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Iran's nukes: Not if, but when (and why Diplomacy is NOT the Answer)
Enter Stage Right ^ | Spet. 6, 2004 | Alan Caruba

Posted on 09/05/2004 11:49:02 PM PDT by FairOpinion

If you want an object lesson in why Sen. Kerry's assertion that simply by working with our allies to solve threats to our nation and elsewhere around the world is wrong, wrong, wrong, I direct your attention to the nation of Iran.

Diplomacy is not working. The threat of United Nations sanctions is not working. Three nations, England, France and Germany have been meeting with the Iranian ayatollahs who run that nation and the result, as Washington Post columnist, Charles Krauthammer, recently noted was that "They have been led by the nose. Iran is caught red-handed with illegally enriched uranium and the Tehran Three prevail upon the Bush administration to do nothing while they persuade the mullahs to act nice."

These are not nice people. Just ask the 69 million Iranians who chafe under their oppression. These are the mullahs who took American diplomats hostage in 1979 and held them hostage for 444 days. They have been in a virtual state of war with both America and Israel ever since.

Even The New York Times has taken notice. On August 8, an article headlined "Diplomacy Fails to Slow Advance of Nuclear Arms" by David E. Sanger reported that none of the efforts involving European and Asian allies has managed to achieve anything with either Iran or North Korea. In the words of one unidentified administration official, the only option left is to "disrupt or delay as long as we can" Iran efforts to develop a nuclear weapon.

So it is not if they do, but when they do have nuclear weapons. And then it becomes not if, but when, the United States decides to remove this menace with a few well-placed bunker-buster bombs.

If the lessons of history are any indicator—and they always are—there is only one option left. Iran's nuclear facilities must be destroyed by military action. Or to put it another way, by preemption of its ability to begin producing nuclear weapons. One wonders what the critics of preemption, some of whom claim the US was "misled" into invading Iraq, will say about an Iran that acquires the ability to threaten their neighbors, destroy the entire nation of Israel, and possibly even threaten our cities with suitcase A-bombs.

For those who have short memories or none at all, Saddam Hussein was deterred from his own nuclear weapons program when, on June 7, 1981, Israeli F-15 and F-16 fighter-bombers took off from Etzion Air Base in the Sinai and destroyed the Osirak nuclear reactor under construction. The French were building that reactor for the Iraqi dictator. Today, it is the Russians who are helping to build Iran's nuclear facilities.

Why would a nation that sits atop huge reserves of oil and has the second-largest natural gas reserves in the world after Russia need nuclear power to generate energy? The answer is they do not. The only reason for nuclear facilities is to acquire the ability to threaten its neighbors. Both Pakistan and India have such capabilities and they managed to scare each other so badly last year that even they have gotten together to defuse the situation.

Having a nuclear weapon and being willing to pay the price for using it are two different things. The problem with Iran, however, is that they work from the same playbook as Osama bin Laden. The ayatollahs would use these weapons, on missiles or delivered by some other means, to destroy their declared enemies. In the case of Iran, diplomacy has failed because you cannot cut a deal with lunatics who take their orders from Allah.

Complimenting or facilitating the outcome is the fact that the US now has a large number of its troops in Iraq and will for the foreseeable future. It has troops in other Middle Eastern nations as well. If Sen. Kerry is elected, he has promised to withdraw those troops as quickly as possible. For which, I'm sure, the Iranians are quite grateful. But not grateful enough to stop their efforts to acquire nuclear weapons that pose a direct threat to our nation.

Moreover, Israel is on record saying it will never permit Iran to reach the point where it can manufacture or deliver nuclear weapons. Attacking Iran, however, would be impossible without the tacit permission of the United States. There is no way the Israelis could send their bombers across Iraq to get at Iran's nuclear facilities without the US granting the access they'd need. It will not happen.

Which leaves the job to the United States of America. At some point after the election, assuming that President Bush is reelected, the preemptive option will have to be used. One scenario would be to first destroy North Korea's facilities as an object lesson. Is there an alternative? No. Diplomacy has failed. United Nations posturing has failed. And the threat is too real to ignore.


TOPICS: Editorial; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: iran; irannukes; nuclear; nukes
Another reason to NOT trust the security of the US to Kerry.
1 posted on 09/05/2004 11:49:04 PM PDT by FairOpinion
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To: FairOpinion

That goes without saying. Even if there was a Democrat we could trust, he/she would still have a learning curve.


