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Report from Chappaqua: The "Agreement" Hillary has lost the WH, forever, and more, much more..
one man's opinion....

Posted on 05/24/2005 8:09:56 AM PDT by ken5050

The compromise deal announced last night on judicial nominations will one day prove to be the opening strike in one of the greatest political battles ever waged in this country. There is much sadness in Chappaqua, for Hillary Clinton has today realized that any remote chance she ever had a becoming president has now evaporatated forever. And the Democrat party may well be in its final states of existence, its death throes, as we know it today. Follow along, as together we peel back the layers of the political onion to unearth the truth...


TOPICS: Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: 109th; cantspellfilibuster; filibuster; hillary; thedarkone
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It's always easy to lay the foundation of any thesis by stating the absolutes..the inviolate theorems that are used in your analysis. There are the three key ones:

1. Hillary Clinton will be the Democrat nominee in 2008. The only possible way she isn't, is if she chooses not to run.

2. John McCain knows that he can easily beat Hillary in the general election. His BIG problem is getting the GOP nomination. More about that a little later.

3. Democrats will filabuster W.'s SC nominees. It is a given. It is what they do. They are programmed that way..their base will exert unbelievable pressure if they do not.

Now, a few words about McCain. Despite the scorn with which many here hold him, we can say two positive things about him:

1. He is staunchly pro-life. This has never been questioned.

2. He is a strong supporter of the War on Terror, and all that President Bush has done to wage it.

However, he's done a great many things that have really upset the GOP base since 2000, and despite all his efforts ( like campaigning for and with W in 2004, hugging him onstage, delivering a GREAT speech at the 2004 convention...including lampooning and harpooning Michael Moore) he remains wildly unpopular with the base. And he has Bill Frist, a potential 2008 rival, starting to act like a leader, giving the base what it wants in pushing the nuclear option in the Senate. So, what's a guy to do?

Remember, McCain spent years in a POW camp in Vietnam. He understands human nature, strategy, and the need to think many moves in advance in the political chess game. And note his most fervent acolyte, Lindsey Graham. Though many here don't like him now..remember his performance during the impeachment proceedings. He was superb. And he has a very astute political mind.

So, then, why concoct this insipid compromise. Surely McCain and Graham know that the issue will be back in the forefront as soon as a SC nomination comes up. Everyone knows that. And the Dems will filabuster. Indeed, McCain is counting on it.

Right now, he has accomplished the following:

1. Frist is neutered, possibly severely wounded

2. McCain is the absolute darling of the MSM. He will have a superb press, a heightened profile ( even without the movie) and gain a great deal of support among independents and middle-of -the road Democrats, who do not like the hard left direction of their party.

He can do no wrong.

So, some time this year, when the Dems ramp up their filabuster of the SC nominees, look for McCain to stand up and announce publicly that the trust he placed in the Dems promise was misstaken. That he was wrong, and that right now it is necessary that the GOP move immediately to invoke the nuclear option and give all the president's nominees an up-or-down vote.

I ask you, whom do evangelicals ( social conservatives) love more than the self-admitted sinner who has confessed, and has now seen the true light. Come home, our brother John, all is forgiven. We embrace you. And BTW, please accept our nomination to be President.

The MSM will be powerless to criticize McCain, or take the Dems side. And along with McCain, will come all 7 GOP senators who signed the compromise. And, as an early Christmas bonus for the base, Nebraska Senator Nelson will cross the aisle, join the GOP, and run in 2006 as a Republican ( why do you think Gov Johanns took the Agricultural Secretary post in the Bush administration? He "knew" that the Senate seat wouldn't be open)

And here's the real kicker...In this week's Newsweek story on McCain ( I know, it's Newsweek, but they do get it right once in a while) there's a blind item, quoting a senior aide to McCain that he has already spoken to Karl Rove about running McCain's campaign in 2008. Everyone says preposterous. Everyone assumes that Bush, Rove and the whole team couldn't stand McCain, let alone work for him...well, here it comes, folks....McCain need a running mate...and who better than.. JEB BUSH .....THAT'S RIGHT..YOU HEARD IT HERE FIRST..

McCain/Bush 2008!!!

And have no doubt..there is an ironclad understanding that McCain will be a one-term president. Given his age, and health, that's reasonable. He might even step down in his 4th year, to let Jeb step in and run as an incumbent. Does anyone who knows anything about the Bush family think that they don't want the TRIFECTA? This guarantees it..

Remember that after the 2008 election, there is a census in 2010, and a redistricting of the House, and the red states will gain 7-10, or more Electoral votes, at the expense of the blue states, and the EV math for the Dems becomes well nigh impossible.

One more thing..our friend Lndsey Graham? The operating genius, along with Rove, behind all of this. What's in it for him. Well, he'll have his Senate seat for life. And with Frist retiring in 2006, look for Graham to run for Majority Leader....he's like Michael Corleone..making a strong move at a young age.. He wil have brought Nelson over to the GOP before the 2006 race, and after the 2006 results, when the Dems lose a few more Senate seats, look for Graham to bring over Pryor, and possibly one or two more.. He can offer them seniority and commitee assignments...and he can rule the Senate like it hasn't been done since Lyndon Johnson..and in 2020, after Jeb's 2nd term is over, if he wants to run for the WH, well, he's a relatively young man.

Well, there you have it. So, rejoice...and as for the Dems..well, after losing more seats in 2006 in both houses..look for Dean Reid, and Pelosi to be dumped, and a huge fight for the carcass of the Dem party. Hillary can have the nomination, but it won't be worth a plug nickle.

