: about 40% of the uncertainty in these projections comes from this source.

Recent attempts to quantify the feedback by examining the co-variation of pre-industrial climate and CO2 records yielded estimates of about 40 parts per million by volume (p.p.m.v.) CO2 per degree Celsius, which would imply significant amplification of current warming trends.

(Excerpt) Read more at sciencedaily.com ...


TOPICS: Culture/Society
KEYWORDS: debunk; globalwarming
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-23 next last
Obama should maybe reconsider his position on man-made global warming.
1 posted on 01/28/2010 11:50:43 AM PST by Ben Mugged
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Ben Mugged; Para-Ord.45; rdl6989; mmanager; FreedomPoster; carolinablonde; bamahead; Delacon; ...
 




Beam me to Planet Gore !

2 posted on 01/28/2010 11:53:14 AM PST by steelyourfaith (FReepers were opposed to Obama even before it was cool to be against Obama.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ben Mugged

I didn’t listen to the State of the Union closely, but Obama’s position seems to have changed. His new take on Global Warming is something like “even though it’s a complete fabrication, the US should lead the world in fighting it.”


3 posted on 01/28/2010 11:53:53 AM PST by Question Liberal Authority (Why buy health insurance at all if you can't be turned down for any pre-existing conditions?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: cogitator

Ping of interest. Carbon cycle concern “significantly less than thought.”


4 posted on 01/28/2010 11:56:03 AM PST by ConservativeMind (Hypocrisy: "Animal rightists" who eat meat & pen up pets while accusing hog farmers of cruelty.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ben Mugged
...the amplification of current global warming by carbon-cycle feedback will be significantly less than recent work has suggested.

How much less?

Well, actually...

none.

5 posted on 01/28/2010 11:56:37 AM PST by Talisker (When you find a turtle on top of a fence post, you can be damn sure it didn't get there on it's own.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ben Mugged
temperature and CO2 records spanning the past millennium

Except we only have "accurate" records going back about a hundred years. Everything else is extrapolated.

6 posted on 01/28/2010 11:59:23 AM PST by Hardastarboard (Note to self: Never post in a thread about religion again.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ben Mugged
There is no warming.
The glaciers aren't shrinking.
Carbon emissions aren't doing anything.
We're not to blame.
Climate scientists mostly tell lies for a living.
And the Peer Review process is tainted.

Anything else I can help you with today?

7 posted on 01/28/2010 11:59:39 AM PST by ClearCase_guy (We have the 1st so that we can call on people to rebel. We have 2nd so that they can.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: steelyourfaith
This is exactly why the global climate models are garbage. They really are garbage.

A model must closely integrate all feedback paths, and this empirically determined positive direction has now fallen from 40 ppm to 7.7 ppm.

What's more, although this is apparently an empirical net feedback (from historical data), that does not say anything about the empirical net once CO2 increases significantly, as it repeatedly did over the last five hundred million years.

God, we high school grads have to expose the shoddiness of PhD "climate scientists?"

The Suntrade Institute

"The science is in" - Barack Obama

8 posted on 01/28/2010 12:07:06 PM PST by jnsun (The Left: the need to manipulate others because of nothing productive to offer.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Ben Mugged
The article should have added that the “greenhouse” effect of CO2 is nearly maxed out. The effect varies logarithmically with the amount of CO2. IOW, even doubling the amount of CO2 would only produce a small greenhouse effect. It's all explained here:

http://www.junkscience.com/Greenhouse/index.html

9 posted on 01/28/2010 12:07:11 PM PST by USFRIENDINVICTORIA
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: ClearCase_guy

Any one who has popped a hot coke can tell what hot CO2 does. Also any third grade science student can tell you that melting ice does not raise the water level.
barbra ann


10 posted on 01/28/2010 12:10:55 PM PST by barb-tex (He aint heavy, he's my brother!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: Ben Mugged
Al Goaxster Fraud bump
11 posted on 01/28/2010 12:13:40 PM PST by TexasCajun
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ben Mugged
All the GCMs depend on positive feedback based on CO2 to produce their scary results.

One thing about feedbacks, positive is very destructive and doesn't exist for long. Basically any system with positive feedback eventually rails, and destroys itself in short order.

So since the earth is still here, CO2 has been more than 10 times higher than today, temperature has been higher and lower, positive climate feedbacks based on CO2 don't exist.

12 posted on 01/28/2010 12:18:00 PM PST by Tarpon ( ...)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ben Mugged

Can I have my money back? I never bought in to it, but we sure have paid the cost.


13 posted on 01/28/2010 12:21:51 PM PST by listenhillary (FU Cass Sunstein - You are the embodiment of evil)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: jnsun
Personally, I suspect more primacy to planetary orbital eccentricities and solar activity oscillations than anthropogenic CO2 emissions in affecting climate change.

In fact, the major human impact on climate seems to be GIGO computer climate models, for sure. Thanks, Johnny.

14 posted on 01/28/2010 12:25:51 PM PST by steelyourfaith (FReepers were opposed to Obama even before it was cool to be against Obama.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 8 | View Replies]

To: Question Liberal Authority

“I didn’t listen to the State of the Union closely, but...” ~ Question Liberal Authority

Thursday, January 28, 2010
Obama’s Great Global Warming One-Liner [Daniel Foster]

As you can tell, everybody got a real kick out of it. VIDEO: http://planetgore.nationalreview.com/


15 posted on 01/28/2010 12:38:21 PM PST by Matchett-PI (Obama's mentor Saul Alinsky was the man who transformed politics in America into all-out war mode)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Ben Mugged

They’re all running for the tall timber. :)

The jig is up.

