Posted on 10/27/2008 4:15:25 PM PDT by Chet 99
Ras has it at 4. Marist at 5. It may be less. If Mac pushes extra hard in this final stretch we will win.
I’m going to make it simple for everyone. If McCain takes NH, he wins. If he doesn’t he may still win but it may be a long, long night.
Has McCain ever lost New Hampshire in any primary?
Remember also, Kerry was the Masshole from next door to many transplants from Mass. Idiot though he was (and still is), he wasn’t a radical from Chicago. I think that NH will go McCain.
So after factoring in all the illegals, dead people and cartoon characters that will be voting I predict a win for J 144 to 93.
+ or - 8 points.
New Hampshire has the highest proportion of white voters of any state. It was also the state with the largest margin of error for all of the pollsters in the Democrat primary.
not directed at you chet but I would not call a 5 point lead slight
our last two elections were a fraction of that
that said I think either the race or the polling ...has tightened
like Biden’s spincter probably did before he got that first call from Barry after Biden told the world Obama’s inexperience would invite a threat to the US
I think because he needs it. George Bush won Iowa last time and New Mexico. Even if he picks up NH it only even with the loss of NM. He needs something else if he loses Iowa.
Could I ask a question: With almost everyone having a cell phone these days and many people do NOT have a land line; how accurate are all these polls?
Help me out here; anybody.
Could I ask a question: With almost everyone having a cell phone these days and many people do NOT have a land line; how accurate are all these polls?
Help me out here; anybody.
Wouldn’t it be priceless, an absolute miracle, if Mac won PA? Boy that would sure put egg on a lot of faces.
I can dream (and PRAY) can’t I?
New Hampshire (or, why I’m going to demonstrate that this poll is meaningless no matter what it says):
2004: 50-49 Kerry
2000: 48-47 Bush
1996: 49-49 (combining Dole and Perot totals together)
2004 exit poll: D25, R32, I44 (56-42 Kerry, who ran as a New Englander and favorite son, being from neighboring Massachusetts and all that), with 95% of electorate consisting of white voters (versus 77% nationally). Oh, and 38% Catholic, as opposed to 27% nationally. Bush won that vote against Catholic John Kerry 52-47 in NH (same as the national average). FYI.
McCain is going to win New Hampshire, 51-49 or something like that. He is much better positioned to win this state than Southerner Bush was against New Englander, favorite son, and Catholic John Kerry. Plus, he won the NH back in February while Obama substantially underperformed his poll numbers in the primary against Hillary.
New Hampshire (or, why I’m going to demonstrate that this poll is meaningless no matter what it says):
2004: 50-49 Kerry
2000: 48-47 Bush
1996: 49-49 (combining Dole and Perot totals together)
2004 exit poll: D25, R32, I44 (56-42 Kerry, who ran as a New Englander and favorite son, being from neighboring Massachusetts and all that), with 95% of electorate consisting of white voters (versus 77% nationally). Oh, and 38% Catholic, as opposed to 27% nationally. Bush won that vote against Catholic John Kerry 52-47 in NH (same as the national average). FYI.
McCain is going to win New Hampshire, 51-49 or something like that. He is much better positioned to win this state than Southerner Bush was against New Englander, favorite son, and Catholic John Kerry. Plus, he won the NH back in February while Obama substantially underperformed his poll numbers in the primary against Hillary.
Never. McCain is 2 for 2 in NH, one against a “favorite son” New Englander.
I predict McCain takes Pennsylvania and New Hampshire.
Please pray! Our county is at stake!:^)
Don’t write off Pa. I think McCain/Palin will take Pa.
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