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To: mn-bush-man
“...A 5.7% Dem advantage in August, a 4.0% Dem advantage in September, and a 6.7% advantage in October...”

Does this number reflect Virginia, CO, Florida, Ohio, or is this National.... I really dont understand these polls????? How are STATE polls "sauced"

5 posted on 10/22/2008 9:29:22 AM PDT by forYourChildrenVote4Bush (Today, July 16th I no longer donate money for Israel)
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To: forYourChildrenVote4Bush

The state polls have been skewed by weighting as well. See my earlier post showing what the weighting was in 2004, which is a good baseline to adjust the propaganda polls you see on a daily basis. Virginia is probably the most obiously biased in terms of the huge disparity in the polls with what actually happened in 2004, which was 4% more Reps than Dems. Most of these polls have been based on Dems outnumbering Reps by 8-13%, which is not going ot happen. other states have been improperly weighted as well.


22 posted on 10/22/2008 11:01:49 AM PDT by WestFlorida
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To: forYourChildrenVote4Bush

The state polls have been skewed by weighting as well. See my earlier post showing what the weighting was in 2004, which is a good baseline to adjust the propaganda polls you see on a daily basis. Virginia is probably the most obiously biased in terms of the huge disparity in the polls with what actually happened in 2004, which was 4% more Reps than Dems. Most of these polls have been based on Dems outnumbering Reps by 8-13%, which is not going ot happen. other states have been improperly weighted as well.


23 posted on 10/22/2008 11:02:16 AM PDT by WestFlorida
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