Posted on 09/09/2015 10:02:13 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
COLUMBIA Most S.C. Republican primary voters want a president with no prior elected political experience, according to a new poll released Tuesday to The State.
A Public Policy Polling survey found Donald Trump would win 37 percent of the vote from S.C. Republicans and Ben Carson would pick up 21 percent. The rest of the crowded GOP field of 17 candidates was struggling in the single digits.
Trump dominated other GOP candidates in one-on-one match-ups except for Carson. The soft-spoken, retired Maryland neurosurgeon edged the outspoken New York real-estate mogul and reality-TV star by 1 percentage point a statistical tie.
Neither Trump nor Carson ever has held political office before. Another GOP political newcomer, former Hewlett Packard executive Carly Fiorina, was favored by 4 percent of S.C. GOP primary voters, Public Policy found. All told, 62 percent of S.C. Republican voters said they favored a newcomer Trump, Carson or Fiorina.
When asked about the states own favorite son, U.S. Sen. Lindsey Graham, nearly four out of five S.C. GOP primary voters said the Seneca Republican should drop out of the presidential race.
What youre seeing to some extent in South Carolina and nationally is Donald Trump and Ben Carson are sucking all the wind out of the air, said Tom Jensen, Public Policy Pollings director.
Among S.C. Democrats, Hillary Clinton remains the top choice at 54 percent though Vice President Joe Biden has gained on the former secretary of state amid speculation he may enter the race.
Public Policy Polling surveyed 764 Republican and 302 Democratic primary voters in South Carolina from Sept. 3-6. The margins of error are plus or minus 3.6 percent for the GOP poll and 5.6 percent for the Democratic survey.
Trumps popularity is higher in South Carolina than in any other state that Public Policy has polled and spans ideological camps within the GOP, Jensen said.
But the polls now likely do not reflect how voters will cast their ballots in the states Feb. 20 GOP primary, Jensen said.
At 80 percent, opposition to Grahams presidential ambitions has increased, Public Policy found. In March, 57 percent of S.C. Republicans said Graham should not run for president in a Winthrop Poll.
The Winthrop Poll suggested some opponents of a Graham presidential bid still approved of the senator's job performance. At the time, some poll participants said they would rather Graham remain a senator, Winthrop Poll director Scott Huffmon said.
However, the Public Policy poll shows Grahams presidential campaign has hurt the senator at home, Jensen said, noting Grahams approval rating has fallen to 36 percent from 54 percent in a February Public Policy poll.
Three percent of the GOP voters surveyed said they would vote for Graham, down from 13 percent in the firms February poll.
Its pretty remarkable to have folks that unified around the idea of Lindsey Graham dropping out, Jensen said.
The Graham campaign declined to comment Tuesday on the poll. Graham has said he hopes to do well in New Hampshire and South Carolina, paying his $40,000 filing fee last week to be on his home states primary ballot.
On the Democratic side, 24 percent of S.C. Democratic primary voters said they would vote for Biden for president. That is up from the 18 percent in a February Public Policy poll.
Nine percent of S.C. Democratic primary voters said they would pick U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders, the Vermont independent, as their nominee in last weekends survey consistent with polls this summer.
Sanders challenge in South Carolina will be appealing to minorities who make up most of the Democratic electorate, Jensen said.
Its not that African Americans dont like him, Jensen said of Sanders, who will visit a historically black college in Columbia Saturday. They just dont know him.
In the poll, 32 percent of African Americans gave Sanders a favorable rating, compared to the more than 70 percent favorability ratings given Biden and Clinton.
But, Jensen noted, nearly half of African Americans said they did not know Sanders well enough to judge his performance.
The debate forums could winnow out those that need to drop out by narrowing the debate to the top 5.
After Carson’s pro illegal alien statements, it is troubling that his favorable rating is this high.
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