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America's future (California vs Texas)
The Economist ^ | 7/10/2009

Posted on 07/11/2009 7:45:54 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

AMERICA’S recent history has been a relentless tilt to the West—of people, ideas, commerce and even political power. California and Texas, the nation’s two biggest states, are the twin poles of the West, but very different ones. For most of the 20th century the home of Silicon Valley and Hollywood has been the brainier, sexier, trendier of the two: its suburbs and freeways, its fads and foibles, its marvellous miscegenation have spread around the world. Texas, once a part of the Confederacy, has trailed behind: its cliché has been a conservative Christian in cowboy boots, much like a certain recent president. But twins can change places. Is that happening now?

It is easy to find evidence that California is in a funk . At the start of this month the once golden state started paying creditors, including those owed tax refunds, business suppliers and students expecting grants, in IOUs. California’s governor, Arnold Schwarzenegger, also said that the gap between projected outgoings and income for the current fiscal year has leapt to a horrible $26 billion. With no sign of a new budget to close this chasm, one credit agency has already downgraded California’s debt. As budgets are cut, universities will let in fewer students, prisoners will be released early and schemes to protect the vulnerable will be rolled back. They paved paradise and put up the parking taxes

Plenty of American states have budget crises; but California’s illustrate two more structural worries about the state. Back in its golden age in the 1950s and 1960s, it offered middle-class people, not just techy high-fliers, a shot at the American dream—complete with superb schools and universities, and an enviable physical infrastructure. These days California’s unemployment rate is running at 11.5%, two points ahead of the national average. In such Californian cities as Fresno, Merced and El Centro, jobless rates are higher than in Detroit. Its roads and schools are crumbling. Every year, over 100,000 more Americans leave the state than enter it.

The second worry has to do with dysfunctional government. No state has quite so many overlapping systems of accountability or such a gerrymandered legislature. Ballot initiatives, the crack cocaine of democracy, have left only around a quarter of its budget within the power of its representative politicians. (One reason budget cuts are inevitable is that voters rejected tax increases in a package of ballot measures in May.) Not that Californian government comes cheap: it has the second-highest top level of state income tax in America (after Hawaii, of all places). Indeed, high taxes, coupled with intrusive regulation of business and greenery taken to silly extremes, have gradually strangled what was once America’s most dynamic state economy. Chief Executive magazine, to take just one example, has ranked California the very worst state to do business in for each of the past four years.

By contrast, Texas was the best state in that poll. It has coped well with the recession, with an unemployment rate two points below the national average and one of the lowest rates of housing repossession. In part this is because Texan banks, hard hit in the last property bust, did not overexpand this time. But as our special report this week explains, Texas also clearly offers a different model, based on small government. It has no state capital-gains or income tax, and a business-friendly and immigrant-tolerant attitude. It is home to more Fortune 500 companies than any other state—64 compared with California’s 51 and New York’s 56. And as happens to fashionable places, some erstwhile weaknesses now seem strengths (flat, ugly countryside makes it easier for Dallas-Fort Worth to expand than mountain-and-sea-locked LA), while old conservative stereotypes are being questioned: two leading contenders to be Houston’s next mayor are a black man and a white lesbian. Texas also gets on better with Mexico than California does.

American conservatives have seized on this reversal of fortune: Arthur Laffer, a Reaganite economist, hails the Texan model over the Gipper’s now hopelessly leftish home. Despite all this, it still seems too early to cede America’s future to the Lone Star state. To begin with, that lean Texan model has its own problems. It has not invested enough in education, and many experts rightly worry about a “lost generation” of mostly Hispanic Texans with insufficient skills for the demands of the knowledge economy. Now immigration is likely to reconvert Texas from Republican red to Democratic blue; Latinos may justly demand a bigger, more “Californian” state to educate them and provide them with decent health care. But Texas could then end up with the same over-empowered public-sector unions who have helped wreck government in California.

Second, it has never paid to bet against a state with as many inventive people as California. Even if Hollywood is in the dumps (see article), it still boasts an unequalled array of sunrise industries and the most agile venture-capital industry on the planet; there is no prospect of the likes of Google decamping from Mountain View for Austin, though many start-ups have. The state also has an awesome ability to reinvent itself—as it did when its defence industry collapsed at the end of the cold war. Perhaps the rejection of tax increases will “starve the beast” and promote structural reform. A referendum on a new primaries system could end its polarised politics. Mr Schwarzenegger’s lazy governorship could come to be seen not as the great missed opportunity, but as the spur for reform.

