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Rumsfeld's War, Powell's Occupation
National Review Online ^ | 4/30/04 | Barbara Lerner

Posted on 04/30/2004 1:33:14 PM PDT by borkrules

Rumsfeld’s War, Powell’s Occupation Rumsfeld wanted Iraqis in on the action — right from the beginning.

By Barbara Lerner

The latest post-hoc conventional wisdom on Iraq is that Defense Secretary Rumsfeld won the war but lost the occupation. There are two problems with this analysis (which comes, most forcefully, from The Weekly Standard). First, it's not Rumsfeld's occupation; it's Colin Powell's and George Tenet's. Second, although it's painfully obvious that much is wrong with this occupation, it's simple-minded to assume that more troops will fix it. More troops may be needed now, but more of the same will not do the job. Something different is needed — and was, right from the start.

A Rumsfeld occupation would have been different, and still might be. Rumsfeld wanted to put an Iraqi face on everything at the outset — not just on the occupation of Iraq, but on its liberation too. That would have made a world of difference.

Rumsfeld's plan was to train and equip — and then transport to Iraq — some 10,000 Shia and Sunni freedom fighters led by Shia exile leader Ahmed Chalabi and his cohorts in the INC, the multi-ethnic anti-Saddam coalition he created. There, they would have joined with thousands of experienced Kurdish freedom fighters, ably led, politically and militarily, by Jalal Talabani and Massoud Barzani. Working with our special forces, this trio would have sprung into action at the start of the war, striking from the north, helping to drive Baathist thugs from power, and joining Coalition forces in the liberation of Baghdad. That would have put a proud, victorious, multi-ethnic Iraqi face on the overthrow of Saddam Hussein, and it would have given enormous prestige to three stubbornly independent and unashamedly pro-American Iraqi freedom fighters: Chalabi, Talabani, and Barzani.

Jay Garner, the retired American general Rumsfeld chose to head the civilian administration of the new Iraq, planned to capitalize on that prestige immediately by appointing all three, along with six others, to head up Iraq's new transitional government. He planned to cede power to them in a matter of weeks — not months or years — and was confident that they would work with him, not against him, because two of them already had. General Garner, after all, is the man who headed the successful humanitarian rescue mission that saved the Kurds in the disastrous aftermath of Gulf War I, after the State Department-CIA crowd and like thinkers in the first Bush administration betrayed them. Kurds are not a small minority — and they remember. The hero's welcome they gave General Garner when he returned to Iraq last April made that crystal clear.

Finally, Secretary Rumsfeld wanted to cut way down on the infiltration of Syrian and Iranian agents and their foreign terrorist recruits, not just by trying to catch them at the border — a losing game, given the length of those borders — but by pursuing them across the border into Syria to strike hard at both the terrorists and their Syrian sponsors, a move that would have forced Iran as well as Syria to reconsider the price of trying to sabotage the reconstruction of Iraq.

None of this happened, however, because State and CIA fought against Rumsfeld's plans every step of the way. Instead of bringing a liberating Shia and Sunni force of 10,000 to Iraq, the Pentagon was only allowed to fly in a few hundred INC men. General Garner was unceremoniously dumped after only three weeks on the job, and permission for our military to pursue infiltrators across the border into Syria was denied.

General Garner was replaced by L. Paul Bremer, a State Department man who kept most of the power in his own hands and diluted what little power Chalabi, Talabani, and Barzani had by appointing not six but 22 other Iraqis to share power with them. This resulted in a rapidly rotating 25-man queen-for-a-day-type leadership that turned the Iraqi Governing Council into a faceless mass, leaving Bremer's face as the only one most Iraqis saw.

