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BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE ADVISORY NUMBER 1(Tropical Storm Chris)
National Hurricane Center ^ | July 31, 2006 | National Hurricane Center

Posted on 07/31/2006 7:59:26 PM PDT by varina davis

BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032006 1100 PM AST MON JUL 31 2006

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS NEAR THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENTS OF FRANCE AND THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES HAVE ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE ISLANDS OF SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...ST. MAARTEN/ST. MARTIN...AND ST. BARTHELEMY. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING WITH LITTLE ADVANCE NOTICE COULD BE REQUIRED FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...ANGUILLA...ST. KITTS... NEVIS...AND THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.4 WEST OR ABOUT 160 MILES...260 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ANTIGUA.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...AND THIS GENERAL HEADING WITH SOME DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER OR NEAR THE NORTHERNMOST LEEWARD ISLANDS TOMORROW.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS TO NEAR 6 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM AST POSITION...16.6 N...59.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 200 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500 AM AST.

$$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: advisory; bulletin; chris; france; hurricaneseason2006; nhc; noaa; tropical; weather
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Looks like we have a live one!
1 posted on 07/31/2006 7:59:27 PM PDT by varina davis
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To: varina davis; aberaussie; Alas Babylon!; Alia; Alice in Wonderland; alnick; Amelia; asp1; ...

On/Off Hurricane Ping list, mash ---> .
2 posted on 07/31/2006 8:00:56 PM PDT by Howlin (Pres.Bush ought to be ashamed of himself for allowing foreign countries right on our borders!!~~Zook)
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To: aberaussie; Alas Babylon!; Alia; Alice in Wonderland; alnick; Amelia; asp1; annie laurie; ...

On/Off Hurricane Ping list, mash ---> .
3 posted on 07/31/2006 8:01:28 PM PDT by NautiNurse (Hurricane season 2006 - Be prepared and have a plan)
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To: varina davis

Is this the one behind the one we were watching? I'm confused.
susie


4 posted on 07/31/2006 8:01:36 PM PDT by brytlea (amnesty--an act of clemency by an authority by which pardon is granted esp. to a group of individual)
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To: NautiNurse

Duh.


5 posted on 07/31/2006 8:01:53 PM PDT by Howlin (Pres.Bush ought to be ashamed of himself for allowing foreign countries right on our borders!!~~Zook)
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To: varina davis

6 posted on 07/31/2006 8:02:28 PM PDT by COEXERJ145 (Free Republic is Currently Suffering a Pandemic of “Bush Derangement Syndrome.”)
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To: brytlea

Invest 99 just became TD 3. Another wave just emerged from Africa is also being monitored.

Plot maps take TD 3 (possibly TS Chris if it intensifies) just south of the Dominican Republic in about 48 hrs.


7 posted on 07/31/2006 8:03:11 PM PDT by varina davis
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To: varina davis; Howlin; NautiNurse; brytlea

8 posted on 07/31/2006 8:04:23 PM PDT by Pyro7480 ("Love is the fusion of two souls in one in order to bring about mutual perfection." -S. Terese Andes)
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To: varina davis

Ah, Forecaster Franklin! Seems like an old friend. :-)


9 posted on 07/31/2006 8:05:05 PM PDT by Chanticleer (Courage is not simply one of the virtues but the form of every virtue at the testing point. Lewis)
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To: varina davis

Thank you. They are so much easier to mentally keep track of when they have names instead of numbers. I was never good at math.
susie


10 posted on 07/31/2006 8:05:44 PM PDT by brytlea (amnesty--an act of clemency by an authority by which pardon is granted esp. to a group of individual)
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Comment #11 Removed by Moderator

To: Pyro7480

Very perty! ;)
I have a brother in law in St. Croix. But I never can figure out which of those little dots it is. I hope they're not in the path, altho we seem to get whacked more regularly and harder up here in S. FL than they do!
susie


12 posted on 07/31/2006 8:07:20 PM PDT by brytlea (amnesty--an act of clemency by an authority by which pardon is granted esp. to a group of individual)
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To: varina davis

ZZZZZZZZZZZZzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZzzzzzzzzzzzzz


13 posted on 07/31/2006 8:07:54 PM PDT by VeniVidiVici (Rabid ethnicist.)
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To: Howlin; NautiNurse
THE GOVERNMENTS OF FRANCE AND THE NETHERLANDS ANTILLES HAVE ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH


14 posted on 07/31/2006 8:11:07 PM PDT by Gabz (Taxaholism, the disease you elect to have (TY xcamel))
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To: varina davis

Wonderful, maybe it can hit Cuba and put ole Fidel's brother to the test while Fidel is outta action.


15 posted on 07/31/2006 8:12:14 PM PDT by diverteach
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To: brytlea

My mother-in-law lives on St. Croix. Sure hope the island doens't get hit.


16 posted on 07/31/2006 8:14:10 PM PDT by jerry639
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To: NautiNurse; Howlin

Oh great. Dueling Hurricane Ping lists. (sigh)


17 posted on 07/31/2006 8:15:38 PM PDT by CedarDave (Cindy bought land in Crawford but deceived her neighbors. The Texas welcome is warm but not friendly)
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To: Pyro7480

So, is that Castro's tomb I see down there?


18 posted on 07/31/2006 8:15:59 PM PDT by Nick Danger (www.vvlf.org)
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To: varina davis
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at3+shtml/031115.shtml?5day

At least they have a track on this one.
19 posted on 07/31/2006 8:17:43 PM PDT by HuntsvilleTxVeteran ("Remember the Alamo, Goliad and WACO, It is Time for a new San Jacinto")
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To: CedarDave

It's the same list; my mistake tonight.


20 posted on 07/31/2006 8:17:49 PM PDT by Howlin (Pres.Bush ought to be ashamed of himself for allowing foreign countries right on our borders!!~~Zook)
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