Hillary! is tanned, rested, suited up and READY!
Posted on 12/03/2014 5:41:36 PM PST by 2ndDivisionVet
I’d intended to write about the Democratic and Republican primaries this week, but an article from the New Republic’s very smart Danny Vinik caught my eye. So, the primaries will have to wait. Referencing a piece by Ed Luce in the Financial Times, Vinik writes that Luce “overlooks a fundamental reason why [Hillary Clinton] is the early [2016] favorite: The economy is quickly improving under a Democratic president.”
Vinik then cites political science research suggesting that the economy is the crucial factor in predicting elections. This is true. But there are other factors to consider as well; no model of which I’m aware goes “full economic determinism.”
When we look at the overall political science view of elections, the picture is far less rosy for Clinton (or any other Democratic nominee). The 2016 election looks more like pure tossup; if anything she’s the underdog, not the favorite.
Before going any further, I’d invite readers to review some of my thoughts on economic forecasting models here and here. I’ve since softened my view somewhat (as Keynes put it, “When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, Sir?”) and am probably now somewhere near John Sides’ view here or (particularly) here....
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
It is probably karma. The Clinton's didn't leave things nice for Bush.
Hillary! is tanned, rested, suited up and READY!
I live just North of Dallas/Ft Worth, where there’s more than an “air” of economic growth, but I know that most of the rest of the country is not doing well.
The economy is not improving as far as I can tell
go through Austin and you can see all sorts of construction cranes.
outside of Texas it seems the economy is in horrid shape
I saw more construction cranes going to Keller yesterday than I’ve ever seen in Mississippi while living there for over 8 years.
“Four more years of Obama”. Game ,set and match for the GOP.
The matron of the sisterhood of the traveling pantsuits can’t even fill a high school gym for one of her speeches.
The economy?
Feminists and their effeminate sidekicks stinking up all of the political parties could try clustering up to vote for Hillary in a primary again, seeing as how it worked so well the last time.
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