By including fence-sitters and hostile elements as well as American friends in his big, unwieldy IGC and giving them all equal weight, Bremer hoped to display a kind of inclusive, above-it-all neutrality that would win over hostile segments of Iraqi society and convince them that a fully representative Iraqi democracy would emerge. But Iraqis didn't see it that way. Many saw a foreign occupation of potentially endless length, led by the sort of Americans who can't be trusted to back up their friends or punish their enemies. Iraqis saw, too, that Syria and Iran had no and were busily entrenching their agents and terrorist recruits into Iraqi society to organize, fund, and equip Sunni bitter-enders like those now terrorizing Fallujah and Shiite thugs like Moqtada al Sadr, the man who is holding hostage the holy city of Najaf.

Despite all the crippling disadvantages it labored under, Bremer's IGC managed to do some genuine good by writing a worthy constitution, but the inability of this group to govern-period, let alone in time for the promised June 30 handover — finally became so clear that Bremer and his backers at State and the CIA were forced to recognize it. Their last minute "solution" is to dump the Governing Council altogether, and give U.N. Secretary General Kofi Annan's special envoy, Lakhdar Brahimi, the power to appoint a new interim government. The hope is that U.N. sponsorship will do two big things: 1) give the Brahimi government greater legitimacy in the eyes of the Iraqi people; and 2) convince former allies to join us and reinforce our troops in Iraq in some significant way. These are vain hopes.

Putting a U.N. stamp on an Iraqi government will delegitimize it in the eyes of most Iraqis and do great damage to those who are actively striving to create a freer, more progressive Middle East. Iraqis may distrust us, but they have good reason to despise the U.N., and they do. For 30 years, the U.N. ignored their torments and embraced their tormentor, focusing obsessively on a handful of Palestinians instead. Then, when Saddam's misrule reduced them to begging for food and medicine, they saw U.N. fat cats rip off the Oil-for-Food Program money that was supposed to save them.

The U.N. as a whole is bad; Lakhdar Brahimi is worse. A long-time Algerian and Arab League diplomat, he is the very embodiment of all the destructive old policies foisted on the U.N. by unreformed Arab tyrants, and he lost no time in making that plain. In his first press conferences, he emphasized three points: Chalabi, Talabani, and Barzani will have no place in a government he appoints; he will condemn American military action to restore order in Iraq; and he will be an energetic promoter of the old Arab excuses — Israel's "poison in the region," he announced, is the reason it's so hard to create a viable Iraqi interim government.

Men like Chalabi, Talabani, and Barzani have nothing but contempt for Mr. Brahimi, the U.N., and old Europe. They know perfectly well who their real enemies are, and they understand that only decisive military action against them can create the kind of order that is a necessary precondition for freedom and democracy. They see, as our State Department Arabists do not, that we will never be loved, in Iraq or anywhere else in the Middle East, until we are respected, and that the month we have wasted negotiating with the butchers of Fallujah has earned us only contempt, frightening our friends and encouraging our mortal enemies.

The damage Brahimi will do to the hope of a new day in Iraq and in the Middle East is so profound that it would not be worth it even if empowering him would bring in a division of French troops to reinforce ours in Iraq. In fact, it will do no such thing. Behind all the bluster and moral preening, the plain truth is that the French have starved their military to feed their bloated, top-heavy welfare state for decades. They couldn't send a division like the one the Brits sent, even if they wanted to (they don't). Belgium doesn't want to help us either, nor Spain, nor Russia, because these countries are not interested in fighting to create a new Middle East. They're fighting to make the most advantageous deals they can with the old Middle East, seeking to gain advantages at our expense, and at the expense of the oppressed in Iraq, Iran, and every other Middle Eastern country where people are struggling to throw off the shackles of Islamofascist oppression.

It is not yet too late for us to recognize these facts and act on them by dismissing Brahimi, putting Secretary Rumsfeld and our Iraqi friends fully in charge at last, and unleashing our Marines to make an example of Fallujah. And when al Jazeera screams "massacre," instead of cringing and apologizing, we need to stand tall and proud and tell the world: Lynch mobs like the one that slaughtered four Americans will not be tolerated. Order will restored, and Iraqis who side with us will be protected and rewarded.

