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Can the GOP Keep the Senate?
National Review ^ | 3-20-06 | John J. Miller

Posted on 03/20/2006 4:54:46 PM PST by Aetius

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To: AEMILIUS PAULUS

My sentiments exactly. I won't stay home, but I'm not pumped either. The Republican held legislature and W are major disasters on domestic spending and illegal immigration.


21 posted on 03/20/2006 6:50:21 PM PST by Cobra64
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To: AEMILIUS PAULUS; supercat

At least now, with the current Senate, we know we can force a vote on a Sup Court justice the caliber of Alito (though as I say this, I wonder if such a nominee would get as many votes for cloture if he were the potential fifth conservative on the Imperial Court, instead of the fourth like Alito was).

If the GOP loses 2-3 seats, and keeps a Chafee-proof majority, it would still likely be disastrous towards the cause of righting the Court, because those loses would likely be reliably conservative votes like Santorum, Burns, and Talent -- in that order of likelihood.

The attainment of a conservative Sup Court, loyal to the Constitution, would be a historic achievement. We lost that opportunity with the terrible record of Reagan and Bush the Elder -- just 2/5 good picks -- but now we may have a second chance, and we stand on the verge of it. We just need one more (non-Scalia or Thomas) retirement, and then it will all depend on Bush and the Senate.


22 posted on 03/20/2006 7:30:30 PM PST by Aetius
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To: Aetius

...assuming of course that Roberts and Alito turn out as we hope, and as promised.


23 posted on 03/20/2006 7:33:04 PM PST by Aetius
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To: Aetius
If the GOP loses 2-3 seats, and keeps a Chafee-proof majority, it would still likely be disastrous towards the cause of righting the Court, because those loses would likely be reliably conservative votes like Santorum, Burns, and Talent -- in that order of likelihood.

I'm not suggesting that the loss of conservative Republicans would be a good thing--it clearly wouldn't. But would the loss of Chafee and McCain be a disaster?

24 posted on 03/20/2006 7:51:16 PM PST by supercat (Sony delenda est.)
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To: Aetius

Republicans will fail to regain the Senate if they continue to waiver their principles while capitulating with fear to stories about them by the leftwing mainstream press</p>


25 posted on 03/20/2006 8:06:40 PM PST by april15Bendovr
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To: supercat

I only listed the conservative Senators because polls suggest that they are in trouble. Chafee will likely have a much easier going in the general election than the primary, so losing him probably isn't in the cards.

If we had to lose someone, and if it were up to me, then yes, I'd pick Chafee.


But anyway, as to the Court, we've already lost McCain and Chafee with regards to the nuclear/constitutional option, and its hard to imagine either changing their position. Well, I guess I could see McCain doing so if his vote were the deciding one, as it would ingratiate him with the social conservative base like nothing else could. But looking at Republican members of the Gang of 14, Graham has promised to vote for the 'nuclear' option should the Dem gang members join a filibuster on ideological grounds. DeWine and Warner have hinted at the same, so even accounting for non-gang member Specter, we could conceivably still pull the constitutional trigger should it be necessary.

However, if we lost Santorum, Burns, and Talent, and all else was equal, then we'd have 52 senators, and the Northeastern trifecta of Chafee, Collins, and Snowe alone could make impossible the nuclear option.


26 posted on 03/20/2006 8:32:32 PM PST by Aetius
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To: Pontiac
I know I don’t care for DeWine (or Voinabitch either for that matter).

I know what you mean, but unfortunately they are family and belong to us.

27 posted on 03/21/2006 1:03:35 AM PST by Las Vegas Dave ("Liberals out of power are comical-Liberals in power are dangerous!"-Rush Limbaugh.)
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To: Pontiac; Las Vegas Dave; boxerblues; dubyaismypresident; GOP_Lady
Brian, your handle is way too long, plus it has a stale date. In two and a half years you gonna change it to hillaryismypresident?

As you all know I am a former Republican, having gotten tired of the "nigger" treatment I received from the local, state, and national parties.

That having been said, I find no solace on the Constitution party, or for that matter, candidates.

Do I vote for DeWhine just because he will certainly do better than Sherod Brown? Or am I true to myself and do not vote for someone who I do not support whole heartedly?

Do you see cracks in that veneer of ego that hastened my exit from the party? *VBG*

28 posted on 03/21/2006 9:30:09 AM PST by North Coast Conservative (Never Take a Gun to a Gunfight That Is Less Than .40 Cal ..... VIVA LA MIGRA!!!!)
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To: North Coast Conservative

I've been looking for a new screen name for years.

Chalk it up to laziness and apathy on my part for not getting it done sooner.


29 posted on 03/21/2006 9:31:19 AM PST by NeoCaveman (The SENATE is now principally moderate, if not liberal!" - Arlen Specter)
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To: North Coast Conservative
Do I vote for DeWhine just because he will certainly do better than Sherod Brown? Or am I true to myself and do not vote for someone who I do not support whole heartedly?

Most elections are choices of bad or worse. That's all I am saying.....

30 posted on 03/21/2006 9:33:17 AM PST by NeoCaveman (The SENATE is now principally moderate, if not liberal!" - Arlen Specter)
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To: North Coast Conservative
Do I vote for DeWhine just because he will certainly do better than Sherod Brown? Or am I true to myself and do not vote for someone who I do not support whole heartedly?

Election politics is all about winning.

Any politician must say things and make promises to get elected. Compromises are made to get elected and stay elected, especially in Senate races. Idealism does not long survive in politics.

My chosen task is to support conservative candidates were I find them. This election I will be supporting Ken Blackwell for Governor.

I may on occasion stuff an envelope or two hundred while holding my nose for DeWine simply because I want to keep Republicans in control of the Senate.

31 posted on 03/21/2006 4:32:32 PM PST by Pontiac (Ignorance of the law is no excuse, ignorance of your rights can be fatal.)
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