Skip to comments.
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 1/21/2008
InTrade ^
| Monday, January 21, 2008
| Momaw Nadon
Posted on 01/21/2008 9:03:54 AM PST by Momaw Nadon
TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; 2008election; election; electionpresident; elections; electoral; electoralvotes; intrade; presidential; projected; votes
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-20, 21-39 next last
Intrade.com is a futures market in which people bet on the outcomes of various things such as the results of elections.
According to the current trading prices of the futures contracts, an estimate can be found of what traders are betting will be the outcome of 2008 Presidential Election.
If the traders are correct, the Republican Presidential candidate would receive 234 Electoral Votes and the Democratic Presidential candidate would receive 304 Electoral Votes.
If the weighted probabilities of the Republican Presidential candidate winning in the states are added up, and then divided by 538, and multiplied by 100, then the Republican Presidential candidate should get 235.08 Electoral Votes.
270 Electoral Votes are needed to win the Presidency.
Opinions and commentary are welcome.
2
posted on
01/21/2008 9:04:14 AM PST
by
Momaw Nadon
("...with the ultimate goal of ending tyranny in our world.")
3
posted on
01/21/2008 9:04:39 AM PST
by
Momaw Nadon
("...with the ultimate goal of ending tyranny in our world.")
To: Aeronaut; angkor; annyokie; beckysueb; BlessedByLiberty; bluefish; Bogeygolfer; Brandon; ...
If you want on (or off) of the weekly InTrade Projected Presidential Electoral Vote ping list, please let me know via FREEPmail.
4
posted on
01/21/2008 9:05:24 AM PST
by
Momaw Nadon
("...with the ultimate goal of ending tyranny in our world.")
Colorado is at 50.0% today.
The bid price is 45.0 and the ask price is 55.0. These average to 50.0.
Thus, the tie goes to the Democratic Presidential candidate due to voter fraud.
5
posted on
01/21/2008 9:05:55 AM PST
by
Momaw Nadon
("...with the ultimate goal of ending tyranny in our world.")
To: Momaw Nadon
This doesn't surprise me much, as "Unknown Democrat" seems to almost always beat "Unknown Republican" in the polls.
Let's see what the numbers start to say once we actually know for sure who the real candidates turn out to be.
6
posted on
01/21/2008 9:06:58 AM PST
by
jpl
(Dear Al Gore: it's 3:00 A.M., do you know where your drug addicted son is?)
To: Momaw Nadon
President Bush better put a bunch of stuff in place now.
7
posted on
01/21/2008 9:07:26 AM PST
by
yldstrk
(My heros have always been cowboys--Reagan and Bush)
To: Momaw Nadon
Ohio, Colorado, New Mexico, Missouri, and Iowa all trending blue. It doesn’t look good for the GOP this November, no matter who the nominee is.
To: Momaw Nadon
1. The trend is in our favor.
2. This is a bit ridiculous at this stage since we don’t have nominations.
9
posted on
01/21/2008 9:11:00 AM PST
by
enough_idiocy
(Romney/Thompson or Steele '08)
To: Momaw Nadon
That’s a swing of 35 EV. That’s not too bad.
10
posted on
01/21/2008 9:17:16 AM PST
by
Perdogg
(Huckabee got his foreign policy from IHOP, McCain got his immigration policy from The Waffle House)
To: Momaw Nadon
The last few polls have shown one of two Republicans winning OH. But it’s been mixed. Still, it’s way too early to put OH in the Dem column, esp. if the candidate is Clinton.
11
posted on
01/21/2008 9:18:11 AM PST
by
LS
(CNN is the Amtrak of News)
To: Momaw Nadon
Fuggettaboudit.
Romney brings the north (MI, IA, MO)
Game over.
12
posted on
01/21/2008 9:33:36 AM PST
by
Technocrat
(Romney-Thompson 2008. Or vice versa.)
To: Technocrat
Romney might have a good chance in Ohio as well, if hecontinues to talk about economic issues.
To: Technocrat
To: whathappenedtous
Romney is a machine, and after tomorrow, nobody will care about anything but the economy.
15
posted on
01/21/2008 9:46:48 AM PST
by
Technocrat
(Romney-Thompson 2008. Or vice versa.)
To: Technocrat
Romney is a machine, and after tomorrow, nobody will care about anything but the economy. What's so special about tomorrow?
16
posted on
01/21/2008 9:50:13 AM PST
by
Ancesthntr
(I’ve joined the Frederation.)
To: whathappenedtous
Pre-mature speculation. I hear they have drugs for this now.
17
posted on
01/21/2008 9:56:23 AM PST
by
listenhillary
(A government big enough to give you everything you want is big enough to take everything you have.)
To: listenhillary
Pre-mature speculation. I hear they have drugs for this now.Nope. It's "Electile Disfunction" - mostly affects RuPaul.
To: Momaw Nadon
Once Hillary is declared the Dem nominee I bet a number of those states turn red.
To: LS
Still, it’s way too early to put OH in the Dem column, esp. if the candidate is Clinton.Or Obama for that matter in fact he might have a harder time given the racial preferences of the swing voters of this state.
20
posted on
01/21/2008 10:15:27 AM PST
by
NeoCaveman
(El Rushbo head of the El Conservativo tribe)
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-20, 21-39 next last
Disclaimer:
Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual
posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its
management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the
exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson
