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The “missing” white voters: Why Trump is more likely to win than everyone thinks
Hot Air ^ | June 9, 2016 | Allahpundit

Posted on 06/09/2016 11:46:08 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

How much more likely is unclear, but still. Read this smart, well-researched piece by Nate Cohn challenging the conventional wisdom that there are no more white votes to be had by the GOP and therefore Trump is stuck somehow picking off minority support from Hillary if he’s going to win. Not true, says Cohn. Long-term it’s true that a candidate who appeals almost exclusively to whites is a sure loser in a national election, but there’s good reason to think that the national exit polls in 2012 understated how many white working-class voters showed up to vote that year — and, critically, how many of them broke for Obama. Those voters are Trump’s bread and butter. What if he flips a bunch of them to the GOP in November?

That’s a big “if,” though, as you’ll see if you read his piece. Here’s the key table showing how far the exit polls that year were out of whack with other analyses of the make-up of the electorate from the census and a Democratic voter file. There’s no telling which one is right, but the census and voter file are at least as credible as the exit polls — and each of them saw a higher share of blue-collar white votes out there in 2012...

(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...


TOPICS: Campaign News; Polls
KEYWORDS: demographics; hillary; trump; whites

1 posted on 06/09/2016 11:46:08 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Oh. Sure

They’ll all chime in They’ll like on to the Trump wagon

I could have said this about a year ago. To be sure, I’ve never said Nything contrary to it. I predicted it

Trump loves this country and he has the big picture.

He doesn’t care what the press says about him

He doses the care what Billarybsahs about him

He accepts the truth that Hillary is a fill in the blank

He wins. He goes all the way. Any press idiot including and especially those who carry the moniker conservative had better get on board or get back

It will be like his now for a few
Weiss

Some won’t recover

Perino Gutted. Hewitt. Rush. Levin. Will.


2 posted on 06/10/2016 12:02:24 AM PDT by stanne
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The sheer desperation of the RATS and their media stooges has me thinking There may be a landslide of trump voters who don’t show up on the polling radar. Just my 2 cents, YMMV.


3 posted on 06/10/2016 12:03:26 AM PDT by ozzymandus
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To: stanne

Billarybsahs

Hillary


4 posted on 06/10/2016 12:04:17 AM PDT by stanne
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To: Blue Jays

Trump supporters of the childish screeching they hear from crybaby Leftists everyday.
So they just quietly go about their business. Doing a fair day of labor for a fair day of pay.
Just wait until MILLIONS of these decent, respectable, courteous, and unpretentious people arrive to the polls this November!


5 posted on 06/10/2016 12:10:37 AM PDT by Blue Jays
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Any return to the polls from missing voters will be more than offset by manufactured votes by the apparatus of the DNC. They will be finding absentee and provisional ballots for months if needed.


6 posted on 06/10/2016 12:22:07 AM PDT by blackdog (There is no such thing as healing, only a balance between destructive and constructive forces.)
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To: Blue Jays

It will be BIG.


7 posted on 06/10/2016 3:24:54 AM PDT by Biggirl ("One Lord, one faith, one baptism" - Ephesians 4:5)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

(The Monster Vote)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j_r0RXiGZDM


8 posted on 06/10/2016 4:44:01 AM PDT by orchestra ((And there were also two other, malefactors, led with him to be put to death.))
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To: Biggirl

The problem with this analysis is that Trump does VERY well with college educated and higher income groups, leading all other GOP candidates by a lot in these categories.


9 posted on 06/10/2016 6:04:20 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Trump would have been better off attacking the Judge for racism due to his association with La Raza, rather than being biased because he is Mexican.


10 posted on 06/10/2016 8:42:46 AM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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