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Centrists Deliver For the Democrats
Pew Research Center ^ | 11/8/06 | Pew Reseach Center for the people and the press

Posted on 11/10/2006 9:27:34 PM PST by jamese777

In an election that proved to be a referendum on Bush and Iraq, political independents cast the deciding votes

The political center forcefully asserted itself in Tuesday's midterms. The national exit poll showed that political independents, who divided their votes evenly between George Bush and John Kerry in 2004, swung decisively in favor of the Democrats. With roughly nine-in-ten Republicans and Democrats casting ballots for representatives of their parties, just as they did two years ago, the Democrats' 57%-39% advantage among independents proved crucial.

As expected, the election turned out in large measure to be a referendum on President Bush and the war in Iraq -- bad news for Republicans. About six-in-ten voters (59%) said they were either dissatisfied (30%) or angry (29%) with the president. By more than two-to-one, those dissatisfied with Bush supported the Democratic candidate in their district (69%-29%); among those angry with the president the margin was more than fifteen-to-one (92%-6%).

Bush was much more of a drag on his party's candidates than was former President Clinton in 1994, the year that Republicans won control of Congress. More than a third (36%) of the electorate said they voted to oppose Bush; that compares with 27% who voted to oppose Clinton in 1994, and 21% in 1998, the year Congress impeached the president.

(Excerpt) Read more at pewresearch.org ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: elections
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1 posted on 11/10/2006 9:27:35 PM PST by jamese777
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To: jamese777

IMO, Bush and the GOP leadership pretty much ended the "Reagan Democrats" 20 years of voting for Republicans.


2 posted on 11/10/2006 9:33:42 PM PST by BW2221
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To: jamese777

Let's see if these moderate/conservative Democrats truly do vote this way on all of the issues starting next year!


3 posted on 11/10/2006 9:35:56 PM PST by johnthebaptistmoore
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Comment #4 Removed by Moderator

To: jamese777

Yes, ignore the independents at your peril.

"The political center forcefully asserted itself in Tuesday's midterms. The national exit poll showed that political independents, who divided their votes evenly between George Bush and John Kerry in 2004, swung decisively in favor of the Democrats. With roughly nine-in-ten Republicans and Democrats casting ballots for representatives of their parties, just as they did two years ago, the Democrats' 57%-39% advantage among independents proved crucial."


Arnold had the message to Republicans, to pay attention to independents.

Schwarzenegger Implores GOP To Follow Script of His Sequel: Court the Center

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1736725/posts


5 posted on 11/10/2006 9:37:52 PM PST by FairOpinion (Start working on 2008 Republican win strategy NOW.)
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To: jamese777

"The political center." People who sway with the breeze. No convictions.


6 posted on 11/10/2006 9:38:09 PM PST by My2Cents
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To: BW2221
IMO, Bush and the GOP leadership pretty much ended the "Reagan Democrats" 20 years of voting for Republicans.

I dunno. A large part of the losses in the House, specifically the Republican massacre in the North East, is explained by the country club set jumping ship due to social liberalism and Iraq.

7 posted on 11/10/2006 9:41:12 PM PST by Aikonaa
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To: jamese777

Title should be, "Democrats Run AWAY from Liberal Candidates"


8 posted on 11/10/2006 9:41:13 PM PST by Echo Talon
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To: Rove is God
Bush screwed up the War big time.

Either go in with massive, overwhelming, crushing force, be ruthless and end all opposition in a few weeks or don't go.

You mean Shock & Awe? We did that..

9 posted on 11/10/2006 9:44:50 PM PST by Echo Talon
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To: jamese777

The democrats idea of "centralists" are Pelosi, Hitlery, Kennedy. Kerry, Obama, Boxer, Baghdad Jim Mcdermott, Cantwell, Feinstein, Reid, and Rangel.

God help the US till the next elections.


