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A Separate Peace (Or the Next Balkan War to Begin)
The National Interest ^ | September 27, 2006 | Doug Bandow

Posted on 09/28/2006 12:24:37 PM PDT by Bokababe

Most people think of Kosovo in the past tense. Democratic critics of the Bush Administration cite Kosovo as a "good war." Allied negotiators refer to Kosovo's final status—independence in some form—as a foregone conclusion.

The Western alliance would prefer to forget the Kosovo war, having become responsible for one of the largest episodes of ethnic cleansing in the Balkans. The ninth round of U.N.-sponsored talks on Kosovo recently ended with no agreement. Observes Albert Rohan, in charge of the Vienna negotiations: "We're approaching a moment where by talking alone we won't accomplish the goal. We could talk for another ten years and not change anything."

Unfortunately, the United States and Europeans guaranteed failure by attempting to predetermine the results. The ethnic Albanians know that the West is desperate to get out. They have no reason to make any concessions beyond formalistic promises to respect the Serb minority, promises which are unlikely to be kept by them or enforced by the allies.

The Serbian government has offered everything save independence. After all, which Western government has cheerfully cut itself into pieces? Czechoslovakia begins and ends the list. Belgrade has received no reward for its concessions. Instead, Serbia is supposed to accept prospective membership in the EU as payment for services rendered.

Even as the U.S. and Europeans decided on independence, their deteriorating relationship with Russia raises the possibility of resistance by Moscow. China also has indicated disquiet at the forcible dismemberment of Serbia. If either power vetoes an allied UN resolution, the Balkans will become a global problem.

From the beginning Western officials have lived in a fantasy world. They believed that they could maintain a multi-ethnic territory after the war. It is no surprise, however, that the ethnic Albanians, after using the American-supplied air force to eject the Serbian military, saw no need to retain the Serbian population.

To the contrary, the victorious ethnic majority kicked out roughly a quarter million Serbs, Roma, Jews, and non-Albanian Muslims. The few remaining Serbs were regularly attacked. In March 2004 some 4000 Serbs were displaced as rioters destroyed homes, farms, churches, and monasteries.

While the Albanian political leadership did not publicly support the attacks, its complicity is likely: the government is led by former guerrilla leaders guilty of war-time atrocities. They also have been implicated in the explosion of organized crime, including sex trafficking.

Although Islam was never much of a factor in the past, radical Islam appears to be on the rise, Christian converts have been threatened, and some analysts believe that terrorists have infiltrated the Balkans through Bosnia and Kosovo. "Sex, crime, terrorism, it's all there," one U.S. diplomat recently told me.

Despite seven years of Western occupation, Kosovo isn't ready for autonomy, let alone independence. Joseph Grieboski of the Institute on Religion and Public Policy warns:

"the present record of rule of law, protection of the rights of religious and ethnic minorities, and the return/resettlement of internally displaced people by the Provisional Authority of Kosovo—all of which are indispensable for democratic governance—have been gravely unsatisfactory."

There's no easy solution. The majority ethnic Albanian community, understandably, does not want to live under Belgrade. Just as understandably, the minority Serbs (and Roma) do want to live under Albanian rule. The Serbs who currently dominate the northern city of Mitrovica, near the rest of Serbia, likely would forcibly resist control by Pristina. None of Kosovo's neighbors, except Albania, desires the UN to forcibly redraw Serbia's borders.

Thus, a dramatic international train wreck beckons. The West decides on independence for Kosovo. Serbia refuses to agree, and the pro-Western coalition is replaced by a government dominated by the nationalist/populist Serbian Radical Party. The EU ends any membership hopes for Belgrade. Russia vetoes a UN resolution granting independence.

The United States and Europeans move ahead without UN approval. Individual assaults on Kosovo's Serbs increase. Those in Mitrovica refuse to acquiesce to Albanian rule and are forcibly repressed by Pristina. Thousands more refugees flood into Serbia, which prepares to intervene. The West threatens war on behalf of the Albanian majority even as the latter finishes the job of ethnically cleansing Kosovo. Allied officials talk about protecting democracy.

Although the worst case might not occur, there is no best case. To reach an acceptable compromise, allied officials need to return to the so-called reality-based community.

First, final status negotiations should be negotiations. The ethnic Albanians should understand that intransigence does not guarantee victory.

Second, multi-culturalism is not a worthwhile objective. One proposal, disliked by Washington, is to leave Mitrovica with Belgrade while granting Kosovo independence. This may or may not be a good idea, but Western officials pushing to partition Serbia cannot object to it in principle.

Third, independence will not magically transform Kosovo into a model of Western civility. To the contrary, independence will reduce allied leverage. If the ethnic Albanian majority tolerates human rights abuses when it has yet to win independence, how likely is it to act differently once it is granted independence?

Fourth, conditional independence would be equivalent to full independence. Allied governments will not return should Kosovo violate its commitments.

Fifth, it is easy to carve up other people's countries. Serbia has been routinely denounced for opposing proposals to detach Kosovo, rather like blaming a rape victim for resisting her attacker. The Serbs, no less than the ethnic Albanians, are entitled to defend their perceived interests.

