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Odom's Razor
Flopping Aces ^ | 02-18-07 | Wordsmith

Posted on 02/18/2007 9:31:33 AM PST by Starman417


Asking the experts: Retired Army Lt. Gen. William Odom, second from left, senior fellow at Hudson Institute and a professor at Yale University tesitify before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee on "Iraq: Military Strategy" in Washington D.C. (AFP/Getty Images) Jan 18, 2007

It is a curious thing, how any critic of the Bush Administration who happens to carry prior military service is trumped up as an expert voice of reason to listen to, whether it be a Wesley Clark, John Kerry, or Jack Murtha; or when a handful of the 4,700 general officers who are out there enjoying retirement, turn vocal critic.

Last Sunday, 3-star retired general William Odom wrote an influential piece for the Washington Post entitled, of all things, Victory is Not an Option. (Unbelievable!).

This past week (Thursday, to be precise), Hugh Hewitt interviewed retired Lt. General Odom. The retired Army Lt. General is a critic of the troop increase as well as of the Iraq War. Go here for just a sample of the exchange he had with Hugh Hewitt.

From Dean Barnett's analysis of Hewitt's interview:

HH: Are you familiar with Mullah Yazdi? WO: No. HH: Or 12th Imam theology? WO: No, I’m not.

What’s strange about these exchanges is that Odom fancies himself an expert on Iran but knows little (if anything) about the ruling class’ religious beliefs. This is significant; Iran is a theocracy where religious belief is law and dictates policy. And yet Odom seems to think that because he studied Iranian foreign policy for a 16 year window (ending over a decade ago) that his expertise and conclusions shouldn’t even be questioned. This is not just an obtuse conclusion, but a dangerously arrogant one.

Of course Ahmadenijad’s statements don’t alarm Odom. If Odom’s not familiar with the 12th Imam, it’s a safe surmise that he doesn’t know a blessed thing about the religious spirit that animates the Mullahocracy and has animated the Islamic Republic of Iran for the past three decades.

Ahmadenijad brings nothing new to the Iranian leadership in terms of his spiritual beliefs. Perhaps the General stumbled across the figure of Ayaotllah Khomeini while doing his study. If so, he would have discovered that religious insanity isn’t just a rhetorical matter for the Iranian government.

Read more...

And one commenter on Hugh's blogpost, Peter, writes the following in regards to Odom:

He actually thought through failure instead of success and presented that thinking as good military planning. There's an old military test in two questions: "What do you do after you attack?" Answer" "Nothing". Question: "Why nothing?" Answer: "Because I never stop attacking."

I think we should come up with a new maxim, called "Odom's Razor". I have two definitions in mind:

The first definition, of course, is a parodying of "Ockham's razor". The second one, is my take on Hanlon's razor: "Never attribute to malice that which can be adequately explained by stupidity." This is due to Odom's puzzling use of the chickenhawk argument, thrown in at such a moment in the conversation, that makes me feel like the retired Lt. General was getting exasperated and uncomfortable with being confronted by the ideas Hewitt was putting forth; and lashed back with the kind of response that is juvenile, and designed to shut down debate.

All I have left to say after listening to the audio of the interview is, I am so glad that this three-star General is retired.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: hewitt; iran; iraq; odom

1 posted on 02/18/2007 9:31:34 AM PST by Starman417
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To: Starman417
Quoting myself from a previous thread on Odom's interview [a bad and vain habit], I'd say he is not quite about Iran being harmless. He's more about accepting Iran as an existing evil, for the only way to stop them [using his words from the interview "where we have many more of them, which ensure his annihilation" and making an obvious conclusion from them] - is annihilating Iran pre-emptively.
He merely says "A", but then does not proceed to saying "B".
2 posted on 02/18/2007 9:42:24 AM PST by GSlob
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To: Starman417
I have to address this issue, being retired military myself.

I see that this General is still suffering from a case of Hyper-relaity, he has spent too many years were his whims were never questioned and his word taken as Gospel. When he retired he never got of that mode. In the Civilian world your work experience as a General, or SNCO, doesn't mean squat. It looks good on the resume but it doesn't make you an expert on foreign policy.

His opinion and expertise in no better then what I have seen from well informed posters here at the Free Republic.


3 posted on 02/18/2007 9:52:32 AM PST by darkwing104 (Let's get dangerous)
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To: darkwing104
In the Civilian world your work experience as a General, or SNCO, doesn't mean squat

Specially when one retires after umpteen years in the military as a Three Star. And is obviously in the grip of senility.

I might feel grateful for this man's service to our country, but I give him no honor for continuing to exercise his exaggerated sense of self-importance when he is obviously in the tight grip of senility.

4 posted on 02/18/2007 12:47:27 PM PST by Publius6961 (MSM: Israelis are killed by rockets; Lebanese are killed by Israelis.)
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To: Starman417

Wonder why he says what he says....Look at his bio. He was on Carter's National Security staff when Carter gave into the Mullas on Iran! Nuf said!


5 posted on 02/18/2007 2:33:17 PM PST by Keyga8tor
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To: Starman417

bookmark


6 posted on 02/18/2007 2:49:18 PM PST by GiovannaNicoletta
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