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Kosovo's Back (It Never Really Left)
The Daily Standard ^ | 12/21/2006 12:00:00 AM | James G. Poulos

Posted on 12/22/2006 7:27:20 AM PST by tgambill

It's not so pristine in Pristina. That's still our problem.

REMEMBER KOSOVO? The little statelet of 2 million, still technically an "integral part" of Serbia, was the inspiration for an unprecedented NATO campaign, the first of its kind: bombing, in those less sensitive times, Christian troops on Easter. The prevention of genocide and the resulting stability of the whole Balkan region were secured, peacekeepers took up their positions in and around the capital, Pristina, and no one lived happily ever after. Serbia threw out its mad leadership--that has to count for something--but the old wounds burn even for democratic Prime Minister Kostunica, who lately termed the NATO war for Kosovo a "huge mistake, big enough for the last and this century." The occasion of these remarks? A warning of serious consequences should the West recognize Kosovar independence without a U.N. resolution.

Meanwhile, just weeks ago, U.N. police found themselves teargassing a crowd of thousands of protesting Kosovars. "Final status" for Kosovo has been on the table--and tabled--all year long. Everyone knows it has to happen but no one wants to say how. Patience is running out. The ethnic Albanians we fought to save are nationalists now, and will settle for nothing less than independence from Belgrade. The Serbs, Europe's least fortunate people, cannot abide the loss of their national homeland. But the status quo is practically untenable, too--riots and arson are on the rise and ethnic antagonists are segregating under duress. A reckoning--the final "final status"--is coming, and sooner rather than later.

So it was that Naser Rugova--head of Kosovo's Reforma party and nephew of first Kosovar President Ibrahim Rugova--made the Washington rounds again this holiday season. At the Nixon Center, Rugova said he could "understand" the delay on final status, but wants us to understand that an "explosive situation" awaits the "risky calculation" of putting off Kosovars any longer. Stuck in limbo, Kosovo suffers 54 percent unemployment, with 65 percent of its population under the age of 25. Atop social problems are energy problems and, most painfully, financial problems. Kosovo needs cash, and so Rugova pitches a "normal environment for all foreign investors" as the deal for an IMF relationship and the ability to enter into "accession talks with Europe."

There's more. Rugova wants "a significant presence" maintained by the international community for the next three to five years. What the West would gain in the bargain is a stable Kosovo, secure in a "constitutional order" with a "progressive, productive, and competitive" economy. Croatia--which took 10 years to integrate into Europe--is taken as the inspiration, but Kosovo--small, landlocked, with almost zero infrastructure--has a lot of work to do, and cannot do it on its own.

WHY WOULD WE HELP what Rugova terms this "baby nation," at the cost of infuriating Serbia? The answer may be that we have little choice. To turn away now--having exerted so much energy on Kosovo, killed so many Serbs, and touted Western policies so earnestly--is to default on every promise we have made the Kosovars.

And nothing is more attractive to the people and problems we are struggling to defeat than an imploded, aggrieved, and chaotic hinterland of Muslim and Christian admixture ringed by E.U. and NATO states. Beyond Kosovo, ethnic Albanians in Macedonia, Montenegro, and Albania proper wait to hear from the world regarding their brethren.

The options are few, but a decision must be made eventually. Serbia is a hostage to final status as much as Kosovo. Without final status, neither country will ever see the benefits of economic membership in Europe. Serbia will remain the last pariah state west of Belarus, with a dour and draining liability on a southern border with no practical value. And Kosovo will stagnate, unable to attract investment from Belgrade and unwilling to accept its rule. Yet partition, which would shear off Kosovo's Serb fringe to facilitate a cleansed sovereignty, receives the support of neither nation. Serbs know partition means the loss of Kosovo; yet partition leaves Kosovars as the citizens of a rump state open to acrimonious border negotiation. Even neighboring Albanian Prime Minister Sali Berisha has gone on record against partition as encouraging "adventurers of all nationalities." "Kosovo will not be separated," agrees Rugova, who calls partition "a dangerous idea" sure to "destabilize Macedonia and Montenegro." With Belgrade intent on decentralization and Kosovo open to consociation, pushing partition does nothing to facilitate independence, the only workable final status.

IS INDEPENDENCE for Kosovo too destabilizing? Other stateless groups throughout Eurasia might revolt against their ruling regimes if Kosovo is granted independence and sovereignty. Transnistria, Abkhazia, and South Ossetia--all in varying degrees of thrall to Russia--might insist upon like treatment. Nagorno-Karabakh has already moved by referendum to declare itself a "sovereign, democratic" state--with 98 percent voter approval. Russia's own Chechen problem will only look worse--a lesson not lost on China, which considers Kosovar sovereignty the worst of all precedents as far as Taiwan is concerned. (Indeed, at least some pro-independence Taiwanese draw parallels between their situation and the Kosovars'.)

