I just don’t get all the hand wringing, never have.
Its been obvious since january the electorate has given up on Obama... all they needed to know is that the option they had to replace him with wasn’t a bigger threat.
With the selection of Romney this was not going to be possible.
Obama spent 100’s of Millions of dollars trying to convince americans Romney was the Anti-Christ... and all it took was 90 minutes (actually about 15 minutes) for those americans to see Romney (when seeing him unfiltered and unedited) was indeed a reasonable option... and that was it.. election was over.
Since then Obama has not had momentum 1 single day, not one news cycle.. Big Bird, Binders and Bayonettes?? Really, do you really thin ANYONE not already in the tank for the guy was going to be swayed by such nonsense?
Think people think.. stop living by the polls... stop buying into the nonsense... look at the fundamental realities.
Economy has been in the toilet for 4 years, and NOTHING this bozo has done has helped. A few days before the election in Ohio and he can’t even get 20k people to show up for him with Bruce Springsteen giving a free concert!!! in a town of 300k+ Come on Folks! Control your emotions and think!
He’s getting crowds on the day before election day of well under 10k!!! Meanwhile Romney has been having to turn away supporters at events for weeks!
Everything indicates that Republican turnout will swamp 2010 numbers, Even serious Dem pundits aren’t arguing the he’ll win the popular vote, but are clinging to the he’ll win the EC.. which is NONSENSE.
Obama has been pandering to his BASE!!! The week of the election and he’s PANDERING TO HIS BASE!! Do you think that’s going to get you a win??? Seriously. STOP IT!
Romney buys 5 Million bucks of ads in PA which has been in play the entire time, but ignored, and Obama is out of money to even respond and has to go to BofA to borrow money to buy 650k worth of ads to attempt to counter it!!
Does any of this come across as a “close” election to you? Seriously.. Does it???
All year we’ve heard Romney can’t win without OH.. when in fact that’s nonsense.. its OBAMA who has no path left if he loses OH! The very idea that the midwest/rustbelt was going to be a firewall for a guy who’s insulted and attacked the church and spit on working blue class voters for 4 years was nonsense! You don’t win the rustbelt without the white working class voters! At least not states like OH, IN, IA and WI!!! You can pull off the states with the supercities without them, but only if you completely swamp the vote with MI, Philly and CHI... but otherwise forget it! And frankly even in 2008 Obama carried these voters in those states.. he’s losing huge portions of them this time around!
The idea he’s going to keep it close and pull out the EC is desperation, not reality.
Go, look at the pictures of the rallys this past week.. who’s got the crowds and who’s addressing empty seats??? Who’s pandering to their base being petty and negative, and who’s offering a positive broad message?? Who’s acting desperate, and who’s acting confident? Stop letting spin from the MSM or DU or your uncle roofus affect you.
THINK!!!
Momentum is EVERYTHING in any competition, forget the poll numbers, think, think! Can you think of 1 day since the night of the first debate (and even before that) That Obama was carrying momentum? IN message? IN crowds? In news topics? in ANYTHING???? I know I sure can’t.
You guys are letting poll numbers affect what you are feeling and falling prey to propoganda!! STOP IT!!
Romney takes the stage at 11PM on a monday night to an overflow crowd of 10k+ in NH last night! Obama in OH has Jay-Z and Springsteen and can’t even get 20k to show up the night before an election!
STOP STOP STOP!!! FIGHT HARD!! Don’t get complacent, but stop buying into numbers and statistical analysis and trust what you see!
I have to admit, I do think it’s garbage that all of the polling is weighted so disproportionate. Once you and Ravi and LS etc. pointed it out for me I worried a lot less.
Now I’m making calls to help GOTV and make PA a Red State for the first time in my life!
If all we did was show up with a few thousand more votes than 2010 that would be almost total capitulation to the Democrats.
Presidential years draw more voters than mid-term years.
I agree with absolutely everything you wrote. The only problem is the news media paints precisely the opposite picture and use these phony polls with D+12 advantages to “prove” their case.
I live in LA. I am on the freeways every day. And here is what I can report: You wouldn’t even know there was a presidential election going on around here. Barely a car has a bumper sticker on it. Very FEW yard signs anywhere around. Contrast this to four years ago, there was Obamamania all over the place. Every other car had an Obama sticker on it. Tons of yard signs all over the place. Busy Obama phonebanks working well into the evening. This year: NOTHING ZILCH NADA. Zero enthusiam for Obama. ZERO!!!!!!
Not predicting that Obama will lose here in CA. But this prediction I can make without any hesitation: Obama will NOT carry CA by 24 points like he did four years ago. I think Obama will be lucky to carry the state by 10%. There are NO signs of youthful Obama supporters this year, even in the Hispanic neighborhoods you see no signs of Obama support. What few yard signs that are up are for local candidates.