10 posted on 11/10/2006 9:45:27 PM PST by Proud_USA_Republican (We're going to take things away from you on behalf of the common good. - Hillary Clinton)
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To: BW2221

I don't think that is the case. They played a role but we must not forget that there has not been a President in recent memory that has been hated and targeted the way the liberal media has President Bush. I still believe that he is responsible for not standing up to them and calling them to the floor when they labeled our soldiers "nazis" and painted the whole military with the abu graib scandal just to win political points. He is also responsible for not understanding the seriousness of the illegal immigration problem. The biggest mistake was not really taking credit for anything till the last weeks before the election.

Republicans have deserved to lose for sometime but the Democrats did not deserve to win. The difference is that when we spoke he listened on Harriet Myers, he listened on Dubai Ports, and he listened somewhat on the Border Fence.
Now we have a group in there that will not listen. Just wait till Justice Stevens retires. There will be some fireworks then.


11 posted on 11/10/2006 9:47:58 PM PST by Maelstorm (Sure defeat is a mental condition where visions of grandeur are devoid of constructive action.)
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To: My2Cents
"The political center." People who sway with the breeze. No convictions.

You've now identified the issue......now what's the solution.

12 posted on 11/10/2006 9:50:33 PM PST by joesbucks
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To: Rove is God

BTW Welcome to FR... :\


13 posted on 11/10/2006 9:52:33 PM PST by Echo Talon
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To: jamese777

"The political center forcefully asserted itself in Tuesday's midterms."

Road apples. The far right wing of the Republican Party is the political center.

That this statement seems unreasonable merely reflects the distance America has been dragged to the left.


14 posted on 11/10/2006 9:53:32 PM PST by dsc
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To: Maelstorm
You have defined much of the problem - Bush let the media define him (and did it ever).

I thing Bush's first term was far more successful than the past two years. He has lost support in every area (including his base). It doesn't help much that he's the worst spoken president for the last 25 years with the possible exception of his dad).
15 posted on 11/10/2006 10:01:25 PM PST by BW2221
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To: Echo Talon

You mean Shock & Awe? We did that..



No, "shock and awe" was a joke. Targeted empty buildings in the middle of the night didn't "shock and awe" anybody who was used to their own government dragging them out of bed and into torture rooms. As a matter of fact, if you are going to intimidate someone the very LAST thing you do is tell them that you are trying to intimidate them. Thats giving away the whole show. Naming it "shock and awe" was a sign of weakness....not strength.
When Ghenghis Khan took over Iraq he didn't name it "shack and awe". He just killed anybody who caused his troops trouble (and the village that harbored them) and then left it up to the inhabitants to decide if they were shocked and awed or not.


16 posted on 11/10/2006 10:08:46 PM PST by Dreagon
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To: jamese777
n an election that proved to be a referendum on Bush and Iraq, political independents cast the deciding votes

Someone should ask the anti-war protestors: "Got math?"

30,000 US troops died in 3 years under Truman so that the Republic of South Korea could survive.

3,000 US troops died in 3 years under Bush, so that the Republic of Iraq could survive.

Ten times as many troops died under Truman as under Bush.

17 posted on 11/10/2006 10:11:27 PM PST by syriacus (We lost 33,686 men in the Korean "police action" and saved S. Korea. Why abandon Iraq?)
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To: Dreagon

How long did it take to "win"? Not long, If you want to put a huge footprint in there, thats a lot more targets and would probably be a lot more dead.


18 posted on 11/10/2006 10:13:16 PM PST by Echo Talon
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To: Maelstorm

What were the voters running away from when republicans lost mega numbers of seats during klinton's second term and Newt resigned?


19 posted on 11/10/2006 10:19:47 PM PST by OldFriend (Run and Hide, Tax and Spend for the next two years. Everyone happy?)
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To: FairOpinion

It is IMHO a mistake to call the independent voters "centrists"...

If they were, why weren't they more enamored of Bush's moderate stances on so many issues?


20 posted on 11/10/2006 10:28:18 PM PST by WOSG (Broken-glass time, Republicans! Save the Congress!)
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