Posted on 11/01/2006 6:50:13 PM PST by NYC Republican
I haven't seen this type of thing posted yet, so... here goes... hopefully the mods will be cool with it.
I'd like to have a challenge, whoever predicts the closest to the actual results gets a $500 prize- cash, from yours truly.
Here's how it works... The first 200 posters (one per person) that submit their predictions are in the contest.
You have to make a prediction on the Senate balance of power (the Ind would be in the D column), and as a tie breaker, you would make a prediction on each of the following races, including percentages for each candidate.
PA - Santorum (R-I) vs. Casey (D)
TN - Corker (R) vs. Ford (D) - open seat
MT - Burns (R-I) vs. Tester (D)
VA - Allen (R-I) vs. Webb (D)
RI - Chaffee (R-I) vs. Whitehouse (D)
MO - Talent (R-I) vs. McCaskill (D)
NJ - Kean (R) vs. Menendez (D)
Here are the rules:
- First, the best score on the Senate's balance of power.
- Tie-breaker is whomever gets the most Senate races correct.
- Next tie-breaker is overall point spread - cumulative, in all races (can you tell I'm a football fan?). I'll do all of the stats...
- First 200 predictions will be tallied.
- Must be in by Sunday night.
- Winner gets $500.
- If the GOP maintains both houses, then I'll give an additional $300 to the 2nd place winner and $200 to the 3rd place finisher... I'll be THAT happyh
Please try to keep it in the same format, makes my job easier.
Any questions?
Senate - R 53 D 47
Santorum 48 Casey 51
Corker 53 Ford 45
Burns 51 Tester 48
Allen 53 Webb 45
Chaffee 47 Whitehouse 52
Talent 51 McCaskill 48
Kean 46 Menendez 53
Who's going to put forth the $500 if YOU win? :p
I get to keep it, but then I'll kick in the 2nd and 3rd prizes regardless of whether the GOP hangs on to both. SOLELY if I win... LOL. Hey, it's fun to see how well everyone did at the end anyway, even if you don't win, correct?
How very nice of you! This should be fun!
Come on Korn, are you going to join?
It'll be fun to tally a top-10 at the end, see how well our expert "fellow" FReepers did.
Yeah, this thread was a great idea! I'll be sure to keep an eye on this one, I won't even begin to try to make a prediction though lol.
Senate - R 52 D 48
Santorum 44 Casey 56
Corker 54 Ford 46
Burns 51 Tester 48
Allen 52 Webb 47
Chaffee 49 Whitehouse 50
Talent 51 McCaskill 48
Kean 43 Menendez 56
Ok I am in.
Senate - R 55 D 47
Santorum 51 Casey 47
Corker 53 Ford 45
Burns 51 Tester 48
Allen 52 Webb 46
Chaffee 52 Whitehouse 46
Talent 51 McCaskill 48
Kean 47 Menendez 52
jeez I am going to be sick if Santorum gets that close and still loses...all of the polls I have seen, have him down by 15-20 pts..
Still thinking...be back..
You missed Steele over Cardin.
What did you cut and paste all of the predictions I made after Santorum??? LOL
OH man. Damn. Oh well, sorry about that. We'll keep it as is.
Outcome---> D (+2 indies)51, R-49
PA - Santorum 46% vs. Casey (D) 54%
TN - Corker (R) 51% vs. Ford (D) 49%
MT - Burns (R-I) 48% vs. Tester (D) 52%
VA - Allen (R-I) 48% vs. Webb (D) 52%
RI - Chaffee (R-I) 46% vs. Whitehouse (D) 54%
MO - Talent (R-I) 49.5% vs. McCaskill (D) 50.5%
NJ - Kean (R) 45% vs. Menendez (D) 55%
A hundred and two seats, huh? When did we pick up the extra state?
How would 1 collect the 1/2 grand?
nah I made some changes....
Senate - R 51 D 49
Santorum 44 Casey 56
Corker 51 Ford 49
Burns 51 Tester 48
Allen 51 Webb 49
Chaffee 49 Whitehouse 50
Talent 47 McCaskill 53
Kean 48 Menendez 52
OK, I'll play. Hard to project this far out, but certainly nice of you to offer this contest!
Santorum 47 Casey 52
Corker 52 Ford 46
Burns 50 Tester 49
Allen 51 Webb 49
Chaffee 47 Whitehouse 53
Talent 51 McCaskill 48
Kean 49 Menendez 51
I'm assuming that Steele wins in MD, DeWine falls in OH, and Bouchard falls short in MI, so I arrive at 53 R and 47 D as well.
Okay, I'll play. (Why no Maryland Steele vs. Cardin guesses? I guess Steele wins that one 52-48)
Senate - R 55 D 45
Santorum 51 Casey 49
Corker 56 Ford 44
Burns 51 Tester 48
Allen 51 Webb 49
Chaffee 44 Whitehouse 56
Talent 50 McCaskill 49
Kean 47 Menendez 53
So I guess I'm saying we lose Chaffee (who cares?) but patch him up with a constitutionalist--Steele. I'll freepmail you my Swiss Bank account number where you can wire the money.
RD
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