[curiosity]

It's a sound analysis, and pretty convincing. I don't see any obvious holes in it.

The conclusion: Obama has a shot in Virginia, but he might as well write off the rest of the South.

[RED SOUTH]

Virgina sounds like it's resembles Ohio , west Virginia ,
Pennsylvania. all those state he got blown out by Hillary
by so of the biggest margins ever seen. It was because he lost the white vote big time. Nothing has changed since then. obama hasn't done anything to bring the white vote in.