[oincobx]

So we just need to adopt the same social distancing actions that Italy implemented?

[Dogbert41]

Wouldn’t it be swell if things came to a screeching halt and we didn’t need a stimulus package at all?

[DouglasKC]

So for all the people who warn of the horrors to come, saying that what happens in Italy will soon happen here, I can only say, THANK GOD! because it looks like Italy is following the same type of curve that South Korea and, reportedly, China have followed, a curve that, for America, points to hundreds of thousands, but not hundreds of millions, of infections.

It's NOT because the virus is dying. It's because Italy has been on lockdown for quite a while now.

[chris37]

Great!

[Grampa Dave]

Herd immunity, or community immunity in action?

[entropy12]

Florida beaches in my town were crowded on weekend...mostly young people.

[rdcbn]

Politicians and media people predicting 50-80% infection rates seem to have a hard time explaining the lack of 750,000,000 to 1,200,000,000 infected Chinese

[DuncanWaring]

The death rate seems to be dropping over the last few days, also.

[ScottfromNJ]

“There were fewer new infections in Italy than there have been in a week”

Where are you seeing this? Wordometers is showing fewer new infections since March 20, not a week. See daily cases chart below. March 20 and 21 are the only days with higher numbers than today. Hoping for a flattening of the curve, but it looks to me like we need to see several more daily reports to establish a trend.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/italy/

[DEPcom]

That is great news, pray it holds..

So this looks like New York needs to social distance for 22 days. When did the first day start?

[bjc]

Can you share your data source? Thanks

[cicero2k]

Date	         New
02/29/20	234
03/01/20	573
03/02/20	335
03/03/20	466
03/04/20	587
03/05/20	769
03/06/20	778
03/07/20	1247
03/08/20	1492
03/09/20	1797
03/10/20	977
03/11/20	2313
03/12/20	2651
03/13/20	2547
03/14/20	3497
03/15/20	3590
03/16/20	3233
03/17/20	3526
03/18/20	4207
03/19/20	5322
03/20/20	5986
03/21/20	6557
03/22/20	5560

Italian New Cases vs. Date

Today's new case report is lower than previous two. More importantly, the percent growth rate is down to a 7 day doubling, from a 3 day doubling a month ago.

[norcal joe]

A good place to see how things are going, both by country and state, is by looking at the death trends at this site (yes, hosted by the nytimes):
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/03/21/upshot/coronavirus-deaths-by-country.html
As one can see, Italy (and even Spain) are showing a “flattening of the curve.” The US is still pretty straight but one must consider that on a per-capita basis its numbers are still very low, and a lot of different things can happen as the numbers get larger - some even good.

[nickcarraway]

I hope this is true. But almost everywhere the number of new cases seems to depend on how much testing is done.

[nickcarraway]

Everyone should remember, the virus usually makes a second run.

[Trumpisourlastchance]

Lockdowns work. Proven again & again.

[bolobaby]

Your report is inaccurate, which is why you include no numbers or graphs.

[Pollard]

There all dead Jim

[Frapster]

Beware the 1-2 day trends.

[Hot Tabasco]

So you live in Italy and have first hand knowledge of what is going on there? Please keep us updated......thanks