But Rugova responds that Kosovo deserves special treatment on account of geography: Outside Europe, one finds "much more complicated problems." In a sense, he's right. Kosovo's situation is genuinely unique and relatively straightfoward. It's true that some work must be done to establish Kosovo's special status as a legitimate exception to legitimate rules of sovereignty--and so it should. The biggest obstacle is Russia, interested in both protecting Serb interests and drawing the line against nationalist adventures on its own southern periphery. Yet delaying final status will keep Serbia frozen out of Europe and too distant from Russia to enjoy even the cold comfort of a cozy relationship with Moscow.

It might seem callous to buy American success in Kosovo at the price of a freer Russian hand. But Kosovar independence will patch a dangerous hole in the fabric of legitimate government and the rule of law in Europe. And a simple, clear success for American foreign policy that shores up Europe has value in and of itself.

Serbs, given serious incentives, might look west more often than south. Some may even return to a Kosovo delivered from limbo. Among those incentives, a Security Council resolution will seal the deal for Kosovo but almost certainly require tacit agreements with Russia and assurances for China. If that seems a bit tart, then the alternative--Kosovo betrayed, American policy stymied, dysfunction and disorder festering in the Balkans--leaves a positively bitter taste.

James G. Poulos is an essayist and doctoral candidate at Georgetown University. His commentaries are to be found at Postmodern Conservative.

© Copyright 2006, News Corporation, Weekly Standard, All Rights Reserved.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: balkans; clintonlegacy; kosovo; wrongplace; wrongside; wrongtime; wrongwar
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To: Cicero

Absolutely..........Watch march 2007


21 posted on 12/23/2006 8:32:56 AM PST by tgambill (I would like to comment.....)
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To: joan; Smartass; zagor-te-nej; Lion in Winter; Honorary Serb; jb6; Incorrigible; DTA; ma bell; ...
Read "Albanian Islamic World" from Muslims Online and you'd think that Serbs, Montenegrins & Macedonians don't even exist -- it's all "Albania" right up to the border of Croatia. I can't believe the crap that these Albanians are willing to spout with a straight face! (Check out the index on the left side. "Chameria" is Northern Greece.) What do they think? If they claim the entire Balkans, then the internationals will give them half and they can chip at the rest later?
22 posted on 12/23/2006 8:46:43 AM PST by Bokababe ( http://www.savekosovo.org)
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To: Bokababe

I acquired information in March 2001 of about 7 +/- terrorist groups that were co-located with each area that made up the Greater Albania boundaries. Oh yes, they were there starting after 1999, forming during 2000, and ready to go by March 2001. Here is an interesting group linked with Brooklyn, NY Mafia......go figure.....

"LAC - (Ushtria Clirimtare E Camera) – Also referred to as the CLA. They are confirmed to be on the border or the northern part of Greece and Western Macedonia close to Bitola. They are an Albanian American Group, who reportedly (unconfirmed) have roots with the Luchessi crime family that is either based or have a large organization in Staten Island, New York. In March 2001, three members was rumored to have departed Staten Island with $500,000 and bound for Macedonia. The alleged smuggling route goes from the US to Naples, Italy, to Bari and Brindisi, Italy. Then the “goods”, (weapons, drugs, money, etc…) go to Durres, Albania or to Bar, Montenegro. There may be other ports that are not known by this writer."


23 posted on 12/23/2006 9:03:08 AM PST by tgambill (I would like to comment.....)
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To: Bokababe

Dardania is also the name of a village/town/region that I was responsible for.....it is called Kamenica, but the Albanians started changing the name not long after 2000 to Dardania. It the Albanian name........

As you already know, the locations cited on the link were all covered by terrorist groups with different names in 2001 onward. In Macedonia they didn't have enough participation, so they settled to name themselves NLA. The locations.....all identify The Greater Albania from the 1940's......from the Balle Kombetar (BK) movement that we supported with CIA ops under Operation Fiend. blah blah blah....on and on it goes........


24 posted on 12/23/2006 9:09:40 AM PST by tgambill (I would like to comment.....)
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To: Cicero

http://www.pomoco.blogspot.com/


25 posted on 12/23/2006 12:17:48 PM PST by dennisw
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To: dennisw

Yes, I saw that website. I'm not sure if it's the author, or maybe his idiot son. He seems to young to be an established newspaper correspondent.


26 posted on 12/23/2006 12:40:36 PM PST by Cicero (Marcus Tullius)
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To: Cicero
Yes, I saw that website. I'm not sure if it's the author, or maybe his idiot son. He seems to young to be an established newspaper correspondent.

He's not established. His puffed up résumé.... He's a no good grad school punk

27 posted on 12/23/2006 12:44:15 PM PST by dennisw
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To: Cicero

And this punk is all or half of Greek Orthodox heritage yet he carries water for Jihad. How smart is that?

Poulos = Greek name
James = very common Greek name as in St James


28 posted on 12/23/2006 12:47:06 PM PST by dennisw
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To: dennisw

Hmm. I looked at the web site and dismissed that jerk as somebody else with the same name because I couldn't imagine that the Daily Standard could possibly take him seriously. One look at his face, let alone his writing, should have been enough to send him out the door.

What on earth were they thinking?


29 posted on 12/23/2006 1:42:16 PM PST by Cicero (Marcus Tullius)
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