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An October Surprise For the GOP?
The Weekly Standard ^ | August 22, 2015 | William Kristol

Posted on 08/22/2015 3:05:01 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

Next year will be the most consequential presidential election in two generations. Given how difficult it is to hold the White House for three straight terms, and given President Obama's shaky approval numbers, Republicans will have a good chance to win. On the other hand, Democrats had a good chance to win in 1988, taking on an uninspiring successor to a twice-victorious incumbent. Indeed, the Democratic nominee was ahead in the polls into the summer of 1988. But that nominee was Michael Dukakis.

Are we sure the GOP isn't on course to nominating their very own Dukakis? Are we confident one of the current field is up to the job of winning—and governing?

Perhaps one of the current candidates will prove to be just fine. Perhaps we're getting a distorted view of the quality of the field because of the tidal wave that is Donald Trump. Perhaps the other candidates haven't therefore been able to emerge as clearly and impressively as might otherwise have been the case. Perhaps over the next couple of months Marco Rubio or Scott Walker or Ted Cruz or Jeb Bush, or someone else currently in the field, will turn out to fit the bill.

On the other hand, it may be that the lesson of the Trump surge—like that of the shorter-lived Herman Cain and Michele Bachmann boomlets in 2011—is that the rest of the field isn't what it should be. We'll have a better sense of that in a couple of months. But what if come October all we have is Bushies lacking all conviction, Trumpers full of passionate intensity, and a bunch of uninspiring also-rans? I devoutly hope this isn't the case. But what if it is?

Shouldn't Republicans be open to doing what Democrats are now considering? That is: Welcoming into the race, even drafting into the race if need be, one or two new and potentially superior candidates? After all, if a new candidate or new candidates didn't take off, the party would be no worse off, and someone from the current field would prevail. If the October surprise candidate caught fire, it would be all the better for the GOP--whether he ultimately prevailed or forced one of the existing candidates to up his game.

Who could such a mysterious dark horse be? Well, it's not as if every well-qualified contender is already on the field. Mitch Daniels was probably the most successful Republican governor of recent times, with federal executive experience to boot. Paul Ryan is the intellectual leader of Republicans in the House of Representatives, with national campaign experience. The House also features young but tested leaders like Jim Jordan, Trey Gowdy and Mike Pompeo. There is the leading elected representative of the 9/11 generation who has also been a very impressive freshman senator, Tom Cotton. There could be a saner and sounder version of Trump—another businessman who hasn't held electoral office. And there are distinguished conservative leaders from outside politics; Justice Samuel Alito and General (ret.) Jack Keane come to mind.

None of them now plans to run. None of them wants to run. None of them may be required to run for the sake of the country. But isn't it worth at this point pushing the door a bit ajar?

It may seem odd to suggest that the solution to an already unprecedentedly large field is to expand it further. But politics is full of oddities. And what would be truly odd would be to go into battle in 2016 with a candidate we settle on rather than a nominee the country can rally behind. The presidency would be a terrible thing to waste.


TOPICS: Campaign News; Issues; Parties; Polls
KEYWORDS: billkristol; bush; cruz; gop; octobersurprise; rino; trump; weeklystandard; williamkristol
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Make up your mind, Bill. How about your 2008 vice-presidential pick? You never mentioned her.
1 posted on 08/22/2015 3:05:01 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

A Cruz or a Trump is no “Dukakis.” Only if a lukewarm, limp noodle candidate is nominated is there that chance.


2 posted on 08/22/2015 3:08:19 PM PDT by Mean Daddy
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Left to themselves, the Republocrats are dangerous like little babies holding live ammunition. They need babysitting until they either grow up or are sent off to reform school.

Meanwhile the Watchers will take it from here.


3 posted on 08/22/2015 3:10:58 PM PDT by Jim W N
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Good old Bill. The GOP has SEVENTEEN candidates, and he can’t find one he likes. The GOPe picked a dead nag to run in this race, and now wants to come up with a ringer next year. Ain’t going to happen.


4 posted on 08/22/2015 3:11:23 PM PDT by txrefugee
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To: Mean Daddy; All

Old Bill is a GOPe to the core.

Peddle this dribble somewhere else. We’re fed up with it.


5 posted on 08/22/2015 3:12:59 PM PDT by x1stcav (Oh! No! I just learned Freddy Mecury was a queer.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Take a sneak, Billy-boy.

We’re taking our party and our country back.


6 posted on 08/22/2015 3:13:11 PM PDT by Walrus (Extremism in the defense of Liberty is no vice - Barry Goldwater)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Boy they just don’t know what to do with us stupid voters. Lots of suggestions from the smart people on how to dig ourselves out of our current position.

As for me, I’ll stay Trump. All those smart folks got us Dole, McCain, Bush, and Romney, no thanks.


7 posted on 08/22/2015 3:13:11 PM PDT by Kenny
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

If the GOP is up to its usual standards, we’ll soon see a “draft Boehner” movement.


8 posted on 08/22/2015 3:15:42 PM PDT by Cboldt
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

How low will the Ruling Class Establishment go in order to fend off Trump? They are starting to sound pretty desperate!


9 posted on 08/22/2015 3:16:23 PM PDT by eyeamok
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“...drafting into the race if need be, one or two new and potentially superior candidates...”

Ooohhh kaaay. Seventeen aren’t enough?


10 posted on 08/22/2015 3:17:03 PM PDT by MayflowerMadam
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

mike obama bike ride
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nS1oildK6lg


11 posted on 08/22/2015 3:17:11 PM PDT by biggredd1
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To: Mean Daddy

Agreed. He mentions “Dukakis” and I think “McCain” and, to a lesser extent, “Dole” and “Romney.” The people are clearly yearning for the non-politician who will speak plainly.


12 posted on 08/22/2015 3:17:48 PM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom (For those who understand, no explanation is needed. For those who do not, no explanation is possible)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Paul Ryan has already shot hisself in both feet. NO WAY is he going to run.


13 posted on 08/22/2015 3:18:28 PM PDT by Paladin2 (Ive given up on aphostrophys and spell chek on my current device...)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
There could be a saner and sounder version of Trump—another businessman who hasn't held electoral office.

But with no name recognition, making it easy for the MSM to bury him with noncoverage.

Everyone's interested in Trump. The MSM has to cover him.

14 posted on 08/22/2015 3:20:41 PM PDT by MUDDOG
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To: 2ndDivisionVet; MrMarbles

h/t MrMarbles

15 posted on 08/22/2015 3:21:03 PM PDT by Company Man (I say we take off, and Trump the site from orbit. ItÂ’s the only way to be sure.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I can’t believe he gets paid to write this inane drivel.


16 posted on 08/22/2015 3:22:40 PM PDT by Calpublican (The Republican Party is corrupt!!!!!)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Good old Bill Kristol. Establishment as they come.


17 posted on 08/22/2015 3:22:52 PM PDT by Lazamataz (Ok. We won't call them 'Anchor Babies'. From now on, we shall call them 'Fetal Grappling Hooks'.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The GOP is what happens to a party with no core principles and completely run by lobbyists.

They keep bumping into walls like a defective robot.


18 posted on 08/22/2015 3:23:44 PM PDT by headstamp 2
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Does Bill Kristol have a drinking problem. Do we hear any rumors about drugs?


19 posted on 08/22/2015 3:23:56 PM PDT by InterceptPoint
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To: Calpublican

He owns that site.


20 posted on 08/22/2015 3:24:40 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (TED CRUZ. You can help: https://donate.tedcruz.org/c/FBTX0095/)
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