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Michigan Poll: Trump Holding 15-Point Lead Over Biden
wcbm.com ^ | 5/2/2024 | Paul Sancuy/AP

Posted on 05/02/2024 2:13:53 PM PDT by Signalman

An April Kaplan Strategies poll has former President Donald Trump with a big lead over President Joe Biden in Michigan.

The poll has Trump leading Biden 51%-36% in a state that will be key to determining who wins the 2024 presidential election.

Biden beat Trump in the Great Lakes State by 2.8 points in 2020. In 2016, Trump defeated Hillary Clinton by just .23 points, 10,000 votes, the first time Michigan voted Republican since 1988.

Both sides have been campaigning aggressively in Michigan, with Trump recently hosting a rally in Freeland. Third-party candidate Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. will also be on the ballot in Michigan and could draw support from both parties.

While the poll shows good news for Trump, it is almost certainly an outlier.

A poll conducted by The Hill/Emerson released April 30, has Trump up by 1 point, while a CBS News poll conducted last Sunday has Biden up two points. Most other polls show the race to be within a margin of error, with Trump on average leading 46%-44.8%, according to RealClear Politics.

FiveThirtyEight, a website that analyzes polls and pollsters, gives Kaplan Strategies a two-star rating out of three stars, with a transparency score of 2.4 out of 10.

Kaplan Strategies surveyed 804 people April 20-21 with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 points.


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: 15point; biden; genocidejoe; hamas; jihadjoe; lol; michigan; polls; trump
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1 posted on 05/02/2024 2:13:53 PM PDT by Signalman
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To: Signalman

Quick! Charge Trump with more crimes! Donald Trump does pose a nexnelsrent, it’s not hypothetical!


2 posted on 05/02/2024 2:19:02 PM PDT by packagingguy
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To: Signalman

This margin seems ludicrous, but I expect the 45th President to be very competitive in the Wolverine State come November.


3 posted on 05/02/2024 2:19:19 PM PDT by unclebankster (Globalism is the last refuge of a scoundrel.)
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To: Signalman

But somehow just enough votes will come in at 4 AM in Detroit to give Biden a razor thin victory.


4 posted on 05/02/2024 2:21:01 PM PDT by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
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To: Signalman

Wow. There’s a group of people in Michigan who won’t vote for Biden because they think he’s two pro-israel. Now, other people may think the opposite, but the important point here is that there are pockets of such voters in Michigan. That doesn’t explain all of Trump’s lead, but it definitely pads it.


5 posted on 05/02/2024 2:23:43 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: Signalman

Just as a reminder 4 years ago Biden was polling 50% to Trumps 45.8 in Michigan in the RCP average of all polls.

Final Results 2020 Biden 50.6 Trump 47.8

Trump was never ahead in the RCP average in Michigan in 2020.

This year though... for the last 7 months Trump has been ahead in Michigan in the RCP average and currently sits at 46% to Bidens 44.8.

So Trump is polling in Michigan almost exactly what he was in 2020 ~46% but Biden is polling almost 5 points lower.


6 posted on 05/02/2024 2:24:06 PM PDT by TexasFreeper2009
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To: ifinnegan

even if the vote totals are higher than the states population Biden will win MI (and the race)

Vote like he has a chance, but know they will not let trump win.


7 posted on 05/02/2024 2:24:10 PM PDT by cableguymn
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To: packagingguy

nexnelsrent? That’s some Biden lingo right there.


8 posted on 05/02/2024 2:24:33 PM PDT by Magic Fingers (Political correctness mutates in order to remain virulent.)
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To: nickcarraway

They will come home to vote for the free money and abortions.

give them time.


9 posted on 05/02/2024 2:25:22 PM PDT by cableguymn
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To: Signalman

Don’t worry, the vote-counting precincts of Detroit will overcome that.

They may need to lock their doors, cover their windows and shut-down public access for 7-10 days, but in the end, they’ll find the votes they need.


10 posted on 05/02/2024 2:26:40 PM PDT by PGR88
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To: Signalman

Doesn’t matter. Trump can poll at 100% vs Viden 0%, and the vote will still show thousands more ballots cast for the Biden human pretender and garbage pit. (And that total will also be thousands more than the registered voters...wonder why.)


11 posted on 05/02/2024 2:27:54 PM PDT by Da Coyote
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To: TexasFreeper2009
Trump was never ahead in the RCP average in Michigan in 2020.

Do 2016 results follow a similar trend?

12 posted on 05/02/2024 2:27:57 PM PDT by PGR88
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To: ifinnegan
That 3:00 AM curve bump of suddenly found and counted votes in isolation from watchers isn't gonna happen anymore. The CIA realizes they are getting dangerously close to having found votes exceeding actual voters registered and of age to vote.

My opinion is that the CIA has a vote shaving algorithm. If tallies show any Trump momentum, they will be shaved off and placed in the Biden (or anyone they choose to select) vote totals. It will be more subtle and harder to spot.

AT&T runs most the server relay stations for the CIA, FBI, and NSA. That's where it will be done in 2024, right in the servers.

13 posted on 05/02/2024 2:29:53 PM PDT by blackdog ((Z28.310) Be careful what you say. Your refrigerator may be listening & reporting you.)
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To: Da Coyote

Oh woe is us. No need to bother.


14 posted on 05/02/2024 2:30:00 PM PDT by Ge0ffrey
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To: Signalman

And yet, Biden will “win” Michigan by 40,000+ “votes”.


15 posted on 05/02/2024 2:31:08 PM PDT by Sicon ("All animals are equal, but some animals are more equal than others." - G. Orwell>)
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To: Signalman

I love trump but no way is the lead that big


16 posted on 05/02/2024 2:31:43 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: PGR88

RCP average in 2016 Clinton 47.0 Trump 43.4

Trump was never ahead in the average in Michigan in 2016 either but managed to win.

Clinton 47% Trump 47.3 final vote totals

This year.. Trump has been AHEAD by several points for 6 months! So he is outperforming 2016 and 2020 in Michigan!


17 posted on 05/02/2024 2:32:48 PM PDT by TexasFreeper2009
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To: TexasFreeper2009

If Trump wins Michigan he only needs ONE of the following to win the electoral college (Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin or Pennsylvania)

Any of those 4 + Michigan = Trump victory.

Or just Pennsylvania alone.


18 posted on 05/02/2024 2:35:19 PM PDT by TexasFreeper2009
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To: Signalman

Careful that we’re not being fed false information.


19 posted on 05/02/2024 2:35:41 PM PDT by Sacajaweau
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To: blackdog

One cannot argue against what you said.

It’s already been shown Michigan polling stations have the ability to switch votes.


20 posted on 05/02/2024 2:36:07 PM PDT by ifinnegan (Democrats kill babies and harvest their organs to sell)
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