[Maverick68]

Please go away. We only allow bad news as it relates to polling as many find the tast of perpetual misery intoxicating. Just kidding, thanks for the info...

[pgkdan]

Maybe somebody can enlighten me. Why adjust for party id at all? Why not simply take a random sample and publish that?

[ncalburt]

exactly, Ras is peddling the Obama media talking points and Obama skewed polls !
its a fraud.

if McCain wins ,his first act should be to BAN polling 30 days before an election like the rest of the world.

[forYourChildrenVote4Bush]

“...A 5.7% Dem advantage in August, a 4.0% Dem advantage in September, and a 6.7% advantage in October...”

Does this number reflect Virginia, CO, Florida, Ohio, or is this National.... I really dont understand these polls????? How are STATE polls "sauced"

[Ikemeister]

What is really starting to bother me is the citing of the RealClearPolitics “Poll Average” by the media (including FOXNEWS) to show how far ahead Obama is. This average includes polls that are obvious outliers and also data that is out-of-date.

[norton]

Be sure to share this with your liberal associates when they claim that Acorn and it's kin are not involved in vote fraud: inflated registration numbers mean inflated wighting of polls, which means they are a direct means of influencing voters that their puppet is the sure winner - that "Resistance is futile".

[I_hate_politicians]

The only poll that matters is the one on November 4th. It’s no longer about McCain or Obama. It’s about America. I will gladly hold my nose and vote for John McCain because the alternative is just dreadful.

[JLS]

I was thinking some about the reported polling result after a couple of post analyzing some of the consistent bias against the GOP. Then I remembered that pollsters are finding it harder and harder to get people to answer their polls.

So when they report results like McCain 44%, Obama 50%, undecided 6%, the real results were McCain 22%, Obama 25%, undecided 3%, refused to answer, not home, hung up the phone etc 50% or maybe even far worse than 50%. If to get a sample of 500 answers it takes 1000 phone calls, then what do you have? I am not sure.

If you take the leap of faith that refused to answer not home, hung up the phone etc are randomly distributed in the population, then I guess you can argue for the point estimates. But are the sampling errors still the same?

[norwaypinesavage]

It must be noted that a 1 point swing from Democrat to Republican results in a TWO point swing in the polling number of the leader!

[freespirited]

There is nothing sinister here. Ras collects new data on voter party affiliation every month to keep it current.

[bIlluminati]

Working the numbers:
39 D vs. 33 R - Operation Chaos +1 R -1 D
38 D vs 34 R - Acorn (Ohio) (if we stop fakes) +2 R - 2 D
36 D vs 36 R - Bradley effect (Prez +2 R -2 D other zero)
34 D vs 38 R - lose 5 seats in House 3 in Senate and hold White House - if we can stop Acorn -
else tossup for Prez lose 18 in House and 5 in Senators

but Obama/Acorn are Stalinesque - so stay to count the votes!