Posted on 08/31/2020 9:03:41 AM PDT by TealsGuy17
Odds are, we are also saying the same thing. We went thru this in 2016, when at some point, Hillary was ahead by 14 points in October. Yet, Hillary was never ahead of Trump from the time she entered the race. Biden was probably never ahead of Trump. No network would ever dare to give Trump his realistic/obvious 10 point lead. Just look at all of the latest polls/internal polling/what we are hearing on conservative radio programs. All guests/pollsters that call into Glenn Beck/Sean and the rest are all telling us they they expect a Trump win/and or another landslide. Maybe CNN is getting paid to keep Biden ahead right thru October?
Then they simply stopped announcing polling results.
Then in November, Reagan won a 49-state landslide.
Anyone trying to coast to the Presidency doesn’t deserve it and is clearly not a leader.
Their internal polls must be disastrous!............... ....
Who cares about the polls? Act as if we are losing.
Jimmy Carter lost in part because he barricaded himself in the White House.
Anyone trying to coast to the Presidency doesn’t deserve it and is clearly not a leader.
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Exactly. By hiding in the basement, Biden conveys both weakness and a level of contempt for the American people. Basically, he is taking their vote for granted and can’t be even bothered to get out and ask for their vote.
He will probably win,but it will be close...in terms of the Electoral vote.
Overconfidence will kill us...and will kill this nation.We must be willing to crawl over broke glass to get to the polls.And we must be willing to drag two people with us.
Almost half the voters want Trump out no matter what. This election will be down to the wire.
That’s ok. The bigger the lead Sleepy has, the tastier their tears will be on Election Night.
Let them cast themselves into a state of complacency. And remind them to vote November 4th.
i am still laughing over the 14 point lead ABC gave to Hillary in October/maybe September 2016
My optimistic assessment to the current lay of the land -
It is human nature for some to obsess about polls and worry that they are accurate prognosticators of elections.
In the past, I believe polls were generally decent indicators of what was happening and would happen.
This is simply NOT true in the era of Trump. The 2016 election showed this to be true. An aggregate of polling on election day showed a 98% chance that Trump would lose. Remember that?
Fact - the media bias has never been stronger than it is right now against Trump. Most of these polls are paid for by.......? The media.
Fact - Trump underperforms in polling. This was very clear in 2016 and there is no reason to believe it is any different now.
Fact - there is clearly a silent (and not so silent) group of democrats who are going to support Trump based on his performance.
Fact - Trump is outperforming prior GOP candidates with minorities (remember the magical 10% of the black vote and the democrat cannot win?).
Fact - the enthusiasm gap for Trump vs Biden with their respective bases is huge.
Fact - Trump is polling better in swing states (the ones that ultimately count and decide the election).
Fact - people are tired of the riots and disorder. Trump is against this and Biden is non-committal about it?
Fact - people are tired of the lockdowns and nanny state behavior in blue states. Trump is against this and Biden wants us all masked up until November 3rd.
With all of this said, the only poll that counts is the one taken or counted on Nov 3rd. The polls today do not guarantee Biden will win in November nor do the facts I stated above guarantee Trump will win.
Personally, I am very happy with where Trump is at in this moment in time. However, I won’t take anything for granted and will do my part to make sure he wins knowing there will be more shenanigans by the left prior to the election.
Trump is going to effectively hammer Biden on the fact that he had 47 years when his pitch was much more potent to fix things and he did little to nothing. I think Trump should have his surrogates talking about Ukraine and China corruption non-stop as well.
What will Biden attack Trump on that has not already been worn out and wrung out over the last 4 years?
On top of this, there is still a hardcore group of leftist who will not support Biden (Bernie bros and the Marxist brigade) much like many strong conservatives would not hold their nose and vote for Romney.
On top of that, many democrats (yes, democrats!) and swing voters are concerned about Biden’s health and age. OUCH!
I will not sweat the polls much between now and then and overall I am pretty happy with the trend lines that matter more than the media generated polls. You should be too.
Trump appears to have all of the upside right now and his primary opponent is NOT Biden - it is the media. A media that most Americans no longer trust.
Don’t even touch their tears. They’ll give you Covid.
Trump won the Electoral College because of a few thousand votes in 4 swing states.
Trump lost the overall popular vote by almost 3 million because liberal bastions such as Kalifornia voted overwhelming for sHrillary.
But it is a fallacy that sHrillary 'was never ahead of Trump from the time she entered the race.'
If it was clear Trump was winning all along, saying someone interfered leading up to the election would be a red herring.
Speaking of internal polls, I received a phone call this past weekend from a pollster. I took the call and realized about half way through that it wasn't really a pollster, but a push poll in favor of Donald Trump.
We don’t answer our landline in election years!..................
Remind them to vote with 5 minutes left to do so..
Actually don’t remind them at all because they are adults and should be able to remind themselves.
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