— Barbara Lerner is a frequent contributor to NRO.


TOPICS: Editorial; Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: bush; iraq; postwariraq; powell; rumsfeld

1 posted on 04/30/2004 1:33:15 PM PDT by borkrules
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To: borkrules
I searched and searched, but didn't see this posted yet.

Disturbing.
2 posted on 04/30/2004 1:33:49 PM PDT by borkrules
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To: borkrules
I think it was Col. Hunt on FNC who blamed todays situation on Powell. I guess i felt that we were allowing to many Iraqis to surrender and go on about their business.
3 posted on 04/30/2004 1:35:56 PM PDT by cripplecreek (you tell em i'm commin.... and hells commin with me.)
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To: cripplecreek
Hindsight is 20-20 and all that, but man, the "Rumsfeld" plan looks like it makes much better sense than what's happening today.

Buck stops with Bush, though. There's little use in demonizing Powell when he's a known commodity and Bush should know better.
4 posted on 04/30/2004 1:44:01 PM PDT by borkrules
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To: borkrules
I agree, We don't deal in yesterdays.
5 posted on 04/30/2004 1:46:18 PM PDT by cripplecreek (you tell em i'm commin.... and hells commin with me.)
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To: cripplecreek
Proper force structure wasn't in place to take on lots of POWs.
6 posted on 04/30/2004 1:55:42 PM PDT by optik_b (follow the money)
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To: borkrules
>>>Rumsfeld's plan was to train and equip — and then >>>transport to Iraq — some 10,000 Shia and Sunni freedom >>>fighters led by Shia exile leader Ahmed Chalabi and his >>>cohorts in the INC, the multi-ethnic anti-Saddam >>>coalition he created.
Just wondering:
When would he have started training these freedom fighters? Since the decision to go to war was not presumably not made until March 2003, would the training of these troops have waited until that point?
How long would it have taken to train them? Would that have put off the start of the war?
If they were hastily trained, would that have put our troops fighting beside them at risk?
7 posted on 04/30/2004 2:00:45 PM PDT by NC28203
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To: borkrules
Bush should know better.

He is intensely loyal even to idiots who only hurt him. This is a part of Bush's greater flaw of being almost incapable of seeing the bad in people.

8 posted on 04/30/2004 2:05:18 PM PDT by irv
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To: borkrules
Slam Dunk!

9 posted on 04/30/2004 2:05:58 PM PDT by xzins (Retired Army and Proud of It!)
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To: NC28203; All
When would he have started training these freedom fighters?

Actually, they were deployed to pacify several towns, and actually succeeded, yet, instead of being Cloned, were Disbanded when the Striped Pants Set took over!!

Can't win for losing...

10 posted on 04/30/2004 3:30:48 PM PDT by Lael (Patent Law...not a single Supreme Court Justice is qualified to take the PTO Bar Exam!)
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To: borkrules
WOW. A critique that nails many things. It explains why the US has gone along with the UN. I got the sense, though, that Garner was overwhelmed quickly by events in Iraq that is why he was out.

One point is missing: That is the disbanding of the Iraqi army. Whether that was a good idea. It was Bremer's first decision, that plus debaathification.

Also, I dont understand why the IGC couldnt have been more effective. What stopped them? Was it that Bremer decided to make all decisions?

And last, I dont under why cant Iraq just have elections *now*. Despite the violence, there have been local elections. Why not elect members of an assembly.


11 posted on 04/30/2004 4:12:59 PM PDT by WOSG (http://freedomstruth.blogspot.com - I salute our brave fallen.)
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To: Lael
"Actually, they were deployed to pacify several towns, and actually succeeded, yet, instead of being Cloned, were Disbanded when the Striped Pants Set took over!!"

and now we are looking for Iraqis who will fight with us?!? sigh.

another idea mentioned on foxnews - embed iraqis in
US military units. helps in many ways and trains up the new force.