Fifty laboratories, one magic formula

The truth is that both states could learn from each other. Texas still lacks California’s great universities and lags in terms of culture. California could adopt not just Texas’s leaner state, but also its more bipartisan approach to politics and its more welcoming attitude towards Mexico. There is no perfect model of government: it is America’s genius to have 50 public-policy laboratories competing to find out what works best—just as it is the relentless competition of clever new firms from Portland to Pittsburgh that will pull the country out of its current gloom. But, to give Texas some credit and serve as a warning to Mr Schwarzenegger’s heir, at this moment America’s two most futuristic states look a lot more like equals than ever before.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Editorial; News/Current Events; US: California; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: america; california; future; laffer; taxandspend; texas
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1 posted on 07/11/2009 7:45:55 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

>One reason budget cuts are inevitable is that voters rejected tax increases in a package of ballot measures in May.<

gosh that’s a shame!

the politicians can’t borrow money to pay city, county and state unions and for illegals’ services.


2 posted on 07/11/2009 7:49:17 AM PDT by ken21 (i am not voting for a rino-progressive.)
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To: SeekAndFind

bookmark


3 posted on 07/11/2009 7:51:10 AM PDT by GOP Poet
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To: SeekAndFind

“Lacks in culture” what crap, Cali seems more like the third world everyday, it coasts on the fumes of the Reagan era. This site is home to numerous ex-pats who can testify to this shlock writer who no doubt flew in and went straight to an enclave of like minded twits.


4 posted on 07/11/2009 7:53:49 AM PDT by junta (I am the son of Yacub, who for one welcomes my new overlord Obama.)
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To: SeekAndFind
Despite all this, it still seems too early to cede America’s future to the Lone Star state

This sentence pretty much sums up the bogus conclusion of this article. Even when confronted with the facts, some people just can't see the truth. Wow...

Let's see how those "great" California universities are doing after 2 or 3 years of 20-50% budget cuts!

5 posted on 07/11/2009 7:58:12 AM PDT by SomeCallMeTim
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To: SeekAndFind

There’s still a lot of building going on here in Texas.

New apartments and houses everywhere. Probably half the people in the state are not from here (but as the bumper sticker says, “I got here as quickly as I could).

More space, cheaper real estate, less intrusive regulation, etc.

Seems to work.


6 posted on 07/11/2009 7:58:32 AM PDT by garyhope
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To: SeekAndFind
To begin with, that lean Texan model has its own problems. It has not invested enough in education, and many experts rightly worry about a “lost generation” of mostly Hispanic Texans with insufficient skills for the demands of the knowledge economy.

As opposed to the straight A - highly educated illegal immigrants in California?

Now immigration is likely to reconvert Texas from Republican red to Democratic blue; Latinos may justly demand a bigger, more “Californian” state to educate them and provide them with decent health care. But Texas could then end up with the same over-empowered public-sector unions who have helped wreck government in California.

Sad but true. Demographics will turn currently booming Texas into another corrupt, decadent Liberal §¶!+¶@[£ within the next couple of elections.

7 posted on 07/11/2009 8:04:43 AM PDT by qam1 (There's been a huge party. All plates and the bottles are empty, all that's left is the bill to pay)
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To: SeekAndFind
Texas still lacks California’s great universities and lags in terms of culture

YES!!! Please believe that all you liberals... Texas SUCKS... DO NOT MOVE HERE!!!

Stay the f#@k away.. move to New York and Florida.. just don't come to Texas if you're a lib. We're too stupid and don't have great culture like they do in Santa Monica, San Francisco or LA.

Our criminals are coddled and it's unsafe here, cause everybody has guns.

We don't have fun and the people are unfriendly.

But basically, Texans just aren't as cool as the people from New York or California.. just ask them.

