Dukakis, of course, didn’t come close, and lost 40 states.
///
Obama is no Dukakis. ...he makes Dukakis look good!
gas prices, lies about unemployment
(and manipulation of birth / death adjustments),
will be clear to enough people by November,
that Obama will lose worse than Dukakis.
-
in EVERY demographic, Obama is already doing worse,
than 2008. ...it won’t even be close.
Exactly, by my count Obama has at most 201 EVs he can be confident in and Romney has at least 206 EVs he can be confident in.
I certainly do not have NC in the toss up category, but do have Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania in the toss up category. Of course the author suggest they may be toss, but wonders why no Romney buy in those states.
My view is that this reported $4.5 million buy is likely a long planned buy with buys in other states coming.
The only reason the Guardian would post this article is because they’re scared that Romney will win.
Michigan is lost (GM talking point) and PA was never in the cards and hasn't been since '88.
It doesn't matter if Romney only has 11 ways to win vs. Obama's 18. On Nov 6, Romney just needs ONE.
Pennsylvania elected a Republican governor in 2010 by a margin of 8.8% and a Republican senator in 2010 by a margin of 2.0%.
How does O-Bah-Mah have a lock on Pennsylvania?
LOL... all I had to do was look at the source. If the Guardian thinks it’s a bad idea, Mitt’s probably on the right track.
Taking the advice of a Liberal rag is probably not very high on Mitt’s list of things to do.
I won’t even bother reading this.
The Guardian
Jun 04, 2012 at 7:01 PM PDT
Wisconsin recall prediction: Walker will lose
Based on projected voter turnout, Barrett’s fiery debate performance and former President Bill Clinton’s recent visit to Wisconsin
That’s because Romney’s not advertising in any of those three states.
Hate to say it but Romney will lose bigtime . Another fall guy a la McPain . Worst POTUS in history and he is still behind in the polls . Then you have voter fraud which adds another 2-3% to Obama . Mitt running a milquetoast campaign thus far . Doesn’t look good .
It’s a loser’s strategy because the is NO way to defeat 0bama. At first I though Romney would win, but then I looked at the state of the nation and believe no one can defeat 0bama and believe another Republican will NEVER be elected again. Even Ronald Reagan would lose to 0bama today. There are several reasons why.
1) This no where near the same country it was 1980. Patriotism is no existent. More and more Americans hate their country and agree with 0bama apologetic attitude. Education has been decline for 40 years and alot of dumbed down people now vote.
2) Image/Celebrity. Modern media has changes Americans outlook. The issues don’t matter (economy, gas prices, etc). What does matter is image. 0bamam is the American Idol President. Job approval does not matter. Favorability/Popularity does matter and 0bama is still overwhelmingly popular. People like his cool, fist bumping, hip hop image. They love his wife and her carefully structured appearances on Leno, Letterman and ICarly. To America, this a cool couple to have in the White House. Mitt and Ann Romney are just too square and too white to win people over.
3) Minorities. They dominate the electoral landscape. Blacks and Latino’s hate Republicans. A vast majority of them either promote a criminal lifestyle or demand free food and housing. 0bama promises this to them and plus the see him as one of them.
Mark my words, although in a sane world 0bama should lose in a landslide, the opposite will happen. He will win in a landslide. I do think Romney will do two states better than McCain (picking up NC and IN) but everything else 0bama won in 2008 will go for 0bama again, by a bigger margin. Even if Romney outdoes 0bama in the debates, it doesn’t matter. The articles and post debates scripts are already written and they all say 0bama won the debate and that is how people will make up their minds,
I think now 0bama will win 56% -59% of the popular vote.
Any talk of a Romney win is whistling past the graveyard.
The Democrats took Wisconsin by about half a percentage point in 2000 and 2004. With Ryan on the ticket the odds of Romney taking it go up significantly. If the Republicans take Wisconsin and Virginia then they don’t need Ohio.
RCP has MI and WI in the toss up catagory. Basically, if Obama and Romney hold all their “leaning” states, then Romney needs to win FL, NC, VA and OH, plus any other toss up state to get to 270.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html
Romney is a numbers guy and he’s also a cheap SOB and a business consultant. There is no way they will authorize the spending of valuable resources in a place where the data says it will not have an effect. Even if that effect is to force Obama to spend his dwindling resources defending what they though was a safe state instead of a true swing state, it’s a winner.
IMHO I think Romneys going in totally on only the Economy and Ignoring such Issues as Fast and Furious is a Losing Strategy.
You are dealing with the most Radical America Hating Individuals this country has ever seen,they Have NO shame or Scruples,and as the old adage goes, Figures dont lie but Liars sure can figure. Obama and his Cohorts such as Bill Clinton,now going on the Campaign Trail for the Liar in Chief,will twist every statement and figure to their advantage. Add to that the fact,like it or not,the MORONS in this country love the Impeached,perjuring Womanizer and accused Rapist,as well as The Kenyan More than Romney,so couple all that with an Adoring Media covering your lies and either doubling down on them or just ignoring rebuttles and you are going to Lose.
The least Romney could have tried to make Obama explain how thousands of automatic Weapons were shipped From American Gun Shops across the Border to the Most Barbaric Drug Cartels, where they ended up being used to Slaughter Mexicans as well as American Border agents.
How does Obama get away with his Attorney General ,whose agencies he Runs, were in Charge of this and he is Held in Contempt of Congress and as Yet has Not turned over the Papers Congress has Requested?
Holder has said he found out about this by seeing it on the News or reading about it in the Newspaper,and Obama did not know anything about it? At Least FORCE him in front of the American People offer LAME excuses!
Let me Answer my own question, He gets away with it because we are either being played for Suckers and The fix is in for Obama to win,Romney does not want to win,or he just does not want to admit to himself who these Radicals are that he is running against.
Myself I dont think he is that dumb,he is just Afraid to do what must be done, to expose Obama as the Radical America hating Individual he is. Never the less,either reason spells defeat for the entire Country and a Horrible Future.
The Guardian is a Leftist mouthpiece from London. No doubt, their Halloween edition will inform Americans that the election is over and Obama is the winner so there is no need to hold the election on Nov. 6.
The Guardian is a leftist UK paper — I am sure they are so rooting for Romney... (/sarc)
“You’ll notice from the map that this guy assumes that Mr. Obama will win Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan. I don’t know if I’d be so sure about all those.”
Of those you mention above, I believe only Wisconsin may be within Romney’s reach.
PA and MI will seem tantalizingly close, but Obama will take them.
I looked at the original article and thought the author’s electoral map looked to be about the same as I would predict.
I was hoping Romney might take Nevada, but I sense that it, too, may slip out of his grasp. On the other hand, I saw Obama winning Iowa (which is “the Vermont” of the Midwest), but Romney might edge him out there.
New Hampshire, even though it casts only 3 electoral votes, could become a major player in Romney’s victory.
Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina and Florida are “must wins” for Romney — without them, he doesn’t make it.
For these reasons, I don’t think it’s a bad idea to throw the lion’s share of campaigning and campaign money into the “battleground states”.
They will become his only pathway towards victory.