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Washington Post : E-mails Don't Prove Warming is a Fraud
Washington Post via RealClearPolitics ^ | 11/27/2009 | Eugene Robinson

Posted on 11/27/2009 7:49:12 AM PST by SeekAndFind

WASHINGTON -- Stop hyperventilating, all you climate change deniers. The purloined e-mail correspondence published by skeptics last week -- portraying some leading climate researchers as petty, vindictive and tremendously eager to make their data fit accepted theories -- does not prove that global warming is a fraud.

If I'm wrong, somebody ought to tell the polar ice caps that they're free to stop melting.

That said, the e-mail episode is more than a major embarrassment for the scientists involved. Most Americans are convinced that climate change is real -- a necessary prerequisite for the kinds of huge economic and behavioral adjustments we would have to make to begin seriously limiting carbon emissions. But consensus on the nature and scope of the problem will dissipate, and fast, if experts try to obscure the fact that there's much about the climate they still don't know.

Here's what happened: Someone hacked into the servers at one of the leading academic centers in the field -- the Climatic Research Unit of the University of East Anglia in Norwich, England -- and filched a trove of e-mails and documents, which have been posted on numerous Web sites maintained by climate skeptics.

Phil Jones, the head of the Climatic Research Unit, released a statement Wednesday saying, "My colleagues and I accept that some of the published e-mails do not read well." That would be an example of British understatement.

In one message sent to a long list of colleagues, Jones speaks of having completed a "trick" with recent temperature data to "hide the decline." The word "trick" is hardly a smoking gun -- scientists use it to refer to clever but perfectly legitimate ways of handling data. But the "hide the decline" part refers to a real issue among climate researchers called the "divergence problem."

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Editorial; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: climatechange; climategate; compost; emails; globalwarming; gorebalism; hadleycru
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To: jpsb
The graph is what they get after they get rid of all the troublesome data.

Go HERE for the following:

Medieval Warm Period Record of the Week

Was there a Medieval Warm Period? YES, according to data published by 768 individual scientists from 454 separate research institutions in 42 different countries ... and counting! This issue's Medieval Warm Period Record of the Week comes from Outer Hebrides, Scotland. To access the entire Medieval Warm Period Project's database, click here.
81 posted on 11/27/2009 9:03:57 AM PST by aruanan
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To: SeekAndFind
"...scientists use it to refer to clever but perfectly legitimate ways of handling data."

...he said with a cleverly posed straight face...

82 posted on 11/27/2009 9:06:04 AM PST by Liberty Valance (Keep a simple manner for a happy life :o)
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To: SeekAndFind

Liars lie. It’s who they are.


83 posted on 11/27/2009 9:11:24 AM PST by Interesting Times (For the truth about "swift boating" see ToSetTheRecordStraight.com)
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To: SeekAndFind

Poor Wa Po. Arctic and Antarctic ice isn’t vanishing. The globe isn’t warming. What is a good liberal to do? LIE. Yep that’s the ticket.


84 posted on 11/27/2009 9:26:11 AM PST by Nuc1 (NUC1 Sub pusher SSN 668 (Liberals Aren't Patriots))
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To: aruanan

Thank you for posting that superb resource.


85 posted on 11/27/2009 9:31:46 AM PST by agere_contra
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To: SeekAndFind
The purloined e-mail correspondence published by skeptics last week -- portraying some leading climate researchers as petty, vindictive and tremendously eager to make their data fit accepted theories -- does not prove that global warming is a fraud.

Perhaps. But reaching this point where you and other stooges are so much on the defensive, that you're forced mention the possibility of fraud to half hardheartedly deny it (who's the denier now?), is a huge step in the right direction for the good guys. No?

86 posted on 11/27/2009 10:01:02 AM PST by Minn (Here is a realistic picture of the prophet: ----> ([: {()
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To: capt. norm; StarFan; Dutchy; alisasny; BobFromNJ; BUNNY2003; Cacique; Clemenza; Coleus; cyborg; ...
LOL, great post (below), capt. norm!

The author:

"I can't hear you LA LA LA!"

