Posted on 10/10/2007 3:43:22 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Fred Thompson's road to the nomination, his advisers say, begins with a bridge to South Carolina. Now -- a bridge has two ends, and it looks like the anchorage is Iowa.
But how can Thompson possibly compete with Rudy Giuliani** on Feb. 5? New York? California? New Jersey?
Thanks to a quirk in the Republican delegate allocation schema, conservative, Republican candidates have an edge. The Republican National Committee awards bonus delegates to states based on their performance in general elections. States that always vote Republican get additional delegates; states like New York that vote Democratic do not. Bonus delegates account for about 20 of the total number.
The disparity can be significant. New York has four times as many voters as Georgia does but awards only 30% more delegates -- about 104 to Georgia's 72. So a strong performance by Thompson in Southern states on Feb. 5. could balance out Giuliani wins in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut and Delaware.
However: the Giuliani campaign persuaded state parties in their prime states to change the rules and award all delegates to a single winner. Georgia, North Carolina, Illinois, Alabama and other states award their delegates proportionally. So if the race is down to two candidates -- Thompson and Giuliani -- Giuliani would come in second in the Southern states and receive enough delegates to maintain his advantage.
The New Republic's John Judis ran the numbers based on current polling and concluded that Giuliani would exit Feb. 5 with a delegate lead of at least 150. Judis foresees state-by-state trench warfare, but the dynamics of momentum will probably winnow the field, especially if the Democrats consolidate their support for a single candidate.(continued)
(Excerpt) Read more at marcambinder.theatlantic.com ...
Nope....”How can we stop Hillary?” should be the question on every conservatives lips in the coming days.
Rudy = Hillary
The first question is "How can we stop Hillary"?
The best way to elect Hillary is to DIVIDE and SPLIT the Party WIDE OPEN--while DEMORALIZING the base. No one does that better than Rudy.
Therefore, the next question naturally is "How can we stop Rudy"?
Man, you NAILED it! I was just joking yesterday at work "why would anyone vote for Rudith when they can vote for hilldabeast and get the real thing."
The delegate allocation system in use in the Republican party isn’t all that new. They used it back in the days when the Solid South was solidly Democrat. That way the Republicans could say they had an actual presence in the South, but the half dozen Republicans there couldn’t tie up what the rest of the party was going to do.
Why should NY have any delegates? All their electorals will go dim for sure so what's the good of letting NY'ers have any say in the Pubbie candidate? They would elect Joe Stalin (Dem) over Abe Lincoln (Rep.) in any general election.
No one eats their own like the Republicans.....I frankly haven’t made up my mind who I’ll vote for, except I know it won’t be for the Hilldabeast.. if it means voting for Rudy to keep her out of office,I’ll vote Rudy
So as a conservative you are willing to vote for the Beast?
Please explain.
If Rudy does somehow gain the nomination, I’m packing my bags for distant shores, because Hillary vs. Rudy is NO CHOICE at all!! http://www.livinginthephilippines.com
No, I am not kidding!
LLS
BINGO!! Hillary knows that, which is why the MSM is pimping for Rudy to be the GOP nominee. A three year old could see it!!
Will Romney’s MI IA NH UT ID maybe NV delegates be enough to swing the nomination to Thompson? I have always maintained that no matter where he leads and how he talks Romney is campaigning to win the VP slot. No one understands his Mormon problem better than he does. A term or two as a hard conservative VP and the Massachusetts flip flops are forgotten/forgiven and the Mormon boogey-man is put to rest.
There really exist people who seem otherwise sane , who swear to me they will not sit out if Rudy is the nominee , they will vote for Hillary and do everything in their power to finish the total destruction of the Republican party .
A three year old that needs glasses. To read the fine print on their five grand hilldabond.
I don’t think the GOP can get it done with just the south and a few Rocky Mountain states, no matter who the candidate is. I also don’t believe Mr. Thompson can carry any states outside the south, and maybe a few Rocky Mountain states.
” which is why the MSM is pimping for Rudy to be the GOP nominee. A three year old could see it!!”
Yep!
400 for a nice home? Not bad : )
Except Rudy looks better in a dress.
“I don’t think the GOP can get it done with just the south and a few Rocky Mountain states, no matter who the candidate is. I also don’t believe Mr. Thompson can carry any states outside the south, and maybe a few Rocky Mountain states.”
In 2004 there were several very close states that might swing another way: Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Ohio, New Mexico, New Hampshire, and others generally called battleground states. Events could swing several different states from 2004 to 2008 and Thompson could benefit. At this point, predictions concerning all the close states probably aren’t worth much.
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