8 posted on 07/11/2009 8:05:03 AM PDT by erman (Outside of a dog, a book is man's best companion. Inside of a dog, it's too dark to read.)
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To: SeekAndFind
RE: TEXAS. “It has no state capital-gains or income tax,” (we have FEES and oh God they will kill you)”and a business-friendly yes and immigrant-tolerant attitude” (who in the He!! told you that?).
9 posted on 07/11/2009 8:05:23 AM PDT by BellStar (May the Fourth be with you all year long!)
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To: SeekAndFind
"Texas still lacks California’s great universities cesspools of liberal indoctrination and lags in terms of culture hasn't sold out to political correctness."

There. Fixed it.

10 posted on 07/11/2009 8:05:40 AM PDT by FLAMING DEATH (I am NOT better off than I was four years ago!)
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To: SeekAndFind

The Texas legislature only meets every other year, so we get screwed-over only half as much as Californians.


11 posted on 07/11/2009 8:07:07 AM PDT by smokingfrog ( Don't mess with the mockingbird! /\/\ http://tiny.cc/freepthis)
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To: BellStar
we have FEES and oh God they will kill you

Are these fees levied on you when you don't use the service ? If not, then they aren't taxes. if they are, then they ARE taxes. So which is it ?
12 posted on 07/11/2009 8:10:31 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind
I enjoy visiting California especially the coastal towns like Santa Cruz. However I would like to live in some parts but with the CA government dysfunction, no way !

However, there are steps for California to reform itself. The first thing, get rid of the year-round professional legislature and return to a part time legislature such as meet for a month or two each year. In addition, put a onetime sunset clause on all CA statutes. Each law would have to be examined individually and require approval of 80% of the legislature on three separate years before it is passed on to the governor. After 60 days on whether the governor approves or veto's, those that didn't pass are repealed and as an added "incentive" to prevent immediate reenactment, the given law cannot be reenacted for 7 years. The same would apply to the cities, towns and counties as well. Basically cleaning the books and starting with a clean slate. This would apply to especially to taxes.

It would be to our interest to see California come back to being a strong economic engine once again.
13 posted on 07/11/2009 8:13:30 AM PDT by CORedneck
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To: SeekAndFind

It’s not a contest. It’s a reality based outcome.


14 posted on 07/11/2009 8:14:23 AM PDT by Liberty Valance (Keep a simple manner for a happy life :o)
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To: smokingfrog

I still think every other year is too often.


15 posted on 07/11/2009 8:18:40 AM PDT by Peanut Gallery (The essence of freedom is the proper limitation of government.)
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To: CORedneck

The main advantage of California over most of the other states is its GREAT WEATHER. Texas is hot and humid, unlike Los Angeles or San Francisco.

That’s a gift of God. But a gift can be squandered nonetheless. Adam squandered his stay in Eden, Californians have been doing the same for the past 2 decades.

If you compare say Zimbabwe’s weather to say, Sweden’s, NO COMPARISON, Zimbabwe wins hands down. But who will choose to live in Zimbabwe over Sweden if he was given a choice ?

People make the place they live in heaven or hell.


16 posted on 07/11/2009 8:19:57 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Relatively fair article although I take exception to the “great universities” line.

University of Texas Austin
Texas A&M
Southern Methodist University
Rice University
Baylor University
Texas Christian University

...and a host of other good universities (public & private) of various sizes and specialities.


17 posted on 07/11/2009 8:21:16 AM PDT by Kandy Atz ("Were we directed from Washington when to sow and when to reap, we should soon want for bread.")
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To: SeekAndFind

What California calls culture. Texans call a Taco Bell parking lot an midnight.


18 posted on 07/11/2009 8:24:12 AM PDT by BigCinBigD ('When a man believes that any stick will do, he at once picks up a boomerang,')
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To: SeekAndFind

Snarky, bitchy and bogus.


19 posted on 07/11/2009 8:27:24 AM PDT by NaughtiusMaximus (This tagline temporarily closed until I finish building my deck.)
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To: SeekAndFind
Please note: Our state is going to sh*t.

We have Hurricane Katrina victims who won't leave and have taken up residency.

Out of state license plates everywhere (especially Michigan)

Thus, liberal voters are moving here in swarms.

ENOUGH ALREADY

20 posted on 07/11/2009 8:28:47 AM PDT by Dallas
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