87 posted on 11/27/2009 10:05:26 AM PST by nutmeg (Rush Limbaugh & Sarah Palin agree: NO third parties! Take back the GOP)
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To: Sherman Logan
The frauds committed by these guys in the service of AGW neither proves nor disproves the validity of their cause.

Maybe not, but it changes the odds on the validity, doesn't it?

Although anybody who has participated in the frauds to date should certainly have any future work looked at by a jaundiced eye.

And all past work; and any work that relied on that past work; which cascades to just about everything these people have been expecting us to believe.

88 posted on 11/27/2009 10:06:03 AM PST by Minn (Here is a realistic picture of the prophet: ----> ([: {()
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To: SeekAndFind

This guy has always been a moron but he is trying to outdo himself this time.


89 posted on 11/27/2009 10:08:18 AM PST by Scanian
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To: SeekAndFind

Since nobody out there is God, including you, taking money out of peoples pockets so that certain One World elitists can pretend they will save the planet by taxing people, is pure hogwash.

This planet may go down someday, but money ain’t going to save it.


90 posted on 11/27/2009 10:13:07 AM PST by dforest (Who is the real Jim Thompson? I am.)
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To: All; SeekAndFind
Why You Should Be Hot and Bothered About 'Climate-gate'
FoxNews.com ^ | November 24, 2009 | John Lott

Computer hackers have obtained 160 megabytes of e-mails from the Climate Research Unit at the University of East Anglia in England. These e-mails, which have now been confirmed as real, involved many researchers across the globe with ideologically similar advocates around the world. They were brazenly discussing the destruction and hiding of data that did not support global warming claims. The academics here also worked closely with the U.N.'s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.

Professor Phil Jones, the head of the Climate Research Unit, and Professor Michael Mann at Pennsylvania State University, who has been an important scientist in the climate debate, have come under particular scrutiny.

Among his e-mails, Professor Jones talks to Professor Mann about the "trick of adding in the real temps to each series...to hide the decline [in temperature]."..."

Another professor at the Climate Research Unit, Tim Osborn, discusses in e-mails how truncating a data series can hide a cooling trend that would otherwise be seen in the results. Professor Mann sent Professor Osborn an e-mail saying that the results he is sending shouldn't be shown to others because the results support critics of global warming. Time after time the discussions refer to hiding or destroying data. ..."

Lots more at link...

(Excerpt) Read more at foxnews.com ...

91 posted on 11/27/2009 10:15:41 AM PST by ETL (ALL (most?) of the Obama-commie connections at my FR Home page: http://www.freerepublic.com/~etl/)
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To: FormerACLUmember
I now feel fully free to literally laugh in the face of any "climate change" advocate I encounter.

And that's all I'll do.

After all, the debate is now over (to paraphrase Algore).

92 posted on 11/27/2009 10:18:15 AM PST by daler
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To: SeekAndFind

The global warming scam is operated using the same principles as the subprime mortgages scheme. Come up with an idea to make money from something that essentially doesn’t exist then manipulate the numbers to either scare or entice. Same ol’ bottle of snake oil that keeps getting sold, over and over again.


93 posted on 11/27/2009 10:19:34 AM PST by arasina (So there.)
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To: SeekAndFind

The emails may not prove global warming is a fraus, but they do prove that all the global warming supporters are.


94 posted on 11/27/2009 10:36:40 AM PST by BuffaloJack (Ali Obama and the 40 Czars.)
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To: SeekAndFind
Washington Post : E-mails Don't Prove Warming is a Fraud

I agree. The SCIENCE does.

The emails prove it was a conspiracy to promote fraud.

They should all be tried and convicted for the crimes they have perpetuated against all humanity.

95 posted on 11/27/2009 10:41:21 AM PST by Caipirabob (Communists... Socialists... Democrats...Traitors... Who can tell the difference?)
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To: Caipirabob
Re: Washington Post: "E-mails Don't Prove Warming is a Fraud"

I agree. The SCIENCE does.

Exactly.