2 posted on 09/06/2004 12:02:43 AM PDT by dr_who_2
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To: dr_who_2

The only Democrat I would trust would be Zell.

The others would have to change their pacifist natures, not a realistic expectation.


3 posted on 09/06/2004 12:04:28 AM PDT by FairOpinion (FIGHT TERRORISM! VOTE BUSH/CHENEY 2004.)
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To: FairOpinion

--------------------------------
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Donate to Swift Boat Vets for the Truth HERE.

4 posted on 09/06/2004 12:05:26 AM PDT by sonofatpatcher2 (Texas, Love & a .45-- What more could you want, campers? };^)
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To: FairOpinion

These Iranians are so non essential after this last Chechnian incedent.... Iran who? The people we are going to smash? Oh, that Iran...


5 posted on 09/06/2004 12:05:33 AM PDT by Porterville (How can the median price of a home in CA be 450,000 dollars? How? Where is the money?)
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To: Porterville

A somewhat related article, with interesting developments:


Israel may propose landmark security cooperation with Russia
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1208320/posts

Despite of what Russia says, it can't be friendly with Israel and Iran at the same time.


6 posted on 09/06/2004 12:07:42 AM PDT by FairOpinion (FIGHT TERRORISM! VOTE BUSH/CHENEY 2004.)
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To: FairOpinion

Israel is very flexible. How could they have normal diplomatic relations and technology transfers with India and China at the same time?


7 posted on 09/06/2004 3:09:41 AM PDT by meenie
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To: FairOpinion; TexasCowboy; ExSoldier; grizzfan
These are not nice people.

Yes they [islamics] are all nice. It is just a bad few that are the problem. /SARC
8 posted on 09/06/2004 3:34:42 AM PDT by Indie (Ignorance of the truth is no excuse for stupidity.)
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To: Indie; callmejoe; judicial meanz; Myrddin; Old Sarge
No terrorists are NOT "nice people." But I'll bet you'd like some of the muslim kids I teach. They're nice.

I agree that the Iranian nuke facilities have to be taken out using military assets and that probably we have to do that, rather than let Israel do so as callmejoe has effectively stated.

Indie, all this hatred is gonna eat you up inside. Certainly folks in this war are going to have to be killed. For America, Pearl Harbor was personal. September 11th was personal. But for the warriors who must exact the vengence of a nation, it can never mean acting out of hatred. Hatred makes you weak. Hatred makes you lose mission focus. Hatred causes mistakes.

These are not nice people.

Well, DUH! I know lots of people that are "not nice." Some are even my students. Does that mean they should be killed? Well, only the 9th graders. I maintain that 9th graders should be staked out in the back yard and fed raw meat until they are human again; ie seniors. But I digress. You can't kill everybody. You can't even hate everybody. Well, maybe you can, Indie. But it is possible to kill those who would engage in direct operations against this country. Focus the anger, keep it remote (that is, out of your very soul) and simply do the job.

9 posted on 09/06/2004 7:27:41 AM PDT by ExSoldier (M1A: Any mission. Any conditions. Any foe. At any range.)
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To: ExSoldier

I've stewed in my own sauce over the recent actions of the terrorists in Russia for several days now, simply because I was absolutely livid about it. I'm still livid about it, but at least I am coherent about it now.

Teheran is the spiritual center of the Islamic fundamentalist groups who are engaged in this type of terrorism. Saudi Arabia is also deeply involved. So is Syria, Yemen, and other fringe countries.

Each Middle Eastern country that gives actions like this tacit approval by an approving nod, slanted press coverage, or backchannel funding is just as much of an enemy as the terrorists pulling the triggers in these actions. The dividing line has been breached and now is the time to choose sides and make a stand for the truth.

Its always a good policy to direct righteous anger towards the source of the problem. Iran is a part of the problem, and their government needs to go. How they go is academic. Once they are gone, the terrorists will suffer a major ideological defeat and the people of Iran will have a chance to learn freedom again.

I say each Iranian mullah in any government office within the currently serving government of the Islamic Republic of Iran deserves a LGB dropped directly on their head. Whoever does it will definitely earn my support.


10 posted on 09/06/2004 7:48:05 AM PDT by judicial meanz
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To: ExSoldier

Bingo!


11 posted on 09/06/2004 7:52:09 AM PDT by Constantine XIII
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