Posted on 09/15/2008 3:01:23 PM PDT by Reagan is King
New York could become a surprise battleground in this year's presidential election, with Senator McCain rapidly dissolving Senator Obama's lead in the Empire State, according to a new poll.
The poll by Siena Research Institute, conducted September 8-10, found that Mr. Obama holds a narrow 46-41% lead among likely voters, barely outside the survey's 3.9% margin of error. These numbers represent a decline for Mr. Obama, who led by 8% in the same poll in August, 13% in July, and 18% in June.
(Excerpt) Read more at nysun.com ...
Puma! Puma! Puma!
IF NY is now considered a battleground state, the Democrats are going to explode.
paging chuckie schumer.....paging chuckie schumer
I’d absolutely love to believe this - but I don’t.
remember that Hillary, not Obama, won NY in the primary
Same here.
There is more than just one poll.
http://www.nypost.com/seven/09152008/news/columnists/ladies_man_mac_is_a_player_in_ny_129211.htm
Very interesting!
PUMAs
+ Spitzer’s ethics ‘challenges’
+ Rangel’s corruption ‘challenges’
+ appreciation of what terrorists can do
It all adds up!
NY will probably continue its usual affair with the D’s, but Obama may have to spend money he wasn’t planning to spend there.
release a tape of Obama referring to NYC as “Hymietown”, you’ll see how “Blue” NY is.
We don’t need NY, and we shouldn’t spend any time here, in NJ or the rest of the Northeast (except NH). Great if we can win, but we don’t need them...
We should spend almost zero time and resources in NY, NJ, ME, VT, CT, MA, RI, DE, IL, CA, and IA.
If we somehow pull off NY or CA— great. But we need to make sure that we win elsewhere...
Based on this information I want to see an updated poll in California
PUMA POWER!
The Bradley factor could be big.
As I said on an earlier thread dealing with this issue, I seriously doubt that NY will be “in play” come November. However, if it looks this close now it may force Obama to expend time and resources there ... time and resources that won’t be going into the true battleground states. That’s GOOD NEWS all around. I don’t expect McCain/Palin to win NY ... but if they get within 5 points of it, that will signal a land-slide for much of the rest of the country.
One point that should be made, however ... a point that is true this time, given Palin’s nomination as VP, but not true in any other election: Hillary is Senator from NY and she won NY in the Primary. They’re pissed she’s not the Nominee, and many of them want a Woman regardless of label. SO ... if ends up being as close as it appears it might be, THAT will be the reason why ... disaffected Hillary voters.
Yes, and to that you can add:
Hispanic voters not comfortable with Obama
Ditto for working-class Anglos and Catholics of all economic backgrounds
Liberal and moderate Republicans more comfortable with McCain than they were with President George W. Bush
That being said, I don’t think McCain/Palin can reach the 47.5% that President George H.W. Bush got in NY in 1988; but if the ticket gets 46%, it will almost certainly carry NJ and maybe CT as well, and McCain/Palin would be on its way to a 400-electoral-vote landslide.
Jews have been voting for democrats since FDR was in office. Despite the strong support McCain would give to Israel, and the lack thereof by Obama, old habits are hard to break. Some will see the light, and it should be much closer than in 2004 (Gore got 4.3 million votes in NY, Bush just under 3 million) but I just don’t think a McCain victory is going to happen there.
On Intrade, people who are betting with real money are paying around 90 bucks, predicting a dem victory in NY. If they are correct, the contract pays off at $100, for a profit of $10. If the dems lose, the contract is worth zero, for a loss of $90. So, a McCain victory in NY is about a 9 to 1 longshot.
I’m in NY and I am voting for Palin...I mean McCain-Palin! :D Come on NY. we can do it!! NOBAMA!! (I cringe when I hear that clown talk...)
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