Posted on 09/22/2008 1:25:12 AM PDT by Impy
P2008 - DAILY POLLING UPDATE. Here is our daily update of the latest independent state polls on the Presidential race: ALABAMA (USA Polling Group): McCain - 52%, Obama - 25%. FLORIDA (Miami Herald): McCain - 47%, Obama - 45%. FLORIDA (Research 2000): McCain - 46%, Obama - 45%, Others - 3%. ILLINOIS (Research 2000): Obama - 56%, McCain - 36%. ILLINOIS (Rasmussen): Obama - 56%, McCain - 40%. IOWA (SurveyUSA): Obama - 54%, McCain - 43%, Others - 2%. IOWA (Research 2000): Obama - 53%, McCain - 39%, Others - 3%. MICHIGAN (EPIC/MRA): Obama - 43%, McCain - 42%, Nader - 2%, Barr - 2%. MICHIGAN (ARG): Obama - 48%, McCain - 46%, Others - 0%. MICHIGAN (Marist College): Obama - 50%, McCain - 41%. MISSOURI (Research 2000): McCain - 49%, Obama - 45%. NORTH CAROLINA (PPP-D): McCain - 46%, Obama - 46%, Barr - 5%. NORTH DAKOTA (Research 2000): McCain - 53%, Obama - 40%. OHIO (Marist College): McCain - 44%, Obama - 44%. OHIO (Univ. of Cincinnati): McCain - 48%, Obama - 42%, Nader - 4%, Barr - 1%. PENNSYLVANIA (Marist College): Obama - 45%, McCain - 42%. SOUTH CAROLINA (Rasmussen): McCain - 51%, Obama - 45%.
US SENATE. The latest independent polls for the US Senate match-ups: ALABAMA (SurveyUSA): US Senator Jeff Sessions (R) - 66%, State Senator Vivian Davis Figures (D) - 31%. IDAHO (Research 2000): Lt. Governor Jim Risch (R) - 56%, former Congressman Larry LaRocco (D) - 33%, rancher Rex Rammell (I) - 3%. ILLINOIS (Rasmussen): US Senator Dick Durbin (D) - 59%, physician Steve Sauerberg (R) - 35%. IOWA (SurveyUSA): US Senator Tom Harkin (D) - 60%, businessman Chris Reed (R) - 37%. KENTUCKY (Research 2000): US Senator Mitch McConnell (R) - 50%, businessman Bruce Lunsford (D) - 37%. MICHIGAN (EPIC/MRA): US Senator Carl Levin (D) - 56%, State Representative Jack Hoogendyk (R) - 28%. NEW JERSEY (Rasmussen): US Senator Frank Lautenberg (D) - 49%, former Congressman Dick Zimmer (R) - 42%. NEW JERSEY (Strategic Vision-R): US Senator Frank Lautenberg (D) - 47%, former Congressman Dick Zimmer (R) - 40%. SOUTH CAROLINA (Rasmussen): US Senator Lindsey Graham (R) - 50%, engineer Bob Conley (D) - 41%.
GOVERNOR. Here are the latest independent polls for US House races. INDIANA (Rasmussen): Governor Mitch Daniels (R) - 56%, former Congresswoman Jill Long Thompson (D) - 40%.
CONGRESS. Here are the latest independent polls for US House races. IDAHO (Research 2000): Congressman Bill Sali (R) - 46%, businessman Walt Minnick (D) - 35%. MISSOURI CD-6 (SurveyUSA): Congressman Sam Graves (R) - 51%, former Kansas City Mayor Kay Barnes (D) - 42%, attorney Dave Browning (Libt) - 4%. MISSOURI CD-9 (Research 2000): Former State Rep. Blaine Luetkemeyer (R) - 49%, State Rep. Judy Baker (D) - 40%, Tamara Millay (Libt) - 6%. NEW JERSEY CD-5 (Research 2000): Congressman Scott Garrett (R) - 49%, rabbi Dennis Shulman (D) - 34%, Others - 2%
Florida close. NC tied, Barr at 5% (sure...)
Zimmer down only 7. Lindsey Lograham leads by only 50-41.
Mitch Daniels up by 16.
GOP holds comfortable leads in 4 contested house races.
Not good. Obama wins Michigan, Ohio, Iowa, SC, PA...he wins.
