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This is 'conventional wisdom' speaking from Sabato and Todd.

I hope they are both wrong, as wrong as the 2016 election prediction.

1 posted on 10/10/2018 6:03:04 AM PDT by Sir Napsalot
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To: Sir Napsalot

Surrender the “Blue” name Commie Reds.


2 posted on 10/10/2018 6:04:05 AM PDT by a fool in paradise (Denounce DUAC - The Democrats Un-American Activists Committee)
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To: Sir Napsalot

BTW, Sabato revealed himself no better than your typical paid pollsters in the last election cycle.

Take his analysis with a grain of salt.


3 posted on 10/10/2018 6:04:52 AM PDT by Sir Napsalot (Pravda + Useful Idiots = USSR; Journ0List + Useful Idiots = DopeyChangey)
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To: Sir Napsalot

Clinton 322
Trump 216

That was Sabato’s prediction in 2016.


4 posted on 10/10/2018 6:05:35 AM PDT by Personal Responsibility (If we disarmed democrats gun violence would decrease by 90%.)
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To: Sir Napsalot

How can the president have “fallen considerably as a whole” while his approval numbers are inching up? This makes no sense to me - how can a country vote out someone who has miraculously turned the economy around in less than 2 years? Lots of jobs, income growth....people should be crawling to vote Republican.


6 posted on 10/10/2018 6:07:15 AM PDT by JudyinCanada
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To: Sir Napsalot
-
Larry Sabato's Big Blue Wave

7 posted on 10/10/2018 6:08:02 AM PDT by Covenantor (Men are ruled...by liars who refuse them news, and by fools who cannot govern. " Chesterton)
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To: Sir Napsalot

Maybe in their vacuum in Virginia . . .


8 posted on 10/10/2018 6:08:29 AM PDT by petitfour (APPEAL TO HEAVEN)
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To: Sir Napsalot
http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/our-final-2016-picks/

yeah Larry after blowing 2016 so badly, you might want to dial it in. Blow 3 elections in a row this badly why would anyone, other then CNN, ever take you seriously again?

9 posted on 10/10/2018 6:09:09 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (They would have to abandon leftism to achieve sanity. Freeper Olog-hai)
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To: Sir Napsalot

Day of the 2016 presidential election: Larry Sabato predicting on Fox (you can see it on YouTube): “For Trump to be elected something GIANT has to happen. Hillary: 326 electoral votes”. Mr. Sabato’s crystal ball apparently has cataracts.


10 posted on 10/10/2018 6:09:32 AM PDT by laconic
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To: Sir Napsalot

The second Kavanaugh was confirmed the entire MSM pivoted back to “blue wave.” What are the fundamentals Larry? What supports “blue wave” other than dem rage?

Most of the polls I am looking at show things trending away from the democrats. And don’t hand me that “the Senate is different” poop. The Senate races are trending because of overall voter enthusiasm picking up for the GOP. Like that won’t translate to the house races.


11 posted on 10/10/2018 6:09:44 AM PDT by FlipWilson
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I've noticed that there seems to be no discussion of Republican Senator who might lose his seat. All I hear is just how many Democratic seats we will take.

No Red wave my ass.
14 posted on 10/10/2018 6:10:42 AM PDT by glaseatr (Father of a Marine, Uncle of SGT Adam Estep. A Co. 2/5 Cav. KIA Thurs April 29, 2004 Baghdad Iraq)
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To: Sir Napsalot

Okay Crystal Balls. We will see.


16 posted on 10/10/2018 6:12:23 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: Sir Napsalot

Sabato and Todd, unloveable losers.


17 posted on 10/10/2018 6:13:06 AM PDT by csvset (illegitimi non carborundum)
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To: Sir Napsalot

We will find out in about 4 weeks.


19 posted on 10/10/2018 6:13:29 AM PDT by SolidRedState (I used to think bizarro world was a fiction.)
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To: Sir Napsalot
This never gets old.

23 posted on 10/10/2018 6:16:23 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: Sir Napsalot

I don’t believe pollsters anymore, but they are generally in the ball park. When the overall picture in Arizona puts veteran fighter pilot Marsha McSally in an almost dead heat with a radical socialist protestor who wants open borders and the elimination of ICE, there is something very ugly going on in America. This wouldn’t have even been a contest in AZ ten years ago.


25 posted on 10/10/2018 6:17:53 AM PDT by Baynative ( "If you don't have a seat at the table, you're on the menu.")
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To: Sir Napsalot

because we can’t believe polling is unbiased, and due to people not really speaking the truth to pollsters anyway, i think the situation is fluid. the point is to not be complacent. take. the. fight. to. the. polls like it’s a presidential. VOTE!


27 posted on 10/10/2018 6:20:25 AM PDT by avital2
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To: Sir Napsalot; LS; governsleastgovernsbest; SunkenCiv

There is a very “weird feel” to this sudden “blue wave” (post-Kavanaugh!) of “blue wave” stories in Hillary’s national socialist party press corpse.

NONE recognize the recent series of large, very enthusiastic, very-well attended Trump rallies all across the Midwest and FL.
NONE recognize that very few individual House district races threaten sitting (non-retiring) GOP conservatives, and the retiring Never-Trumpers GROPelites are the most liberal in the republican house lists.
Specific House polls across the board predict few losses - it’s always the mythical “generic ballot” that favors democrats.
The last few stories do recognize that individual Senate races are trending republican, but then come back with a conclusion “that if the democrats take the Senate and the House” they will do this, and that, and doom so-and-so. Impeachment by Nancy Pelosi’s House (and subsequent conviction by the Senate) always pushed under the table at this point.

Why is the national press corpse so foolish, so short-sighted so as to believe their inside-the-Beltway wishes and dreams - not the world’s reality? (Or have I answered by own question?)


28 posted on 10/10/2018 6:20:46 AM PDT by Robert A Cook PE (The democrats' national goal: One world social-communism under one world religion: Atheistic Islam.)
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To: Sir Napsalot
“Even if the Republicans hold the Senate given the very pro-Republican math that exists,

There is no if about it.

President Trump is in trouble in some of these states,” Sabato said. “He's fallen considerably as a whole.”

Rasmussen has Trump at the highest approval he’s ever been

29 posted on 10/10/2018 6:21:04 AM PDT by SmokingJoe
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To: Sir Napsalot

I suspect it’s just more triangulation. They know something BIG is about to come out that they can point to as the “culprit” for why their Blue Wave scenario won’t happen. The convergence of polls by election day is what governs these people. That’s how they make their money. They fool a core group of people into thinking that the public is fickle and changes allegiance at the drop of a hat. That way these scoundrels can get paid for their genius.

Only one thing motivates the media: SELL MORE COPY!


31 posted on 10/10/2018 6:24:08 AM PDT by mywholebodyisaweapon (Thank God for President Trump.)
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To: Sir Napsalot

Wrong Way Larry is a Democrat schmuck still milking dumb ass Democrats for their last nickle.


34 posted on 10/10/2018 6:27:01 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberal is lies.)
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