Sixth, Belgrade should be integrated into Europe even if it refuses to validate the latest iteration of a flawed allied policy. Attempting to blackmail Belgrade will generate long-term hostility and is likely to fail.

For some time the received wisdom was that Kosovo would be granted independence, despite Serbia's opposition. However, unease with this prospect is appropriately growing. The impending impasse in the Vienna talks makes it imperative that the West insist upon negotiations that really mean negotiations, rather than unconditional surrender by Belgrade.

Doug Bandow is a member of the Coalition for a Realistic Foreign Policy and the author of the forthcoming Foreign Follies: America's New Global Empire (Xulon Press). A former special assistant to President Ronald Reagan, he is a member of the Advisory Board of the American Council for Kosovo. CATO Institute.


TOPICS: Canada; Crime/Corruption; Editorial; Foreign Affairs; Germany; Israel; Russia; United Kingdom; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: alabanian; balkans; islamofascism; kosovo; nato; serb; un
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1 posted on 09/28/2006 12:24:38 PM PDT by Bokababe
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To: joan; Smartass; zagor-te-nej; Lion in Winter; Honorary Serb; jb6; Incorrigible; DTA; ma bell; ...

2 posted on 09/28/2006 12:25:56 PM PDT by Bokababe ( http://www.savekosovo.org)
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To: Mr. Silverback; Kenny Bunk
Most people think of Kosovo in the past tense. Democratic critics of the Bush Administration cite Kosovo as a "good war." Allied negotiators refer to Kosovo's final status—independence in some form—as a foregone conclusion. The Western alliance would prefer to forget the Kosovo war, having become responsible for one of the largest episodes of ethnic cleansing in the Balkans.....

Although Islam was never much of a factor in the past, radical Islam appears to be on the rise, Christian converts have been threatened, and some analysts believe that terrorists have infiltrated the Balkans through Bosnia and Kosovo. "Sex, crime, terrorism, it's all there," one U.S. diplomat recently told me. ...

Again I ask -- whose side are we on? Looks like the Devil's side to me. So how can we say "God Bless America" with a straight face?

3 posted on 09/28/2006 12:36:03 PM PDT by Bokababe ( http://www.savekosovo.org)
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To: Bokababe
Looks like the Devil's side to me. So how can we say "God Bless America" with a straight face?

All you really have to ask is, what "god" are we talking about.

4 posted on 09/28/2006 12:39:54 PM PDT by redgolum ("God is dead" -- Nietzsche. "Nietzsche is dead" -- God.)
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To: redgolum

Don't understand -- unless you mean the "god" of $$$.


5 posted on 09/28/2006 12:47:48 PM PDT by Bokababe ( http://www.savekosovo.org)
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To: Bokababe

Sorry, inside baseball.

When we sing "God Bless America", there is nothing to identify what "god" we are singing to.


6 posted on 09/28/2006 12:50:04 PM PDT by redgolum ("God is dead" -- Nietzsche. "Nietzsche is dead" -- God.)
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To: Bokababe
The USA had no business attacking Yugoslavia - period. And Klintoon should have been impeached for this. Screw the lying under other baloney. His little illegal war WAS a "High Crime".

Furthermore; Willard, Gen Weasel Clark, Maddy Not-so-bright and Cohen should have been in the dock at The Hague - not Slobo.

7 posted on 09/28/2006 12:54:00 PM PDT by Condor51 ("Alot" is NOT a word and doesn't mean "many". It is 'a lot', two separate words.)
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To: Bokababe
Albanian terrorists have no moral, political or historical right on Kosovo. But they have the might of United States behind them.

It is not a problem that Albanian terrorists want Kosovo for themselves. It is a problem because United States supports them.

The only logical explanation is that United States deliberatelly seeds storm in the heart of Europe by supporting an immoral cause.

8 posted on 09/28/2006 1:08:19 PM PDT by DTA (Mr. President, Condy is asleep at the wheel !)
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To: Condor51

Yes, we bombed, sanctioned and raped the country. But now, they (actually "we" -- because Bush is going along with it) are about to complete this horrific crime spree by selling the last and most sacred Christian land to their people -- to Moslem narco-terrorist sex-slavers. And all that we can say is, "Sorry. It's really too bad."

Maybe because I am the offspring of an immigrant (who came to the US as a child), I was raised to be a ground-kissing, flag-waiving, "America is the Best -- God Bless America" kind of American. I guess that I just believed that if our country started becoming corrupt, our American people would stand up and say, "No! That is not us, and we will not accept your corrupt ways" to our government. But what I am beginning to see is that we have all become a bunch of scared sheep who just swallow it all even when we see it and at best, look away when we can't take it.

What perfect dhimmis, we will all make!


9 posted on 09/28/2006 1:15:44 PM PDT by Bokababe ( http://www.savekosovo.org)
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To: Condor51
"What perfect dhimmis, we will all make!"

I should correct that statement "What perfect American dhimmis we DO make!"

