[Travis McGee]

Covid-19 is not "over" in China. It's being held at bay by extreme, govt-ordered social distancing and quarantine, at the cost of shutting down their economy.

Since there is no "herd immunity" until 70+% of a population has been infected and recovered, the Chinese (or Italians, or Americans etc.) will be just as susceptible to new waves of Covid-19 in coming months or years. (Spanish Flu also came in waves, the 2nd was more deadly than the first.)

Every govt. faces this balancing act, while hoping that the first wave of CV will pass and their economies can be revived, without a return of CV. We are in uncharted waters as to the length and depth of the coming ordeal.

Hopes that CV will naturally fade away in the summer may be mistaken. An outbreak by community spread is happening in Manila, which is now under lock-down.

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[BobL]

IF we do get back to ‘normal’ it will be 5 years from now, not 2 weeks, or 2 months, not even 2 years.

Prior to that, we’ll go through 2 months of hell, no different than China, and then a very gradual let-up in the controls, to see if the virus can be held down. But discretionary stuff which involves large crowds, like travel or sporting events, they will be the last to go back to normal...and if this virus isn’t completely done away with, they may never go back to ‘normal’.

[SteveH]

covid=19 graphs bump

thanks for posting these

[LucyT]

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PING

Check out Article and # 20.

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