And that's why today there is a great dark cloud over the Clinton manse in Chappaqua..She knows that any dream of ever getting back inside the WH is now gone forever.

1 posted on 05/24/2005 8:09:57 AM PDT by ken5050
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To: Howlin; OXENinFLA; JohnHuang2

FYI..list ping please


2 posted on 05/24/2005 8:10:37 AM PDT by ken5050 (Ann Coulter needs to have children ASAP to pass on her gene pool....any volunteers?)
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To: ken5050
1. He is staunchly pro-life. This has never been questioned.

?!?!?

Looks like the McCainiac crapstorm is beginning again.

3 posted on 05/24/2005 8:11:43 AM PDT by wideawake (God bless our brave troops and their Commander-in-Chief)
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To: AFPhys; maggiefluffs; Kerretarded; Mo1; Bahbah; Miss Marple; LisaFab; Dog

FYI..my take


4 posted on 05/24/2005 8:12:23 AM PDT by ken5050 (Ann Coulter needs to have children ASAP to pass on her gene pool....any volunteers?)
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To: ken5050

Is that supposed to make us feel better...........McCain/Bush? LOL! ;)


5 posted on 05/24/2005 8:12:35 AM PDT by MamaLucci (Mutually assured destruction STILL keeps the Clinton administration criminals out of jail.)
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To: ken5050; Dan from Michigan; xsmommy

No way in hell I'll ever vote for McCain


6 posted on 05/24/2005 8:13:26 AM PDT by NeoCaveman (Got no Spine? Not one damn dime)
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To: ken5050

I disagree. IMO the GOP didn't deploy the nuclear option because they wanted to keep that power intact in case they ever needed it. In other words, they are still thinking like they are the minority party, and their actions in the Senate prove that time and time again. So as long as the GOP is unwilling to take the next step as a majority party with a GOP president perched about them, they keep the Dems alive and with a chance of coming back some day.


7 posted on 05/24/2005 8:13:48 AM PDT by dirtboy (Drooling moron since 1998...)
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To: MrsEmmaPeel; Liz

as promised


8 posted on 05/24/2005 8:13:59 AM PDT by ken5050 (Ann Coulter needs to have children ASAP to pass on her gene pool....any volunteers?)
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To: ken5050

Do you seriously think anyone will trudge to the poll to vote if it's Mctreasonouslunatic against the EVIL?

I'll be staying home in droves.


9 posted on 05/24/2005 8:14:14 AM PDT by the gillman@blacklagoon.com (I leave reason and good manners to those that have them.)
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To: ken5050

No way am I voting for McCain under any circumstances.


10 posted on 05/24/2005 8:14:26 AM PDT by citizen (Yo W! Read my lips: No Amnistia by any name!)
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To: ken5050

Not only would a McCain candidacy make me stay home, but I've no interest in the continuance of a Bush dynasty either. McCain/Bush is the perfect ticket to push constructionists out of the party.


11 posted on 05/24/2005 8:14:36 AM PDT by thoughtomator (The U.S. Constitution poses no serious threat to our form of government)
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To: dubyaismypresident
No way in hell I'll ever vote for McCain

Agreed. If I'm gonna vote for a Democrat, I'll vote for a real one and not a poor imitation.

12 posted on 05/24/2005 8:14:57 AM PDT by dirtboy (Drooling moron since 1998...)
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To: ken5050
John McCain knows that he can easily beat Hillary in the general election.

HAHAHA!!! Did someone slip librium into your cereal?

13 posted on 05/24/2005 8:15:10 AM PDT by theDentist (The Dems are putting all their eggs in one basket-case: Howard "Belltower" Dean.)
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To: Cboldt

FYI


14 posted on 05/24/2005 8:15:25 AM PDT by ken5050 (Ann Coulter needs to have children ASAP to pass on her gene pool....any volunteers?)
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To: citizen

I don't trust him. He's a loose phaser..


15 posted on 05/24/2005 8:16:07 AM PDT by sheik yerbouty
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To: thoughtomator

OK..do that..and let Hillary Clinton appoint 4 SC justices..


16 posted on 05/24/2005 8:16:15 AM PDT by ken5050 (Ann Coulter needs to have children ASAP to pass on her gene pool....any volunteers?)
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To: dubyaismypresident

trouble being, there are 200 million fools who will


17 posted on 05/24/2005 8:17:16 AM PDT by Revelation 911
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To: ken5050

Sorry. I don't vote for Keating 5 senators or gun grabbers.


18 posted on 05/24/2005 8:17:32 AM PDT by Dan from Michigan (June 14 - Vote Tom Brinkman for Congress (OH-2) - http://www.gobrinkman.com)
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To: ken5050
The MSM will be powerless to criticize McCain, or take the Dems side.
Is there oxygen in the atmosphere of the planet you're on?

The MSM changes the subject at will. "We have always been at war with Eurasia." Criticizing is what the MSM does best; it's about the only thing the MSM is good at.


19 posted on 05/24/2005 8:17:47 AM PDT by conservatism_IS_compassion (The idea around which liberalism coheres is that NOTHING actually matters but PR.)
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To: ken5050

It's not like voting in Republicans gets us GOP judges, so what's the alternative?


20 posted on 05/24/2005 8:17:47 AM PDT by thoughtomator (The U.S. Constitution poses no serious threat to our form of government)
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