12 posted on 04/30/2004 4:16:58 PM PDT by WOSG (http://freedomstruth.blogspot.com - I salute our brave fallen.)
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To: NC28203
If you recall we were training a few thousand Iraqis in Hungary infeb /mar 2003 to do something. I dont know what happened to those Iraqis.

All I know is that the one big hole has been the lack of a good professional Iraqi security force in sufficient size to do most of the heavy lifting of pacifying Iraq. The result has cost US soldiers lives, made Iraqis respect us less, and harmed our long-term prospects.

Bush could be at 60% approal rating too if that matter were handled better.

So stories of plans like these, which then were shelved because State Dept thought they knew better are definitely 20/20 hindsight moments ... (oh, I know - state dept were planning to get Turkey, India and France to send troops! ... sigh)
13 posted on 04/30/2004 4:21:54 PM PDT by WOSG (http://freedomstruth.blogspot.com - I salute our brave fallen.)
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To: WOSG
bttt
14 posted on 04/30/2004 4:28:32 PM PDT by nopardons
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To: borkrules; cripplecreek; JohnHuang2; MeekOneGOP
<< Hindsight is 20-20 and all that, but man, the "Rumsfeld" plan looks like it makes much better sense than what's happening today.

Buck stops with Bush, though. There's little use in demonizing Powell when he's a known commodity and Bush should know better. >>

True, Bush should!

But, career Republican Party and Bush Family-blind spot occupant, Peter-Principle poster-boy and prime example of all that's wrong with quota hiring America-born Africanamerican sons of well-to-do British migrants, is at best a bloody dawk and at worst a natural component part of the self-annointed, self-appointed and self-perpetuating bastard-offspring of Soviet agents-descended and to-a-man un-and-anti-American Brahmanhas that owns operates and controls "our" Foggy Bottom-based department of state.

But while to every American and to all of the rest of the world Powell is but an insecurely-pompous, easily-manipulated, way-out-of-his-depth dawk, his strategic occupancy of those key blind spots -- Republican Party AND Bush family -- ensures his pricelessness to America's enemies -- of whom none are more deadly dangerous nor a bigger threat to Our Nation's survival than are those who monthly pick up Foggy Bottom's dole.

[And, PS: They call 'em "blind spots" because they are!]

BUMPping
15 posted on 04/30/2004 10:32:53 PM PDT by Brian Allen (Intact - Male - American - Republican - Pro-Bush - PRO-ISRAEL - Pro-War - Pro-Gun - Pro-Life! Next?)
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To: borkrules; oldglory; MinuteGal; mcmuffin; gonzo; JulieRNR21; sheikdetailfeather; ...

Sheeeeesh!!!! Sooooooo many girly boys --- soooo few men.

BTTT!!!

I'm bumping this to the top in light of seeing another one, in a long line of pathetic feminized males, make an attempt to blame Donald Rumsfeld and President Bush for his own faulty decisions.

Wall Street Journal REVIEW & OUTLOOK
The Viceroy's Apologia
L. Paul Bremer's selective Iraq history.
Wednesday, October 6, 2004 12:01 a.m.

Former viceroy L. Paul Bremer did 14 months of hard service in Iraq, so it is a special shame to see that he is now squandering that legacy by blaming others for what's gone wrong there. All the more so when he doesn't even have the history right.

That's our reaction to yesterday's political tempest over quotes from Mr. Bremer faulting the Pentagon and Bush Administration for having too few troops in Iraq. To hear Mr. Bremer's version of it, he arrived in Baghdad on May 6, 2003, to find "horrid" looting and instability, and an "atmosphere of lawlessness" that was allowed to grow because "we never had enough troops on the ground" to stop it.

Mr. Bremer revised his remarks slightly late Monday, saying in a statement that "I believe that we currently have sufficient troop levels in Iraq." But in a speech at DePauw University in September, Mr. Bremer said he had frequently raised the troop issue and "should have been more insistent about it," according to the local paper, adding that "the single most important change . . . would have been having more troops in Iraq at the beginning and throughout."

