7th District race nears a dead heat [IN-07]

Indianapolis Star ^ | 11/01/02 | Mary Beth Schneider

[BlackRazor]

Poll shows Carson ahead by 1 percentage point; outcome rests on undecided voters.

With only four days until voters make their choice, the race to represent Indianapolis in Congress is as close as it gets.

A new poll for The Star and WTHR (Channel 13) shows Democratic incumbent U.S. Rep. Julia Carson has only a single-digit lead over Republican challenger Brose McVey.

[BlackRazor]

Poll Ping!

If you want on or off my poll ping list, let me know!

[frmrda]

I've seen where the NDCC has to divert money here at the expense of other close races. They're really scared. Good. This woman is a socialist pig in the mold of Barbara Lee. I think she was one of the ones who voted "Present" on wishing Reagan a Happy Birthday, but I might be wrong. Even if I am wrong, she still is one of the most left wing Dems out there.

[fieldmarshaldj]

If that poll is remotely reliable, this may be one of the biggest surprise upsets of this cycle. I definitely would not have picked Carson for a defeat. IN Dems may have overplayed their gerrymandering hand, hoping to get a 5-4 Dem lead (targeting Hostetler), and may end up with a 7-2 GOP majority. Hopefully it will blow up in their faces in GA, too...

[DodgeRam]

Good post BlackRazor. One question though, If Repubs are doing so well in the house why isn't this translating to the senate or governships. Would'nt it make sense that if Dem strongholds in the house fall away this might signal some sort of trend?

[BlackRazor]

If I remember the details correctly, the previous poll by the same organization (showing Carson up 42-38) appeared to be undersampling Democrats. I wonder if the same is true here. There was another independent poll out earlier this week giving Carson a 46-37 lead. I suspect that one is probably more accurate. I expect this race to end up in the low-to-mid single digits and am projecting a Carson win. However, McVey seems to be a very credible candidate who has run a strong campaign, and an upset wouldn't shock me at this point.

[Coop]

You've got to admit, having the Vice President out there a few days before the election obviously means the national level Pubbies feel this one is in play.

[GraniteStateConservative]

Actually in places like NH, Jeb Bradley's and Charlie Bass' success will likely help Sununu win his Senate race.

[DodgeRam]

I hope you right, a loss in N.H. would put us behind the eightball in standing pat or gaining a seat.

[KQQL]

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