US Senator Lindsey Graham (R) - 50%, engineer Bob Conley (D) - 41%.
I would love Lindsey to lose!!!! I don’t know about this Conley guy, but if Lindsey wins, he is just going to get worse and worse.
Not good. Obama wins Michigan, Ohio, Iowa, SC, PA...he wins.
Barr is screwing McCain in Michigan by 2% and NC by 5%. If Barr was not in the race, McCain would be winning both states.
RCP had these polls posted Sunday around noon, at least the presidential numbers.
Are these supposed to be released Monday?
Barr likely isn’t gonna get more than 1% of the vote tops, probably less.
I don’t know if it matters much who wins after this bailout thing.
It’s going to consume most of the next administration’s focus and capital (political and financial).
P2008 - DAILY POLLING UPDATE. Here is our daily update of the latest independent state polls on the Presidential race:
ALABAMA (USA Polling Group): McCain - 52%, Obama - 25%.
FLORIDA (Miami Herald): McCain - 47%, Obama - 45%.
FLORIDA (Research 2000): McCain - 46%, Obama - 45%, Others - 3%.
ILLINOIS (Research 2000): Obama - 56%, McCain - 36%.
ILLINOIS (Rasmussen): Obama - 56%, McCain - 40%.
IOWA (SurveyUSA): Obama - 54%, McCain - 43%, Others - 2%.
IOWA (Research 2000): Obama - 53%, McCain - 39%, Others - 3%.
MICHIGAN (EPIC/MRA): Obama - 43%, McCain - 42%, Nader - 2%, Barr - 2%.
MICHIGAN (ARG): Obama - 48%, McCain - 46%, Others - 0%.
MICHIGAN (Marist College): Obama - 50%, McCain - 41%.
MISSOURI (Research 2000): McCain - 49%, Obama - 45%.
NORTH CAROLINA (PPP-D): McCain - 46%, Obama - 46%, Barr - 5%.
NORTH DAKOTA (Research 2000): McCain - 53%, Obama - 40%.
OHIO (Marist College): McCain - 44%, Obama - 44%.
OHIO (Univ. of Cincinnati): McCain - 48%, Obama - 42%, Nader - 4%, Barr - 1%.
PENNSYLVANIA (Marist College): Obama - 45%, McCain - 42%.
SOUTH CAROLINA (Rasmussen): McCain - 51%, Obama - 45%.
In addition to the usual problems with polls, we are at the stage when campaigning by the candidates can shift a close state — and not always in the way expected. In 1976, internal polling showed that a campaign visit by the unimpressive and uninspiring Gerald Ford usually cost him several points in that state.
So, a bunch of bad numbers for McCain actually come from one source: Marist College. The one for NC is a Dim poll.
Excepting very small blips very recently, at the state level the trends remain modestly encouraging. McCain is very much in this race and slowly trending better ... 2 small steps forward for every one small step back.
The Palin effect has cooled momentarily, but who would have expected otherwise? And she is attracting ever bigger crowds.
Given how long this campaign has gone on, the only things we can look forward to that will surely move the dial are the debates. I like McCain’s chances. I like Palin’s, as well.
Cup is half full, folks.
“I don’t know if it matters much who wins after this bailout thing.”
Please.
Given the week McCain has had, these will be very interesting to see.
“In 1976, internal polling showed that a campaign visit by the unimpressive and uninspiring Gerald Ford usually cost him several points in that state.”
Interesting.
I am much more inclined to consider Rasmussen’s polls. They are not as biased as many are such as the Mar[x]ist college poll etc. I have had to quit looking at many of these polls as I am convinced they are either 1: deeply biased or 2. Just all out lies. Okay I will add the obvious: They are both 1 & 2. There. This is why I am going to wait for the debates and see how it goes over. To get a real sense of the election and how people are trending after those.
Obama ain’t winning SC.
Conley’s a DINO (actually a Republican running as a Democrat). If I were a SC voter, I’d vote for Conley in protest.
But the bad news is that none of those are seats with Dem incumbents. Besides holding ours, we need to be taking out theirs. No Senate race against an incumbent Dem are we leading in, and as for Gubernatorial races, the only place we’re leading a Dem “incumbent” is Rossi over Gregoire in WA and competitive for an open Dem seat is NC.
I hope you are right, but that is what the polls said.
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