Bush beginning to pull away from Kerry in Iowa Electronic Market

IEM ^ | 8/2

[Keith in Iowa]

Kerry's on a downward trend....if this were a stock chart, one might be tempted to take thier loss and sell, before it bottoms out.

[ambrose]

Certainly entertaining, but I am bit dubious as to the informative value of this stuff.

[goldstategop]

IEM and Tradesports are very reliable. Its not surprising President Bush regained the lead in the markets. The clearest real world indication John F*ckin's Le Pew speech at the Democratic Convention in Boston last week stunk.

[ambrose]

My gut reaction while watching was that the speech stunk. Lots of fluff, but no substance behind it, and poorly delivered. To the extent it had any positive effect, it was more like Chinese food... It would leave you feeling full for very long..

Thus, I was a bit surprised when all the talkingheads came in with it being a "homerun" - even some Republicans were saying so.

They need to get outside the Beltway a little more often..

[SAJ]

Tradesports' track record on politics, taken from 1 week before polling over the past few years, is nothing short of awesome in its accuracy. One of the very few places in the world where I'll take the short end of the odds voluntarily (on many, but certainly not all) props.

OTOH, stay well away from (or better yet, think about fading) quite a lot of the sports line favourites.

[goldstategop]

Huge Hewitt said it was more like a single. The Democratic candidate needed a home run and fell way short. Brilliant speech? There's your clue that most of the time, the media blowhards have absolutely no idea what they're talking about. The American people saw right through it.

[Republic Rocker]

What it was ...is.....he almost passed based on delivery.....but once we re read what he said it was all lies, fluff and mostly Republican!

[goldstategop]

Faux Republican... You'll have fun taunting your liberal friends they're going to vote for a George Bush clone! (laughing)

[nopardons]

I think that the talking heads on FNC were either told,or they decided to be "kind"/"nice" to Kerry.Either that,or someone slipped them all a micky.

Gore was devastatingly better,in 2000,than Kerry and none of us thought he was all that good back then.

Kerry sweated far worse than Nixon did,when he debated Kennedy,Kerry's delivery was worse than amateurish,the speech was too long and disjointed.For anyone to give him kudos and a rave review afterwards,was the height of hypocrisy!

[GulliverSwift]

Anyone who thought the speech was good after that pathetic "salute" is smoking something strong. It's made him a laughingstock among many non-political people I know.

It was absolutely idiotic and very much in the overwrought tradition of Al Gore and Bob Shrum. Ketchup Boy still can't figure out that all this Vietnam schtick is driving people off the more he repeats it. Real heroes don't go around proclaiming to be one.

It's all good though. I still find it hard to believe that Democrats would actually have picked such an inept and laughable candidate who combines the worst attributes of Al Gore and Carter.

[nopardons]

Who else did they have? Dean? Sharpton?

Kerry is the sacrificial goat.

And I can't wait to the debates! :-)

[playball0]

Negative bounce. Hmmmm. Only a French candidate could manage that.

[goldstategop]

Yeah really. Jack Hamm the Pittsburgh Steelers' great once said true greatness does not need to be defined or explained. Kerry didn't have to reference in his Vietnam service. No one is questioning he fought for his country as a young man. ONE mention might be enough. But 11? That's not a sign of a man destined for true greatness.

[DB]

Hey, his frik'en speech was perfect!

More than I could have hoped for really. ;-)

[Future Useless Eater]

Kerry peaked the morning before his girly-man pitch...

Girly-Man

• -Kerry stands WELL in front of the mound...
• -Tosses like a girl...
• -it falls short of home plate...
• -Catcher lunges forward but cannot retrieve it.
  
  
  click the picture to see the pitch in slow motion...
  loadtime with 56k dialup... 2 minutes - 750k

[jnarcus]

What Republicans said that Kerry had a good speech? I don't remember hearing any say that

[crazycat]

Arnie in one phrase "Girly-Man", may have won the Nov election. As this phrase is now forever linked to Dem men.

John F'kin will get more and more desperate to try and prove he ain't a Girly-Man and will look increasingly stupid at each attempt.

[ScaniaBoy]

I didn't see Kerry's speech but I'm sure you're right - it stunk.

I've been traveling in Switzerland and Italy the last week and had to rely on TV for my news (ouch!).

Before the convention speech CNN boosted Kerry to the tops. I had therefore expected CNN International and the text TV to be full of quotes from Kerry's speech the morning after (it was of course held night time European time). Not so - the only quote was his first line about reporting for duty.

Eventually, after a day or so they did recover and starting to spin, but that was mostly directed against President Bush and not so much for Kerry. (One of the things they did was shorten down some clips from a what appeared to be a very good stump speech by Bush - in the first editions people booed when Bush mentioned Hollywood as the site of Americas heart and soul according to the Dems, and then rise up and shout and applaud when he said that he knew the heart and soul of the US where in towns like here in ... Missouri. In all the later editions all the audience reactions were edited out.)

Actually there were more news about Kerry's speech on the German and Swiss text-Tv channels. However, reading those comments it became quite clear why there were so few comments on CNN - not only did the speech appear to be devoid of any facts - those policy suggestions that where highlighted are hardly vote-winners at least in the US - tax increases, socialized health care - no better for the alphabet networks to forget the speech and let Kerry remain in anonymity - and continue the Bush bashing.

[dawn53]

It was the sweating that turned the market, LOL.

Americans don't elect leaders that sweat under pressure!