There is no evidence that CO2 has ever caused significant warming on Earth when the concentrations were within 10-15 times of what they are today. Water vapor is, by far, the most important greenhouse gas in the Earth system. Water vapor accounts for about 95% of the greenhouse effect on Earth. Earth's temperature variations are much better correlated with the Sun's solar activity/sunspot cycle than with CO2 changes.-etl

THE ACQUITTAL OF CARBON DIOXIDE
by Jeffrey A. Glassman, PhD

ABSTRACT:

"Carbon dioxide in the atmosphere [historically] is the product of oceanic respiration due to the well-known but under-appreciated solubility pump. Carbon dioxide rises out of warm ocean waters where it is added to the atmosphere. There it is mixed with residual and accidental CO2, and circulated, to be absorbed into the sink of the cold ocean waters. Next the thermohaline circulation carries the CO2-rich sea water deep into the ocean. A millennium later it appears at the surface in warm waters, saturated by lower pressure and higher temperature, to be exhausted back into the atmosphere. Throughout the past 420 millennia, comprising four interglacial periods, the Vostok record of atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration is imprinted with, and fully characterized by, the physics of the solubility of CO2 in water, along with the lag in the deep ocean circulation.

Notwithstanding that carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas, atmospheric carbon dioxide has neither caused nor amplified global temperature increases. Increased carbon dioxide has been an effect of global warming, not a cause. Technically, carbon dioxide is a lagging proxy for ocean temperatures. When global temperature, and along with it, ocean temperature rises, the physics of solubility causes atmospheric CO2 to increase.

If increases in carbon dioxide, or any other greenhouse gas, could have in turn raised global temperatures, the positive feedback would have been catastrophic. While the conditions for such a catastrophe were present in the Vostok record from natural causes, the runaway event did not occur. Carbon dioxide does not accumulate in the atmosphere."

http://www.rocketscientistsjournal.com/2006/10/co2_acquittal.html
_______________________________________________________________

The graph above represents temperature and CO2 levels over the past 400,000 years. It is the same exact data Al Gore and the rest of the man-made global warmers refer to. The blue line is temps, the red, CO2 levels. The deep valleys represent 4 separate glaciation/ice-age periods. Look carefully at this historical relationship between temps and CO2 levels (the present is on the right hand side of the graph) and keep in mind that Gore claims this data is the 'proof' that CO2 has warmed the earth in the past. But does the data indeed show this? Nope. In fact, rising CO2 levels all throughout this 400,000-year period actually *followed* temperature increases -lagging behind by an average of 800 years! So it couldn't have been CO2 that got Earth out of these past glaciations. Yet Gore continually and dishonestly claims otherwise. Furthermore, the subsequent CO2 level increases due to dissolved CO2 being released from warming oceans, never did lead to additional warming, the so-called "run-away greenhouse effect" that Al Gore and his friends keep warning us about. In short, there is little if any evidence that CO2 had ever led to increased warming, at least not when the levels were within 10-15 times of what they are today. -etl
_______________________________________________________________


"The above chart shows the range of global temperature through the last 500 million years. There is no statistical correlation between the level of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere through the last 500 million years and the temperature record in this interval. In fact, one of the highest levels of carbon dioxide concentration occurred during a major ice age that occurred about 450 million years ago [Myr]. Carbon dioxide concentrations at that time were about 15 times higher than at present." [also see 180 million years ago, same thing happened]:
http://www.tcsdaily.com/article.aspx?id=010405M
_______________________________________________________________

So, greenhouse [effect] is all about carbon dioxide, right?

Wrong. The most important players on the greenhouse stage are water vapor and clouds [clouds of course aren't gas, but high level ones do act to trap heat from escaping, while low-lying cumulus clouds tend to reflect sunlight and thereby help cool the planet -etl]. Carbon dioxide has been increased to about 0.038% of the atmosphere (possibly from about 0.028% pre-Industrial Revolution) while water in its various forms ranges from 0% to 4% of the atmosphere and its properties vary by what form it is in and even at what altitude it is found in the atmosphere.

