Posted on 08/30/2016 9:48:20 AM PDT by Signalman
If Mr. Trump gets at least 10-20% of the African American vote, he wins the election.
I’m not saying I disagree with the author, but this is the dumbest thing ever.
“Is it possible that people are scared to tell a pollster that they support Trump for fear of being tagged a racist?”
And just how would that happen? Many of these phone surveys are anonymous. Why would someone lie over the phone? They’re worried the pollster is going to out them on TV? Social media? “John Smith is voting for Trump and he’s a racist!!”
Seriously?
We out here are LEGION and we'll roll over them election day like the Indonesian Tsunami. Faith, perseverance and conviction will out.
Google: “The Bradley Effect”
I also think the Liberal HuffPo guy had a good point.
Trump is good on TV. She is not.
Done. That doesn’t really shed any light. It only makes sense if these polls are done face to face where the voter can see the race of the pollster or within earshot of someone else. If someone calls my house, I would tell them the truth. I don’t know why I would ever fear being labeled as racist or anything else. Where’s the risk is all I’m saying?
Trump wins this election due to a larger turnout of voters that have not voted in a long time, or never voted.
This is the vote that I believe we are not seeing in any polls.
Just an example of a normal turnout...
36 % democrat
30 % independent
34 % republican
I believe looking at the primaries and the Florida early voting we will see this... And I am generous with the democrats giving them a +2 which I do not think they will get.
31 % democrat
27 % independent
29 % republican
10 % never voted, or very long time virtually all Trump
This is a 10% swing to Trump and a big win for him.
Never underestimate Trump. The man had a TV show and spin-offs run from 2008 until now, virtually unheard of in television. He’s not some b-rate politician; he’s a master manipulator of media.
In Florida, Republican primary turnout went from 1.7M to 2.4M, 2008 to 2016. It’s a much bigger wave than people estimate.
Yep. This is exactly why he’s going to win.
The more hilLIARy appears on TV the more her poll numbers go down.
This even has a name - The Dick Morris Rule- ater the guy who first discovered it.
Yes, seriously! It’s naive to think people don’t lie to pollsters. Especially because of all that labeling that’s taken place in this election.
Democrats claim “No More Bushes! No Dynasties!”, then go an run another Clintoon.
I believe that Trump wave will be a tsunami.
If the race is tight she will win. They’ll manipulate the voting machines and then blame it on the Russians.
Quote: “If Mr. Trump gets at least 10-20% of the African American vote, he wins the election.”
I doubt he does but bet he wins anyway. The fact that he is courting the black vote is scaring the hell out of the democrats and making them defend on turf that they normally take for granted.
Yeah, you can squeeze by with 100,000 votes per state if you’re a relatively unoffensive Obama against Mitt, but primary voter increases have been anywhere from 500,000 to 1M per state with Trump.
A Hillary win is not happening without 200% registered voters voting.
It is a conservative fantasy. It once may have existed, but no longer does, except in the feverish imagination of posters here every 4 years....
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