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Why Trump might have a better chance of being elected president than Cruz, explained by 3 maps
Washington Post ^ | 3-22-2016 | Chris Cillizza

Posted on 03/23/2016 2:05:09 AM PDT by Citizen Zed

Edited on 03/23/2016 7:10:58 PM PDT by Admin Moderator. [history]

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To: Citizen Zed

Bad map in both scenarios: Cruz WILL NOT take OH= loss. He got killed here.

Trump would take VA, NV, and probably PA with NJ in play, maybe CO (but a lotta potheads there) for 30-35 more than they give him with best case of an additional 43 for 328. Maine and NM despite what they say are in play for another 9 or 337. Pretty big blowout equal to almost every election in the late 1800s.


21 posted on 03/23/2016 4:29:19 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: libbylu

“You can’t” cause you, with your Trump hate, flat don’t want to.

1) Barone is the nincompoop who had Minion winning 2012.

2) You continue to use these completely bogus “unfavorable” ratings. I have explained ad nauseoum how these are completely unreliable with a celebrity like Trump. I will let you look those up.

3) BusTed has no shot whatsoever-—none-—in OH he came in a distant third-—or MI (ditto) or PA and would almost certainly lose FL, where he got CREAMED by Trump among . . . Hispanics, as he did in AZ and NV.

At some point you ridiculous anti-Trumpers have to put away your perpetually disproven global warming theories and face reality.


22 posted on 03/23/2016 4:35:51 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: Dagnabitt

So the rat plan has worked. Whites can no longer be elected POTUS without guaranteeing the “immigrants” further feeding from the trough.

Maybe we should give the a stipend for life if they leave - it probably would be cheaper.


23 posted on 03/23/2016 5:00:26 AM PDT by Aria (2016: The gravy train v Donald Trump)
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To: libbylu

Barone clearly projected and predicted that Mitt Romney would beat Obama.


24 posted on 03/23/2016 5:01:05 AM PDT by Baldwin77 (They hated Reagan too ! TRUMP TOUGH - AMERICA STRONG)
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To: Baldwin77

Religious zealots NEVER win general elections.

Beck helped Cruz win in the Soros-manipulated on-line voting. Big deal. He cheated, again.


25 posted on 03/23/2016 5:04:14 AM PDT by Baldwin77 (They hated Reagan too ! TRUMP TOUGH - AMERICA STRONG)
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To: Citizen Zed

“due to his rhetoric and incredibly poor numbers in the Hispanic community.”

So tired of hearing this. Like Cruz would do any better among Hispanics..ANY Republican is gonna lose that demo by a huge margin, after Obama’s amnesty scheme. Rubio might have gained a few points due to his name but not much.

Bottom line, Trump needs to get 55% of the male vote (Mitt got an anemic 52%) and 63% of the overall white vote. (Mitt got 59%)..For every hispanic vote he “loses”, he gains 2 white votes. It’s gonna come down to ppl turning out


26 posted on 03/23/2016 5:08:44 AM PDT by Bruiser78
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To: libbylu
Poor Teddy Bares. Loser lying lawyer Teddy is able to get Mitt and Glenn to con/coerce the Mormons into voting for him, yet he loses in the end because most everybody else realizes that he is a slimy smarmy guy, who hides behind a Bible. Yet, they claim he is the best chance to beat Clinton. I am sure Jeb is happy to kick at Trump, since he got so soundly defeated, as did little Marco.

But, Donald Trump is closer to getting the nomination and becoming the next President of the United States. Teddy will be lucky to finish out his term and finally do his job. It is doubtful now that the people of Texas would send him back to DC.

Donald Trump is the best man for the job. Teddy Bare is nothing but a slimy lying lawyer. DC has enough of them already!

Vote Trump!


27 posted on 03/23/2016 5:16:10 AM PDT by WVKayaker (What separates the winners from the losers is how a person reacts to each new twist of fate -D.Trump)
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To: scrabblehack

Actually, it is only 14 of the 17 which are bound. Three slots of those 17 are reserved for party bigwigs, including Chairman Rob Gleason, a RINO`S RINO.


28 posted on 03/23/2016 5:23:00 AM PDT by Vigilanteman (ObaMao: Fake America, Fake Messiah, Fake Black man. How many fakes can you fit into one Zer0?)
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To: Vigilanteman
Map all you want

Show me primary Candidate who got less than 20% of his party vote 2 of them in a 4 person race

Florida ,a 4 person race race, no Jeb! 4% isn't going to help you.

Ohio 4 person race and Virginia less than 20% of the vote.

You lose those States then we are talking a Clintion landslide.

29 posted on 03/23/2016 5:30:24 AM PDT by scooby321
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To: Vigilanteman

The Green Papers quotes PA GOP Rule 8.3 that commits PA’s three RNC members’ delegate votes to the primary winner.


30 posted on 03/23/2016 5:31:24 AM PDT by jjotto ("Ya could look it up!")
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To: scooby321

I see Cruz’s model winning those states plus North Carolina LOL


31 posted on 03/23/2016 5:32:16 AM PDT by scooby321
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To: Citizen Zed

Trump is not going to win Wisconsin or Michigan.


32 posted on 03/23/2016 5:40:28 AM PDT by DoodleDawg
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Has anyone considered if both parties kick their winners to the curb, through delegate manipulation.
Dems put up Fauxchohantas - cannot remember her actual name or Biden
Pubs put up Cruz or Coburn.


33 posted on 03/23/2016 5:41:10 AM PDT by Nailbiter
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To: Dagnabitt
Trump needs to get way, way more disciplined, particularly in regards to women voters.

Trump can't change who he is.

34 posted on 03/23/2016 5:43:31 AM PDT by DoodleDawg
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To: Citizen Zed

498 delegates to go for Trump to get to 1237. Now at 739.


35 posted on 03/23/2016 6:09:09 AM PDT by Mozilla (Truth Is Stranger than Fiction.)
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To: libbylu

Michael Barone WAS an expert. His star has faded.


36 posted on 03/23/2016 6:34:48 AM PDT by faucetman ( Just the facts, ma'am, Just the facts)
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To: StAnDeliver

PLUS NY, PA


37 posted on 03/23/2016 6:36:37 AM PDT by faucetman ( Just the facts, ma'am, Just the facts)
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To: jjotto

If so, then Chairman Gleason may have to choke on his bile when forced to vote for Trump.


38 posted on 03/24/2016 7:28:05 PM PDT by Vigilanteman (ObaMao: Fake America, Fake Messiah, Fake Black man. How many fakes can you fit into one Zer0?)
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