You get the idea: Mr. Bremer isn't to blame because he was tossed into a bad situation that only got worse while his pleas for more troops were ignored. And this indeed would be a damning indictment if it were true. Trouble is, we haven't found a single other senior official involved in the war or its aftermath--in or out of uniform--who attests to Mr. Bremer's version of events.

"I never heard him ask for more troops and he had many opportunities before the President to do so," one senior Administration official tells us. Or to be more precise, Mr. Bremer did finally ask for two more divisions in a June 2004 memo--that is, two weeks prior to his departure and more than a year after he arrived.

We heard about his request at the time, but didn't think much about it after we learned that theater commander General John Abizaid was consulted and argued that it was better policy to train Iraqi forces to fill any void. Judging by our ultimate goal of Iraqi independence, and the success that mixed Iraqi and U.S. battalions had retaking Samarra over the weekend, General Abizaid was right.

For that matter, if lack of troops was a problem, why didn't Mr. Bremer make better and more consistent use of the ones he already had? He was among those officials involved in the mistaken decision to have Marines stop short in Fallujah last April, and he has since defended that publicly.

As for Mr. Bremer's claim that "horrid" conditions prevailed when he arrived in Baghdad, our own Robert Pollock and other reporters who were there attest otherwise. By early May 2003 the major looting was over, and the country was experiencing a postwar honeymoon of sorts. We understand Mr. Bremer's desire to explain why security has since deteriorated, but we aren't going to learn the lessons we need to win this war if we accept the argument that somehow that "looting" was the match that lit the insurgency.

The truth is that the insurgency was already under way. We now know that the Baath Party responded to Iraq's rapid defeat in the conventional war by going underground. And it used that honeymoon period to build its strength--as the "Party of Return"--for the guerrilla campaign that really kicked off in the late summer of 2003. Although plenty of Iraqis warned of this threat, Mr. Bremer clearly underestimated it and failed to take the military and political steps that might have countered it.

On the military side, Mr. Bremer pursued a two-year plan to build an army oriented toward external defense, not internal threats. And once General Abizaid convinced him of the need for an Iraqi Civil Defense Corps, Mr. Bremer envisioned it as a garrison force and resisted its use in counter-insurgency operations. He also rebuffed attempts by the Iraqi National Congress and the two major Kurdish parties to supply the Corps with loyal anti-Baathist fighters. When the April violence flared in Fallujah and Najaf, the 36th Battalion of the ICDC--the only one the parties had been allowed to create--was the only one to prove its worth in battle. (The 36th has been fighting with us in recent days in Samarra.)

On the political side, Mr. Bremer underestimated the extent to which putting an early end to the occupation was important. He initially resisted the creation of the Governing Council altogether, and when he allowed it to happen gave it too little power. He also delayed implementing the democracy we had said we came to bring to Iraq, and he ultimately had to be told by Washington to agree to Shiite demands for elections at an earlier date. We're not saying an Iraqi face would have changed everything. But something like the current Allawi interim government could have been created much earlier, with the potential to reveal the insurgency as the Baathist revanchism it is.

As we say, Mr. Bremer was given a tough job in Iraq, and he's taken a lot of unfair criticism for some of the things he did right, such as officially dissolving the Baath Party and other structures of the old regime. But he is hardly helping the cause of victory now by criticizing his former colleagues, especially in a way that obscures the hard lessons we've learned in Iraq in the past 18 months.


16 posted on 10/06/2004 7:59:51 AM PDT by Matchett-PI (All DemocRATS are either religious relativists, libertines or anarchists.)
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To: Matchett-PI
I never did care much for Bremer from the git-go.

Maybe because I didn't know whether to nickname him "wuss", "puff" or "Sue".

Now to me his name is mud.

Couldn't keep his blubbery mouth shut till after election.

Leni

17 posted on 10/06/2004 3:41:45 PM PDT by MinuteGal
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