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To: cripplecreek

I won’t be taking the vaccine. PERIOD.

__________________________________

Rightfully so!!! The link I posted to the UK Daily Mail has statistics from the 1976 flu vaccine debacle..

“It refers to the use of a similar swine flu vaccine in the United States in 1976 when:

* More people died from the vaccination than from swine flu.
* 500 cases of GBS* were detected.
* The vaccine may have increased the risk of contracting GBS by eight times.
* The vaccine was withdrawn after just ten weeks when the link with GBS became clear.
* The US Government was forced to pay out millions of dollars to those affected.

*Guillain-Barre Syndrome (GBS)


50 posted on 08/24/2009 1:24:40 PM PDT by kimla
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To: kimla
The link I posted to the UK Daily Mail has statistics from the 1976 flu vaccine debacle...

* More people died from the vaccination than from swine flu.
* 500 cases of GBS* were detected.

Different year, very different situation.

In 1976, there was only ONE death from swine flu, and 25 deaths from the vaccine. 18% of the population were vaccinated.

That means if 2/3rd of the population had been vaccinated, we might've expected 90 deaths, and 1800 resulting cases of GBS detected.

Adjusted for today's population, that would be around 125 deaths and 2500 cases of GBS detected.

So far, this influenza has infected a very small percentage of our population but has killed more than 500 Americans, making it HUGELY more deadly than the 1976 bug.

I would estimate around 100,000 infections so far in the USA, and that around 1/3 of the population would be affected without a vaccine.

So we can draw up two potential scenarios:

1) Two thirds of the country gets vaccinated, epidemic is stopped:

Result: 125 people die of the vaccine, and 2500 get GBS.

2) Nobody gets vaccinated. 500,000 men, women and children die of influenza.

Hmm. So far, actually, the odds appear to me to be HEAVILY skewed in favor of it being a smart idea to take the vaccine.

Like I say, I haven't totally made my own decision yet (I do appreciate risks of vaccines). And a fear of the vaccine is not entirely unreasonable. CFR on this bug is around 0.5% and we do, after all, have to take the word of the "authorities" that it's been adequately tested and is not going to harm us.

But I suspect that in the end it's going to be pretty hard for me to ignore the basic math.

54 posted on 08/24/2009 2:49:01 PM PDT by john in springfield (One has to belong to the intelligentsia to believe such things.No ordinary man could be such a fool.)
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