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Climate warning as Siberia melts
NewScientist.com ^ | 11 August 2005 | Fred Pearce

Posted on 08/17/2005 10:28:46 AM PDT by jb6

THE world's largest frozen peat bog is melting. An area stretching for a million square kilometres across the permafrost of western Siberia is turning into a mass of shallow lakes as the ground melts, according to Russian researchers just back from the region.

The sudden melting of a bog the size of France and Germany combined could unleash billions of tonnes of methane, a potent greenhouse gas, into the atmosphere.

The news of the dramatic transformation of one of the world's least visited landscapes comes from Sergei Kirpotin, a botanist at Tomsk State University, Russia, and Judith Marquand at the University of Oxford.

Kirpotin describes an "ecological landslide that is probably irreversible and is undoubtedly connected to climatic warming". He says that the entire western Siberian sub-Arctic region has begun to melt, and this "has all happened in the last three or four years".

What was until recently a featureless expanse of frozen peat is turning into a watery landscape of lakes, some more than a kilometre across. Kirpotin suspects that some unknown critical threshold has been crossed, triggering the melting.

Western Siberia has warmed faster than almost anywhere else on the planet, with an increase in average temperatures of some 3 °C in the last 40 years. The warming is believed to be a combination of man-made climate change, a cyclical change in atmospheric circulation known as the Arctic oscillation, plus feedbacks caused by melting ice, which exposes bare ground and ocean. These absorb more solar heat than white ice and snow.

Similar warming has also been taking place in Alaska: earlier this summer Jon Pelletier of the University of Arizona in Tucson reported a major expansion of lakes on the North Slope fringing the Arctic Ocean.

The findings from western Siberia follow a report two months ago that thousands of lakes in eastern Siberia have disappeared in the last 30 years, also because of climate change (New Scientist, 11 June, p 16). This apparent contradiction arises because the two events represent opposite end of the same process, known as thermokarsk.

In this process, rising air temperatures first create "frost-heave", which turns the flat permafrost into a series of hollows and hummocks known as salsas. Then as the permafrost begins to melt, water collects on the surface, forming ponds that are prevented from draining away by the frozen bog beneath. The ponds coalesce into ever larger lakes until, finally, the last permafrost melts and the lakes drain away underground.

“This is an ecological landslide that is probably irreversible and is undoubtedly connected to climatic warming”Siberia's peat bogs formed around 11,000 years ago at the end of the last ice age. Since then they have been generating methane, most of which has been trapped within the permafrost, and sometimes deeper in ice-like structures known as clathrates. Larry Smith of the University of California, Los Angeles, estimates that the west Siberian bog alone contains some 70 billion tonnes of methane, a quarter of all the methane stored on the land surface worldwide.

His colleague Karen Frey says if the bogs dry out as they warm, the methane will oxidise and escape into the air as carbon dioxide. But if the bogs remain wet, as is the case in western Siberia today, then the methane will be released straight into the atmosphere. Methane is 20 times as potent a greenhouse gas as carbon dioxide.

In May this year, Katey Walter of the University of Alaska Fairbanks told a meeting in Washington of the Arctic Research Consortium of the US that she had found methane hotspots in eastern Siberia, where the gas was bubbling from thawing permafrost so fast it was preventing the surface from freezing, even in the midst of winter.

An international research partnership known as the Global Carbon Project earlier this year identified melting permafrost as a major source of feedbacks that could accelerate climate change by releasing greenhouse gases into the atmosphere. "Several hundred billion tonnes of carbon could be released," said the project's chief scientist, Pep Canadell of the CSIRO Division of Marine and Atmospheric Research in Canberra, Australia.


TOPICS: Miscellaneous; Russia
KEYWORDS: climate; climatechange; gas; globalwarminghoax; ice; russia; siberia
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1 posted on 08/17/2005 10:28:47 AM PDT by jb6
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To: jb6

Wonder if they will come up with a new name for "permafrost" ? (somewhatfrost?)


2 posted on 08/17/2005 10:33:57 AM PDT by RS (Just because they are out to get him, it doesn't mean he's not guilty.)
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To: jb6
This is getting series!