In simple terms the bulk of Earth's greenhouse effect is due to water vapor by virtue of its abundance. Water accounts for about 90% of the Earth's greenhouse effect -- perhaps 70% is due to water vapor and about 20% due to clouds (mostly water droplets), some estimates put water as high as 95% of Earth's total tropospheric greenhouse effect (e.g., Freidenreich and Ramaswamy, 'Solar Radiation Absorption by Carbon Dioxide, Overlap with Water, and a Parameterization for General Circulation Models,' Journal of Geophysical Research 98 (1993):7255-7264).

The remaining portion comes from carbon dioxide, nitrous oxide, methane, ozone and miscellaneous other 'minor greenhouse gases.' As an example of the relative importance of water it should be noted that changes in the relative humidity on the order of 1.3-4% are equivalent to the effect of doubling CO2.

http://www.junkscience.com/Greenhouse/
_______________________________________________________________

Water Vapor Rules the Greenhouse System

Water vapor constitutes Earth's most significant greenhouse gas, accounting for about 95% of Earth's greenhouse effect (4). Interestingly, many 'facts and figures' regarding global warming completely ignore the powerful effects of water vapor in the greenhouse system, carelessly (perhaps, deliberately) overstating human impacts as much as 20-fold.

Water vapor is 99.999% of natural origin. Other atmospheric greenhouse gases, carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O), and miscellaneous other gases (CFC's, etc.), are also mostly of natural origin (except for the latter, which is mostly anthropogenic).

Human activities contribute slightly to greenhouse gas concentrations through farming, manufacturing, power generation, and transportation. However, these emissions are so dwarfed in comparison to emissions from natural sources we can do nothing about, that even the most costly efforts to limit human emissions would have a very small-- perhaps undetectable-- effect on global climate.

http://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/greenhouse_data.html
_______________________________________________________________

Water Vapor Confirmed As Major Player In Climate Change

ScienceDaily (Nov. 18, 2008) — Water vapor is known to be Earth's most abundant greenhouse gas, but the extent of its contribution to global warming has been debated. Using recent NASA satellite data, researchers have estimated more precisely than ever the heat-trapping effect of water in the air, validating the role of the gas as a critical component of climate change.

http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/11/081117193013.htm

96 posted on 11/27/2009 10:46:28 AM PST by ETL (ALL (most?) of the Obama-commie connections at my FR Home page: http://www.freerepublic.com/~etl/)
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To: SeekAndFind

OMG they are seriously disturbed if they don’t think that admitting faking data to reach a predetermened destination still makes it valid. How stupid do you have to be to still think “fake but acurate”.They need deprogrammed I guess?


97 posted on 11/27/2009 10:50:37 AM PST by chris_bdba
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To: SeekAndFind

Robinson is a member of the National Association of Black Journalists.

Robinson appears frequently on MSNBC as a political analyst on shows such as Countdown with Keith Olbermann, The Rachel Maddow Show and Hardball with Chris Matthews.

Robinson is a distant cousin of First Lady, Michelle Obama

98 posted on 11/27/2009 11:07:32 AM PST by kcvl
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To: SeekAndFind
"Well, what about the polar ice caps and Mt. Kilimanjaro’s vanishing snow ?"

The polar ice caps are GAINING ice. They are at the highest ever measured by satellites. The glaciers on Mt. Kilimanjaro are ABOVE the prema frost line. They never melt. They are receding since they happen to be getting less snowfall; the ice is sublimating, not melting.

99 posted on 11/27/2009 11:12:08 AM PST by norwaypinesavage (The trouble liberals isn't that they are ignorant; it is that they know so much that isn't so.)
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To: SeekAndFind
Forget the emails! Don't let them sidetrack this as if it was just about emails.

The emails are only a part of the story.

The comments in the code released along with the emails show the manipulation of data and numbers to fit the hoped for results.

The emails showed these "scientists" to be petty, venal, and self-serving. The code shows that data and numbers were manipulated.

100 posted on 11/27/2009 12:02:22 PM PST by spodefly ( This is my tag line. There are many like it, but this one is mine.)
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