Posted on 07/01/2020 9:10:59 AM PDT by ransomnote
The Supreme Court today rightly rejected yet another attempt by four death row inmates to escape justice. These four men each stand convicted of horrendous acts of violence — including the brutal rape and murder of children. Each criminal was first convicted and sentenced for their offenses more than fifteen years ago. Thanks to the leadership of Attorney General Barr, the families and communities of the victims will finally receive some long-overdue justice.
Why is this worthy of a White House announcement? The Supreme Court denies death row appeals all the time. In fact every execution that happens is because the Supreme Court denied an appeal.
Probably because Trump knows he is behind in polls, and wants to posture as a law and order President at every conceivable opportunity.
Trump is not behind in the polls. The polls are intentionally misrepresented to mislead the voting public.
Yes, because a moronic reporter will ask about the ruling and inquire if Trump believes in "cruel and unusual punishment" and will he offer a pardon.
They are that stupid.?
These were federal prisoners. All of the ones you alluded to were brought by death row inmates convicted under state law and appealed to the USSC.
First federal executions in 17 years.
I think the polls are correct this time. And thankfully, Trump’s team believes in poll numbers seen so far. Case in point - they have sharply increased ad spending in Iowa (where he won by 10% in 2016) and Georgia (another comfortable win in 2016), both states where polls show he is tied.
The election is 4 months away... he’s got to start advertising sometime.
I can’t imagine anyone who voted for him last time changing their mind, and I personally know many democrats who have said they’ve had enough of their party and WERE happy with the economy under Trump, and see the Dems as at fault wasting 3 years.
That is probably correct. I am willing to concede that. However, it is very likely that people who sat on the sidelines against Hillary are coming out very strongly against Trump. Just reiterating what was said above, it seems very likely that the polls are correct. If I had to make a prediction on an election held today (as reflected in the polls today), I would bet that Biden will rout Trump in Electoral Votes.
I saw a very detailed study once that said GOP turnout is key in every election.
Dem turnout is fairly constant- so races are decided by whether GOP voters turn out.
Big turnout usually means GOP win.
Should we actually believe the polls?
I don't want to tell people what to and what not to believe. The fact is that the polls this time seem more accurate to me because of the lessons learned from the mistakes of 2016. Pollsters have, for example, corrected for the education weightings in the 2020 polls, something they missed in 2016.
I am betting on the polls being correct this year, and that means big trouble for the GOP. For example, if the election were held today, I would bet on Biden getting 350+ EVs, and us losing the Senate and the House.
“I am betting on the polls being correct this year”
Based on what?
SUCKER!! If Trump is TRULY behind, our country is OVER.
Thanks for the question.
The assessment is based on the following factors:
1) Pollsters have incorporated learning from 2016, including the "weighting by education" factor which missed a big source of Trump support.
2) A tacit concession by the Trump campaign on the accuracy of today's polls, namely the large outlay of ad spending in states like Georgia, Iowa, and Texas, all of which are polling close.
3) Even if individual poll numbers can be discounted, the trends are unmistakable. As students of statistics know, ensemble trend errors tend to be much less than absolute errors of any one poll. The trends are all against Trump, on national and state polls.
4) Republicans in key Senate seats are on the defensive, as mirrored in the polls. They are all reacting to declining polls and all their actions are consistent with poll numbers showing increase in anti-GOP sentiment.
5) Betting markets have moved sharply in Biden's favor.
The totality of the evidence is pointing strongly in the direction of a Trump-led GOP rout if the election were held today.
The polls are fake news.
This year they are more accurate than in 2016.
Alright, get it done.
There was a book published a long time ago titled “How to Lie with Statistics”. The same hold for polls. You can word the questions or select the audience to give you the desired result. I wouldn’t trust a Lame Street Media poll at all. I trust Rasmussen polls that may (can’t find a current one)
give Biden a lead but I think that will disappear once he comes out of his basement and people see that he can’t even read a scripted response to a prearranged question without getting lost.
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