Nate Silver: Clinton one state away from losing Electoral College

The Hill's Ballot Box Blog ^ | November 6, 2016 | Jessie Hellman

[adorno]

I say PA because the black vote in Philly doesn’t turn out.

There's no way the blacks are going to do anything different from what they've done in the past, and that's to vote against their own futures and interests by voting for the democrat in the election.

Even if a lot of them don't bother to show up, there will be enough of them to take Hillary over the top. If for some reason enough blacks are shown to not have voted, Hillary and democrats will find a way to demonstrate that the black voters were disenfranchised and intimated, and then, they'll figure out a way to include "intentions" that were not reflected in the votes. Democrats can't lose the black voters, so, fraud and lies will overtake the real voter counts.

[VanDeKoik]

This was what I was thinking.

He didnt refine the math and look to improve whatever system he came up with...if he ever had one.

He went Hollywood. Starting believing his own hype, and became addicted to the fawners to the point where he look at everything through the lens of needing to constantly keep the drug of adulation going from the left.

That is why he should have kept his mouth shut and just did his polls.

Now he has a media empire he needs to save because the left will be done with him by the end of the week.

[MichaelCorleone]

“I say PA because the black vote in Philly doesn’t turn out.”

The transit union is helping us out with a strike. Unwittingly, but they’re helping nonetheless.

[Windflier]

Are you absolutely sure that’s a photo of Casey Anthony?

Be good if you can find the same pic with a cption identifying the subject.

FWIW, I don’t have a clear recollection of her face.

[AU72]

And what is this 67.5% crap? What makes it that instead of 67.6 or 67.4?

[edh]

“I think that’s Casey Anthony, the woman who murdered her 2-year old Caylee.”

It is. And she’s the opposite of pretty.

[ought-six]

Isn’t that the Florida woman who was a party girl and who in all probability killed her little kid?

[Blennos]

While the Democratic presidential nominee has a 65.7 percent chance of winning the presidency on Tuesday, she is not "in a terribly safe position,"

This statement is nonsense. If she really has a 65% chance of winning, then she is indeed in a very "safe position." I don't think this guy is as smart as he thinks he is.

[SauronOfMordor]

Philly transit union is counting on them to give the union anything, to get things running on election day. They are probaby right.

[edh]

Hey chief. That’s 100% for sure a picture of Casey Anthony ... you might want to get the mods to delete that picture. I know you’re a good Freeper and you mean no harm, but that pic is quite tasteless given what that bitch did to her kid.

[FreedomStar3028]

She was actually acquitted.

[adorno]

Why would they vote for her?

Here in Tampa, I went to vote early on Friday. As I was driving in with my wife into the parking lot of the voting site, there was a Hillary supporter holding up a Hillary sign, and as I drove past her, I gave her the thumbs down sign, and she just smiled. After parking, there was another Hillary supporter holding up a sign to vote for Hillary, with the added wording to vote straight democrat; as I walked and passed her on the way into the building, I said to her, "Why would anyone vote for Hillary?"; she grinned at me, and my wife laughed at the same time scolding me for being so "irritating". I said to my wife that I was just being truthful.

We voted, straight republican. And, on the way out, the Hillary ladies weren't there anymore. Guess they got the hint that they weren't wanted there. I felt good as I left the voting site, thinking that I'd done good, 2 ways.

[KavMan]

The only reason Nate was so accurate in 08 & 12 is because he was getting polling numbers from the Obama Camp!

[RKBA Democrat]

I was more interested in the cigar and whiskey. But since I don’t follow TV, I really have no idea who the pictured girl is.

[bigredkitty1]

Four little words: Get. Out. And. Vote.

[2ndDivisionVet]

Who?

[Andy'smom]

Looks like her!

[oblomov]

He has a bias, but it isn’t as bad as most of the predictions.

Daily Kos aggregates across different poll aggregators,and they say that NC, FL, NH, and NV will go for Clinton. DK seems to be the go-to site among lefties this year looking for reassurance.

http://elections.dailykos.com/app/elections/2016/office/president

This outcome seems unlikely given what I have read about early voting in NC, FL, and NV.

[Flavious_Maximus]

That’s just it. In Philadelphia, if you’re black, you don’t even need to show up to vote. Someone at the polling station (most likely the election supervisor) will just vote for you. They have it all figured out to a science. Not a single Republican or white voter anywhere near the premises for miles.

In 2012, One precinct reported 19000 votes for Obama, 0 for Romney. A statistical impossibility, year after year.

[stuck_in_new_orleans]

Do it yourself if you think differently