Majority rules: McCain 50, Obama 47 at Rasmussen; Update: Dead even in Minnesota?

hotair.com ^ | September 14, 2008 | Allahpundit

[Free ThinkerNY]

This is their three-day tracker, which means it incorporates two full days of reaction to Thursday night’s Charlie Gibson interview. As usual, the difference lies in the ratio of McCainocrats to Obamicans, something you’d never know from the media’s coverage of The One’s supposed post-partisan appeal:

McCain is viewed favorably by 57% of the nation’s voters while Obama earns positive reviews from 53%… McCain is supported by 90% of Republicans and has a six-point edge among unaffiliated voters. Eighty-two percent (82%) of Democrats say they’ll vote for Obama…

The Rasmussen Reports Balance of Power Calculator shows McCain leading in states with 200 Electoral College votes while Obama has the edge in states with 193 votes. When “leaners” are included, shows Obama leading 259-247…

Rasmussen weights by party, which they’ve pegged this week at 38.7% Democrat and 33.6% Republican. If they’re lowballing GOPers — and they may well be — then Maverick’s lead is bigger than this suggests. Question, though: How’s night two of the Gibson interview going to play? Night one got more attention online because blogs spend most of their time on foreign policy, but for much of the public the exchanges on social policy will be their first clue that she doesn’t support abortion in cases of rape and incest, strongly favors gun rights, etc. That’s fine for conservatives, but note well the margin in the blockquote among unaffiliateds. Hmmm.

[stylin19a]

that weight isn't as big a spread as most pollers.
Good news.

[ConservativeMan55]

BTTT

And remember these polls always oversample Dems.

[hershey]

And how’s the ‘Freedom Forum’ going on right now going to play? Odds are Lib talking heads will play up a big O win, even if he doesn’t open his mouth.

[IllumiNaughtyByNature]

What say you oh numerical foresnic soothsayer? Havent heard from you in a while and your posts are very insightful.

[marron]

McCain is supported by 90% of Republicans and has a six-point edge among unaffiliated voters. Eighty-two percent (82%) of Democrats say they’ll vote for Obama…

Thats a blowout. Obama is going to find out what it feels like to be McGovern.

If McCain has an 8 point lead among party faithful, and 6 points among mushy middle, its going to be a clear-cut victory. It won't be close.

[SlapHappyPappy]

They kind of have to oversample Dems. They have no other way to account for dead voters.

[goldstategop]

Exactly. Obama isn't pulling up anywhere he needs to be competitive. I suspect if it wasn't for mega states New York and California where he has inflated leads, the polling wouldn't show the election as a dead heat.

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find things only evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelologus

[Peelod]

http://www.kwtx.com/centraltexasvotes

Results: The race is on. If the presidential election were held today, who would get your vote?
Poll Results:
Republican: McCain-Palin - 66.3%

Democrat: Obama-Biden - 27.4%

Libertarian: Barr-Root - 0.7%

Green: McKinney-Clemente - 0.2%

None of the Above - 3.0%

Don’t Know - 2.4%

Total Responses -
8254

[AuntB]

BTT!

[2ndDivisionVet]

McGovern with a suntan, sans the military experience.*
.
.

.

. *Senator McGovern was a bomber pilot in WWII.

[ari-freedom]

they don’t even make radical lefties like they used to