10 posted on 09/28/2006 1:22:50 PM PDT by Bokababe ( http://www.savekosovo.org)
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To: Bokababe
"The Serbian government has offered everything save independence. After all, which Western government has cheerfully cut itself into pieces? Czechoslovakia begins and ends the list. Belgrade has received no reward for its concessions. Instead, Serbia is supposed to accept prospective membership in the EU as payment for services rendered."

The Serbs are not the Serbia of Slobo. How many countries are dismembered to please small minorities? Does Spain give up Basque areas or Catalonia? Should Corsica be independent? Now thugs in Moldova have taken the Transdnestr out of Moldova. Georgia is in a fight to same to small regions of its country.
11 posted on 09/28/2006 1:50:09 PM PDT by GeorgefromGeorgia
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To: GeorgefromGeorgia

You are absolutely right, George!


12 posted on 09/28/2006 2:34:07 PM PDT by Bokababe ( http://www.savekosovo.org)
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To: redgolum; Bokababe

The God we are talking about is the only God that exists. The same one that is going to take charge in the very near future. The one that these people, evolutionist, war starters, Allah believing, that will not be able to explain away. God of the Bible. coming soon to a world near us....:)

http://www.oilcompanies.net/oil1.htm


13 posted on 09/29/2006 12:32:07 AM PDT by tgambill (I would like to comment.....)
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To: Bokababe; DTA

http://www.oilcompanies.net/oil1.htm

This is an interesting perspective...........


14 posted on 09/29/2006 12:47:41 AM PDT by tgambill (I would like to comment.....)
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To: redgolum

"there is nothing to identify what "god" we are singing to."

Actually there is.....it's God of the Bible. King James Version, Father of Jesus, born of the Virgin Mary. There is no other real God. There are man-made Gods, (Allah for starters and many others.....) it's time for the truth and time to stop being politically and socially correct. The time for truth will soon be dawning........


15 posted on 09/29/2006 12:50:14 AM PDT by tgambill (I would like to comment.....)
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To: Bokababe

Once we cross that line, there is no turning back. The pressure will be immense to stifle the truth. Be ready.


16 posted on 09/29/2006 12:51:14 AM PDT by tgambill (I would like to comment.....)
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To: GeorgefromGeorgia; Bokababe; DTA; Monty Python

Thank you....I could not have said it better. you are right on target. I suspect our efforts to make peace with Serbia, if it fails, will be their downfall. We will undermine the Serbian government, provoke the Albanians, and then go after the rest of Serbia to shrink it down to a province side to where they will be left with Serb majority areas and Belgrade. Then on to Russia.......the strategy is clear and the goals are now understandable. It's no longer a mystery.


17 posted on 09/29/2006 12:54:35 AM PDT by tgambill (I would like to comment.....)
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To: DTA

Actually there is both, you have the seeds from the same organization in Europe, the EU with links and muscle from the U.S. inner government. The seed of this started in Europe and linked up with the American Government centuries ago. The EU will be the governing factor in the near future. We will be the strong arm along with the new EU military. Long story short. Our money funded the start of communism by supporting the Bolsheviks....the story gets real sticky from there........Blair is heavily involved.....Round table groups....[Royal Institute of International Affairs (England) and the Council on Foreign Relations (U.S.)....created the Communist, made enemy with the communist and at the same time cooperated with the Communist. Islam wasn't hard to make an enemy, because they are an enemy due to the religion....but then we also cooperate with them for our purposes.......ie Afghanistan, Kosovo comes to mind......This explains a lot of our backwards thinking........


18 posted on 09/29/2006 1:02:25 AM PDT by tgambill (I would like to comment.....)
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To: tgambill
My point is that when a politician starts talking "god", he usually does it in such bland and general terms that an outsider would think he was talking of a local god who was just a warm fuzzy. You will rarely hear a politician or government official talk of Jesus (look what happened to K. Harris when she did!), but often of "god".

The true God is Father, Son, and Holy Spirit, but that is not what most politicians say.
19 posted on 09/29/2006 6:04:53 AM PDT by redgolum ("God is dead" -- Nietzsche. "Nietzsche is dead" -- God.)
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To: Bokababe
Maybe because I am the offspring of an immigrant (who came to the US as a child), I was raised to be a ground-kissing, flag-waiving, "America is the Best -- God Bless America" kind of American. I guess that I just believed that if our country started becoming corrupt, our American people would stand up and say, "No! That is not us, and we will not accept your corrupt ways" to our government. But what I am beginning to see is that we have all become a bunch of scared sheep who just swallow it all even when we see it and at best, look away when we can't take it.

Put not your trust in Princes... But I was also raised to love my country, but with one difference. Perhaps because of the culture of my family (German/Prussian Lutherans), we were also raised to know that the government is not necessarily always on God's side. To be aware that there is loyalty to the state, and loyalty to God, and to be careful in thinking that to love God you have to love the state.

For, in the Balkan wars, the state was not for God.

20 posted on 09/29/2006 6:09:16 AM PDT by redgolum ("God is dead" -- Nietzsche. "Nietzsche is dead" -- God.)
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