Israel Seeks More Submarines for 'Strategic Depth'

For years they cruised the shores of Tripoli, silent and unseen in the deep, radars monitoring inland munitions plants and torpedo tubes armed for combat.

And though Israel's submariners are breathing easier since Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi (news - web sites) vowed to stop developing weapons of mass destruction this month, Israeli top brass predict an even greater role for the fleet in a changing Middle East.

Above all is the idea that Israel, widely believed to have nuclear weapons, would use the sea for striking back in the event -- however unlikely -- that bases on land are overrun in a war.

Though Iran says it has no hostile designs, Tehran's atomic program heads the list of Israeli fears. Navy chief Adm. Yedidiya Ya'ari said submarines were a crucial deterrent.

"The ultimate role of the submarine is to linger for extended periods, almost anywhere it needs to be, undetected," he told Reuters, declining to comment on foreign analysts' assessments that the vessels carry nuclear-tipped missiles.

"It has a range of functions including hitting the enemy from where he least expects it. You can understand that as you wish," he said.

Iranian and Syrian officials, who have described Israel's submarine fleet as an offensive non-conventional capability that threatens regional stability, were not available for comment.

Three Dolphin-class submarines are the vanguard of a navy that otherwise acts primarily as Israel's coast guard, cutting off would-be infiltrators from Lebanon and Palestinian-run Gaza.

According to security sources, the German-made Dolphins go as far as North Africa and the Gulf to monitor enemy capabilities. Analysts believe they carry nuclear missiles for any "second-strike" retaliation.

The Israeli navy is unmatched by any Middle East foe's -- a fact brought home in 2001 when frogmen seized a Gaza-bound ship carrying arms in the Red Sea and towed it to Eilat instead.

Yet the navy wants an unspecified number of new submarines -- each costing as much as $400 million -- over the next decade, and also plans to upgrade three World War II-era Vickers craft.

Helping Ya'ari swim against the current of defense budget cuts has been the hawkish head of Israel's parliamentary defense committee, Yuval Shteinitz.

"The threat is not from other navies, but from stand-off weapons on our borders," Shteinitz said, referring to rockets used by Palestinian militants and Lebanese Hizbollah guerrillas, as well as Syrian and Iranian long-range missile programs.

He outlines a doomsday scenario in which about a dozen ground targets in Israel -- air bases and what foreign experts believe are ballistic launch pads -- are paralyzed by missile salvos or sabotage, leaving the country virtually defenseless.

As alarmist as such outlooks seem to many analysts given Israeli military might, few doubt the seriousness of intent in a Jewish state still facing neighbors sworn to its destruction.

"With their lack of strategic depth, the Israelis will always be very much concerned with self-defense and taking the fight to the enemy. Naval forces are an important means to this end," said Stephen Saunders, editor of Jane's Fighting Ships.

Part of the navy's reasoning for expanding the submarine fleet is the possible relinquishing of the West Bank and Gaza Strip (news - web sites) as foreseen under a U.S.-led peace "road map" for Palestinian independence.

"According to the road map, which we accepted, the territory under our control will shrink," said Ya'ari. "A naval force is outside this threat area, making it a crucial back-up for national security."

Ya'ari also sees a regional role for Israeli cooperation with Western navies to thwart Islamic militancy in its heartland. Stopping traffickers in weapons of mass destruction is central to the U.S.-led "war on terror."

But some are skeptical of a big part for Israel's navy given regional sensibilities and the need of the United States to be sensitive to the concerns of Arab governments.

"A ring of steel around the Middle East sounds like a politically difficult thing to do, not least because the core issue as far as terrorism is concerned is the Israeli-Arab conflict," said Saunders.

Fallout from Israel's crackdowns on the Palestinians may have cost it dearly on the naval front already.

Last month, a German magazine said the country, having long whittled down defense support for Israel, had decided not to sell it any more Dolphins. Focus magazine cited Berlin's concerns that the submarines would be armed with nuclear weapons, further destabilizing the region.

German and Israeli government officials declined comment. Ya'ari said he knew of no such procurement request.

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3 posted on 01/02/2004 8:20:38 PM PST by Support Free Republic (I'd rather be sleeping. Let's get this over with so I can go back to sleep!)

For years they cruised the shores of Tripoli, silent and unseen in the deep, radars monitoring inland munitions plants and torpedo tubes armed for combat.

Even if we allow that they're at pericope depth with something poking out of the water, this is still an odd concept.

"Conn, Radar. No change in munitions plant bearing, range or speed."

Seeing as the Russians are decommissioning dozens of subs, perhaps Israel should make an offer?

I'll freely admit, I'm not too certain of the condition or refit-ability of said vessels, but I'll bet they can be had for cheap! The same goes for that decommissioned carrier on Ebay.

Though Iran says it has no hostile designs,

Why is Reuters so full of shinola?

Iranian leaders have publically called for the nuking of Israel, saying that while they would totally destroy Israel, Israel is only capable of causing "losses only" to the arab/Muslim world.

And I thought the Iranian were known for their skills in mathematics?

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