“Abandon Ship, it is every man for himself.”

The Dog Ate My Data
http://thedogatemydata.blogspot.com/2010/01/uk-chief-scientist-climate-change.html

Wednesday, January 27, 2010

UK Chief Scientist: Climate Change “Fundamentally Uncertain”

Not one but two leading alarmist climate scientists desert ship

The credibility of the IPCC has reached a new all time low. Another leading warmist scientist, this time the UK’s Chief Scientist Prof John Beddington is deserting ship.

The impact of global warming has been exaggerated by some scientists and there is an urgent need for more honest disclosure of the uncertainty of predictions about the rate of climate change, according to the Government’s chief scientific adviser.

Beddington states in the Times Online:

“I don’t think it’s healthy to dismiss proper skepticism. Science grows and improves in the light of criticism. There is a fundamental uncertainty about climate change prediction that can’t be changed.”

...

“I think, wherever possible, we should try to ensure there is openness and that source material is available for the whole scientific community.”

Climate science fundamentally uncertain!? That is the first time we have heard anything but the mantra, the science is settled from an alarmist scientist. Utterly astonishing. Just as astonishing:

Mike Hulme, Professor of Climate Change at the University of East Anglia, said: “Climate scientists get kudos from working on an issue in the public eye but with that kudos comes responsibility. Being open with data is part of that responsibility.”

It is astonishing because from the Climategate emails leaked in December 2009 the now stood down Prof Phil “Hide the Decline” Jones former head of the CRU at the University of East Anglia we have this email response from him after repeated request for data:

“We have 25 or so years invested in the work. Why should I make the data available to you when your aim is to try and find something wrong with it?”

This talk of openess is totally new for the alarmist scientists. Obviously seeing the way the wind is blowing the more astute are now urging a total change of approach. The IPCC has obviously taken some heavy damage in the last couple of weeks with revelation of known errors being published for political reasons.

See the Times for the full article .

Canada’s leading climate scientist is also deserting ship! When not one but two leading Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming admirals desert the IPCC you can be sure it is damaged.

These two scientists, as well as some others are pulling back now while the going is good.

Read about Canada’s Andrew Weaver in the National Post :

A catastrophic heat wave appears to be closing in on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. How hot is it getting in the scientific kitchen where they’ve been cooking the books and spicing up the stew pots? So hot, apparently, that Andrew Weaver, probably Canada’s leading climate scientist, is calling for replacement of IPCC leadership and institutional reform.

If Andrew Weaver is heading for the exits, it’s a pretty sure sign that the United Nations agency is under monumental stress. Mr. Weaver, after all, has been a major IPCC science insider for years. He is Canada Research Chair in Climate Modelling and Analysis at the University of Victoria, mastermind of one of the most sophisticated climate modelling systems on the planet, and lead author on two recent landmark IPCC reports. For him to say, as he told Canwest News yesterday, that there has been some “dangereous crossing” of the line between climate advocacy and science at the IPCC is stunning in itself.

Not only is Mr. Weaver an IPCC insider. He has also, over the years, generated his own volume of climate advocacy that often seemed to have crossed that dangereous line between hype and science. It is Mr. Weaver, for example, who said the IPCC’s 2007 science report ­ the one now subject to some scrutiny ­“isn’t a smoking gun; climate is a battalion of intergalactic smoking missiles.”

He has also made numerous television appearances linking current weather and temperature events with global warming, painting sensational pictures and dramatic links. “When you see these [temperature] numbers, it’s screaming out at you: ‘This is global warming!

Abandon Ship, it is every man for himself. http://bit.ly/cjP2JP


16 posted on 01/28/2010 12:39:57 PM PST by Matchett-PI (Obama's mentor Saul Alinsky was the man who transformed politics in America into all-out war mode)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Ben Mugged
"A new estimate..."

Uh-huh...

The CYA in the science media begins.

Won't do 'em any good. They're on record as fawning sycophant devotees to Rev. Al Gore's Church of Mother Gaia Earth Worship.

17 posted on 01/28/2010 12:41:52 PM PST by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Question Liberal Authority
I didn’t listen to the State of the Union closely, but Obama’s position seems to have changed.

His new take on Global Warming is something like “even though it’s a complete fabrication, the US should lead the world in fighting it.”

No, he stated (paraphrasing) that "the science behind Global Warming is beyond dispute."

18 posted on 01/28/2010 12:44:52 PM PST by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Ben Mugged

This report provides significant proof, as an example, for why the founders DID NOT choose a direct democracy (mob in the street) and why Congress fails to live up to the standard expected of it when it acts like a mob in the street (jumps to conclusions) and fails to carry out the due diligence expected of it, before it writes the laws.


19 posted on 01/28/2010 5:47:00 PM PST by Wuli
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: barb-tex
"Any one who has popped a hot coke can tell what hot CO2 does. Also any third grade science student can tell you that melting ice does not raise the water level."

~~~~~~~

Are you sure you haven't read my fifth-grade granddaughter's science fair project -- which I posted here and here?

The red-framed panel at lower left center of her display describes her experiment with heating Dr. Pepper... '-)

Of course, she also repeated the experiment first formulated by Archimedes of Syracuse -- showing that floating ice does not change the liquid level when it melts (photos included).

FWIW, she also trashes Hansen's skewing of the temperature record by misuse of the Urban Heat Island Effect on US temperature measurements, etc.

I expect you will enjoy taking a look at her work...

20 posted on 01/28/2010 9:01:19 PM PST by TXnMA (D'Aleo re Hansen's "GISS" temperature database: "Non Gradus Anus Rodentum!")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 10 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-23 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson