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The Anatomy of a Trump Defeat
National Review ^ | April 5, 2016 | Eliana Johnson

Posted on 04/06/2016 2:26:07 AM PDT by reaganaut1

Last Friday, four days before Wisconsinites would cast their ballots, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, and Sarah Palin headlined an event for the Milwaukee County Republican party. Donald Trump, whose unconventional campaign rests almost entirely on his public appearances, had left it to Palin to carry the banner for him while he jetted off to Washington, D.C. There, he would cap a dismal week by sitting down with Republican National Committee chairman Reince Priebus for a remedial lesson in delegate allocation.

It’s looking as if he will need it. Cruz trounced him in Tuesday’s Wisconsin primary, 50 to 33 percent, with 73 percent reporting, making a contested convention more likely in July. The results were significant in another way, too. Trump has mostly over-performed, astounding political onlookers at every turn. Wisconsin marks the first contest in which he has, arguably, underperformed, ceding to Cruz what had been an eleven-point lead in late February, as measured by a Marquette University poll, for a 28-point reversal over the course of just five weeks.

“I think Wisconsin is significant because it’s the first state that he was on track to win that he is going to lose as a result of his demeanor, temper, and comportment as a presidential candidate,” says Steve Schmidt, who managed John McCain’s presidential campaign in 2008.

Wisconsin was always going to be difficult terrain for Trump. Though the state has plenty of rural areas populated by the sorts of lower middle-class voters who have fueled Trump’s campaign, and hosts an open primary, in which Democrats and independents are free to cast ballots, it also has an unusually unified, politically sophisticated Republican electorate thanks to the bruising battles its governor, Scott Walker, has led it through in recent years.

(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...


TOPICS: Cheese, Moose, Sister
KEYWORDS: trump
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1 posted on 04/06/2016 2:26:07 AM PDT by reaganaut1
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To: reaganaut1

2 posted on 04/06/2016 2:26:38 AM PDT by vikingrinn
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To: reaganaut1

Considering Trump is fighting both parties at once, plus the MSM.... He’s doing pretty good.


3 posted on 04/06/2016 2:31:33 AM PDT by Bubba Gump Shrimp (if God wanted Cruz to be president, he'd have been born in America)
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To: reaganaut1

“unified, politically sophisticated Republican electorate”.

The politically sophisticated Republicans have served us well in the House and Senate, and I’m sure they will continue to do so.


4 posted on 04/06/2016 2:31:55 AM PDT by M1911A1
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To: reaganaut1
I don't think these totals are bad considering Cruz was traveling with Scott Walker,

est. % in: 99%

Cruz
527,064 - 48.3%

Trump
383,598 - 35.1%

Kasich
153,514 - 14.1%

5 posted on 04/06/2016 2:35:09 AM PDT by donna (Radicalized Christians become missionaries; then, they tell everyone that Jesus loves them!)
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To: reaganaut1

Thank you WI voters. You prove you want mexican illegal invaders and muslims to swarm over you and have your children as slaves. You also want a leftist supreme court to rule over you and take you rights away. viva la raza cabrons! viva Hilary! alluah akbar! You will enjoy sharia law. You deserve it!

I’m glad I don’t live there as you WILL get the government YOU DESERVE.


6 posted on 04/06/2016 2:35:30 AM PDT by HWGruene (REMEMBER THE ALAMO! Really, no kidding.)
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To: Bubba Gump Shrimp

Look at the Wisconsin map it looks like Ted won 20 counties and Trump won 52. Funny how the populous counties have such extremely different vote patterns than do the rural ones.


7 posted on 04/06/2016 2:35:58 AM PDT by silverleaf (Age takes a toll: Please have exact change)
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To: reaganaut1

Wisconsin voted poorly. Bad decision on their part. But Cruz winning only gave him an extra week, for Cruz its all about playing dirty and peeing in the swimming pool, plus leaving a large floater. The numbers still have him cruzin to loosin.


8 posted on 04/06/2016 2:36:00 AM PDT by Daniel Ramsey (You don't have to like Trump, his enemies certainly don't.)
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To: HWGruene

If you go county by county Wisconsin is Trump territory. He won in Ryan’s district.


9 posted on 04/06/2016 2:37:24 AM PDT by silverleaf (Age takes a toll: Please have exact change)
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To: reaganaut1

Nice to see all the bat-shit crazy Branch Trumpidians are up early ( or very, very late)


10 posted on 04/06/2016 2:41:11 AM PDT by ken5050 (Trump: "I'm no conservative, but I sure can play one on TV")
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To: Bubba Gump Shrimp

I would like to know how many $$$ were spent on anti-Trump ads.


11 posted on 04/06/2016 2:43:56 AM PDT by gogeo (Donald Trump. Because it's finally come to that.)
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To: HWGruene

The globalist cruznadians are fighting to prolong their ability to tell their personal illegal alien to make them a sammich.


12 posted on 04/06/2016 2:44:03 AM PDT by Vision Thing
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To: ken5050

The Cruznadians chant “Go Uniparty Go!”


13 posted on 04/06/2016 2:45:25 AM PDT by Vision Thing
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To: Bubba Gump Shrimp

ever seen the establishment fight this hard against the left, no me neither.

cruz the establishment guy have gone all out in their war against those who wish to stop the establishment ivy league corruption as they know their time is coming ton an end.


14 posted on 04/06/2016 2:45:44 AM PDT by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: ken5050

you must be s proud to be seeing that result and know you support the establishment, well done fella, now don’t ever come on here moaning when they stab your guy in the back and the media turn on him .


15 posted on 04/06/2016 2:47:38 AM PDT by manc (Marriage =1 man + 1 woman,when they say marriage equality then they should support polygamy)
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To: reaganaut1

“Hey... Who got his ass kicked last night?”

“Trump got his ass kicked last night”

Five minutes later... “Hey... Who got his ass kicked last night?”

“Trump got his ass kicked last night”

Five minutes later... “Hey,... Who got his ass kicked last night?”

“I keep telling you, Trump got his ass kicked last night. Don’t you remember?”

“Yeah... But I just like hearing you say it!”


16 posted on 04/06/2016 2:48:03 AM PDT by Haiku Guy (Admit you were conned / This means you are good and honest / There's no shame in this)
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To: donna
Donna,

If Kasich was out of the race would those votes split between Donald and Ted or would Donald have garnered the lions share? It might have tightened that race IMHO.

Let's look at this "defeat", and why "The Establishment" was not going to rack up a loss in WI, for reasons including pride and to stop Trump.

* The State is the home of Speaker Paul Ryan.
* The State is also the home the RNC Chairmen.
* The State is also the home of an embattled Governor who had to win many challenges.

With that all said, obviously a GOP ground game with an establishment flare is alive and well and works in Wisconsin.

I think the thing to ask is, if their ground game is so darn good than why hasn't Prebius try to replicate it in 49 other States?

We sure in h#ll could have used it with that laggard Romney in 2012, that is for dang sure..

17 posted on 04/06/2016 2:50:54 AM PDT by taildragger (Not my Monkey, not my Circus...)
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To: silverleaf
Look at the Wisconsin map it looks like Ted won 20 counties and Trump won 52. Funny how the populous counties have such extremely different vote patterns than do the rural ones.

That is like the County Map Nationally and Michigan for POTUS years. The whole Country was "Red" for Romney ( land mass wise ) and it is 4 or 5 highly populated liberal moon bat infested counties in Michigan that turn Michigan "Blue"....

18 posted on 04/06/2016 2:54:42 AM PDT by taildragger (Not my Monkey, not my Circus...)
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To: taildragger

On one little note of interest, Trump won in Ryan’s district


19 posted on 04/06/2016 2:55:10 AM PDT by silverleaf (Age takes a toll: Please have exact change)
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To: reaganaut1

Voters are realizing what a nasty guy Trump is.


20 posted on 04/06/2016 2:55:57 AM PDT by kik5150 (Cruz argued 9 times before Supreme Court judges. Trump argues with beauty pageant judges.)
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