I've been hoping that the Inter-governmental Planning Commission on Environmental Cataclysism and Remediative Exigencies acts soon. I'm really hoping that they mandate all auto, home and business air conditioners to run 24-7 with the window open. We have to stem the awful onslaught of warm weather.

3 posted on 08/17/2005 10:35:34 AM PDT by Sgt_Schultze
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To: jb6

Giant release of METHANE? Better get PUTIN on ot right away!........


4 posted on 08/17/2005 10:35:36 AM PDT by Red Badger (Want to be surprised? GOOOOGLE your own name. Want to have fun? GOOOOGLE your neighbor's......)
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To: jb6

We are so DOOMED.


5 posted on 08/17/2005 10:35:44 AM PDT by Pondman88
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To: jb6

Just like it's been melting every July and August for the past 10,000 years, as we gradually warm out of the last ice age.


6 posted on 08/17/2005 10:35:47 AM PDT by JimRed ("Hey, hey, Teddy K., how many girls did you drown today?")
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To: jb6

No doubt that the world is getting warmer. This has been the case since the end of the Ice Age. The question is whether this is temporary or part of a cycle. The cause is another matter altogether. Just something we have to live with. Life goes on without Atlantis?


7 posted on 08/17/2005 10:36:00 AM PDT by RobbyS (chirho)
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To: RS

Will Siberia become the "Redneck Riviera" of Russia now?........


8 posted on 08/17/2005 10:37:55 AM PDT by Red Badger (Want to be surprised? GOOOOGLE your own name. Want to have fun? GOOOOGLE your neighbor's......)
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To: JimRed

Local paper had an article about the Ice Age--It lasted for like 10,000 years, ebbed and flowed. Very Intersting.

I'm hoping that global warming takes out Boston and san Fran.


9 posted on 08/17/2005 10:39:39 AM PDT by Pondman88
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To: jb6
The sudden melting of a bog the size of France and Germany combined could unleash billions of tonnes of methane, a potent greenhouse gas, into the atmosphere.

Finally! The truth comes out - global warming is the main cause of global warming.

10 posted on 08/17/2005 10:43:46 AM PDT by trebb ("I am the way... no one comes to the Father, but by me..." - Jesus in John 14:6 (RSV))
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To: Pondman88
I'm hoping that global warming takes out Boston and san Fran. - for all of you enjoying a warm summer day it is 65 degrees here in San Francisco.
11 posted on 08/17/2005 10:45:29 AM PDT by SF Republican
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To: SF Republican

Beautiful city--too bad the liberals took it over.


12 posted on 08/17/2005 10:49:53 AM PDT by Pondman88
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Comment #13 Removed by Moderator

To: jb6

in other news - Costs cut as Gulag inhabitants need fewer blankets


14 posted on 08/17/2005 10:52:08 AM PDT by cinives (On some planets what I do is considered normal.)
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To: jb6
Life on earth is going to be sweet, once we got rid of all the miserable frozen parts.

Tahiti, from pole to pole.

15 posted on 08/17/2005 10:54:21 AM PDT by dead (I've got my eye out for Mullah Omar.)
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To: jb6
"...estimates that the west Siberian bog alone contains some 70 billion tonnes of methane,"

Sounds like Michael Moore after a large bean burrito.

16 posted on 08/17/2005 10:56:16 AM PDT by joebuck
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To: joebuck

" Sounds like Michael Moore after a large bean burrito."

Or the cowboys Slim Pickins had to lay into as they sat around the camp fire.


17 posted on 08/17/2005 11:05:52 AM PDT by Marine_Uncle (Honor must be earned)
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To: Red Badger
To bad this is no way they can use that Methane and use it to run electric plants or something, what a wasted resource going into the atmosphere
18 posted on 08/17/2005 11:15:53 AM PDT by Prophet in the wilderness (PSALM 53 : 1 The ( FOOL ) hath said in his heart , There is no GOD .)
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To: jb6
Yeah. Right.


19 posted on 08/17/2005 11:17:49 AM PDT by pabianice
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To: Prophet in the wilderness

But this N-A-T-U-R-A-L methane! Therefore, it's good! Only MAN makes bad methane!.....


20 posted on 08/17/2005 11:19:09 AM PDT by Red Badger (Want to be surprised? GOOOOGLE your own name. Want to have fun? GOOOOGLE your neighbor's......)
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